XAUUSD Weekly July 2025 28 July - 1 Aug

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🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW – H4

1. Major Trend: Bullish

The overall trend remains bullish, with multiple Bullish Breaks of Structure (BOS) recorded during the upward move since early July.

A strong CHoCH followed by a solid Bullish BOS on H4 after the early July breakout confirms strong buyer intent.



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2. Bearish BOS?

You're absolutely right — there are no significant Bearish BOS on H4 after the recent rally.

The current downward movement appears to be a retracement, not a structural break. No confirmation of bearish market structure yet.



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🔵 CURRENT ZONE: H4 OB BUY (Active POI)

Price is currently rejecting from the H4 OB BUY zone, which aligns with the ascending trendline confluence.

If the H4 candle closes with a strong rejection (e.g. bullish engulfing or pinbar), this would confirm a potential buy entry for the next bullish leg.

This OB BUY is the main POI for next week and represents a:

✅ Buy from Discount
✅ Entry in Uptrend Structure
✅ Confluence of OB + POI + Momentum



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🟥 FVG & TP Structure

1. TP1 / Scaling Zone:

H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3368–3380 can serve as the first target.



2. Final TP / ATH Zone:

Upper FVG (3420+) near a previous POI could act as the final target or a potential ATH test zone if buyers push higher.





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🚀 TRADING PLAN – NEXT WEEK (Still Valid)

✅ Structure is still bullish
✅ Current drop is a retracement to OB BUY
✅ No valid Bearish BOS detected
✅ Current POI + OB BUY zone = prime entry level


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📌 ENTRY STRATEGY

Entry: Buy within the OB BUY H4 zone (around 3320–3340)

Confirmation: Wait for a strong H4 rejection candle

Stop Loss: Below OB H4 (~3310, or adjust to lower OB zone)

TP1: 3368–3380 (FVG zone)

TP2: 3420+ (Upper FVG / POI / ATH zone)



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⚠️ Additional Notes

If price breaks below OB BUY H4 with a strong bearish candle, this setup becomes invalid.
Then, we shift focus to lower OB zones (3280 / 3250).

Be cautious of high-impact news (FOMC/NFP?) – price may spike before confirming direction.

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🔥 FINAL VERDICT:

✅ Plan is highly valid
❌ No strong bearish structure in place
🔒 Current POI is a key sniper entry zone

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