https://www.tradingview.com/x/5gyEOW44/
💡Message Strategy
The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase ahead of major fundamental events. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and key data such as second-quarter GDP and the core PCE price index set to be released, traders are generally cautious. Gold has stabilized slightly after a series of declines, but a meaningful reversal has yet to materialize. The divergence between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the market is on the verge of a breakout. This week's gold market is driven by uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic expectations and the Fed's monetary policy.
After four consecutive trading days of gains, the US dollar index has slowed its gains, temporarily retreating to around 99. Traders are still betting on a September Fed rate cut, with the market placing a 64% probability on a September rate cut. However, this week's release of Q2 GDP and the core PCE price index data will significantly impact this outlook.
If GDP and inflation data are weak, this will reinforce market expectations of easing and potentially attract renewed buying for gold. Conversely, strong data could dampen expectations of a rate cut, supporting a stronger dollar and putting pressure on gold.
Furthermore, the Federal Reserve is about to hold its interest rate meeting. While it's almost certain that interest rates will remain unchanged, Powell's speech will be a key focus for the market. Any signals regarding internal disagreements, adjustments to the inflation path, or adjustments to the policy framework could trigger significant market volatility. From a global perspective, geopolitical risks have been relatively stable recently, providing no sudden support for gold.
📊Technical aspects
Gold is showing signs of a short-term rebound, but the technical structure still indicates a weak rebound, with no confirmed trend reversal. A break above 3350 would be considered a temporary stabilization, while a break below 3300 would reopen the downside. Current market sentiment is in a "wait for a signal" phase.
Gold currently has limited downward space, and data factors are accelerating this week. Gold is likely to undergo a long-short conversion, so our trading strategy uses a small stop loss to counter the larger space for gold's shape conversion.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3290-3305，SL：3280，Target: 3340-3360
💡Message Strategy
The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase ahead of major fundamental events. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and key data such as second-quarter GDP and the core PCE price index set to be released, traders are generally cautious. Gold has stabilized slightly after a series of declines, but a meaningful reversal has yet to materialize. The divergence between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the market is on the verge of a breakout. This week's gold market is driven by uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic expectations and the Fed's monetary policy.
After four consecutive trading days of gains, the US dollar index has slowed its gains, temporarily retreating to around 99. Traders are still betting on a September Fed rate cut, with the market placing a 64% probability on a September rate cut. However, this week's release of Q2 GDP and the core PCE price index data will significantly impact this outlook.
If GDP and inflation data are weak, this will reinforce market expectations of easing and potentially attract renewed buying for gold. Conversely, strong data could dampen expectations of a rate cut, supporting a stronger dollar and putting pressure on gold.
Furthermore, the Federal Reserve is about to hold its interest rate meeting. While it's almost certain that interest rates will remain unchanged, Powell's speech will be a key focus for the market. Any signals regarding internal disagreements, adjustments to the inflation path, or adjustments to the policy framework could trigger significant market volatility. From a global perspective, geopolitical risks have been relatively stable recently, providing no sudden support for gold.
📊Technical aspects
Gold is showing signs of a short-term rebound, but the technical structure still indicates a weak rebound, with no confirmed trend reversal. A break above 3350 would be considered a temporary stabilization, while a break below 3300 would reopen the downside. Current market sentiment is in a "wait for a signal" phase.
Gold currently has limited downward space, and data factors are accelerating this week. Gold is likely to undergo a long-short conversion, so our trading strategy uses a small stop loss to counter the larger space for gold's shape conversion.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3290-3305，SL：3280，Target: 3340-3360
Trade active
Gold prices await Fed decision
Through scientific and rigorous financial analysis and personalized strategy formulation, we help you achieve stable growth of wealth. At the same time, in a complex and changing economic environment, we help you avoid potential risks and protect the saf
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Through scientific and rigorous financial analysis and personalized strategy formulation, we help you achieve stable growth of wealth. At the same time, in a complex and changing economic environment, we help you avoid potential risks and protect the saf
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.