USA+Israel vs Iran WAR Conflicts

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📈 GOLD (XAU/USD) Forecast – June 23, 2025

Gold is showing strong bullish potential after rejecting a key H4 OB zone + POI and faking out below channel support and the 100 EMA. The setup hints at liquidity sweep (LIQ $$$) and bullish continuation toward All-Time Highs (ATH) around $3490+.

Technical Breakdown:
🔹 Channel + EMA100: Fake breakout suggests liquidity grab
🔹 LIQ $$ zones tapped: Suggests smart money positioning
🔹 Major Demand Zone: Acting as a launchpad
🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Target: $3490+
🔹 Entry Idea: Buy on trendline retrace with solid RR
🔹 Invalidation below: $3337 structure low

Target Zone: $3490 (ATH retest)
Invalidation: Below $3337 major demand
Bias: Bullish continuation

🔥 Fundamental Sentiment: Geopolitical Tension
📰 1. USA + Israel vs Iran Conflict:
Gold remains a top safe-haven amid increased geopolitical instability. Rising war tensions are pushing investors toward risk-off assets like Gold.

💼 2. FOMC Recap – Dovish Tilt Despite Sticky Inflation:
Last week’s FOMC meeting hinted at a more cautious Fed, with Powell suggesting rate cuts could still be on the table in 2025 if labor softness continues.
🟢 A dovish Fed = weaker USD, which is bullish for Gold.
🟡 Sticky inflation keeps the upside attractive for long-term buyers.

🎯 Trading Plan:
Look for retracement entries after a trendline pullback, ideally around demand + POI, for targeting the ATH region. This setup aligns technicals, sentiment, and fundamentals.

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