Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | GOLD Finished Correcting?

621
📊 Technical Analysis
● After two successful touches of rising-channel support near $3 200, XAU/USD pierced the resistance line and the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout.
● A pattern of higher lows now projects a fresh impulse toward the channel top at ~$3 500.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman Sachs forecasts central banks will keep buying bullion amid recession fears, driving gold to $3 700 by year-end.
● Traders price in ~80 bp of Fed rate cuts from July, lowering real yields and bolstering gold’s appeal.

Summary
Channel breakout + strong CB demand and Fed-cut bets support a short-term long bias: a clear break above $3 315 targets $3 500; view invalid below $3 200.

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Trade active
snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sprang off the $3 260‑3 320 demand zone, broke a falling wedge, and closed back above $3 360 and the purple support line — a bullish reset inside the rising channel.
● Higher‑low sequence now aims for the channel’s upper rail near $3 500; bias invalidated on a sustained drop below $3 200.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US ISM‑services index slid to 49.8, driving 10‑yr yields below 4 % and knocking the USD, a tail‑wind for bullion .
● FXStreet notes $1.2 B of net gold‑ETF inflows last week as Middle‑East tension revives haven bids .

Summary
Wedge breakout, yield dip, and fresh ETF demand support a short‑term long view: targets $3 500; cut the trade on a close beneath $3 260.

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