XAUUSD – Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move
🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It?
Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold.
Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply.
📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View
🔹 Trend Bias
The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum.
🔹 Price Channels
Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity.
🔹 EMA Structure
The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs.
Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside.
🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395
A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours.
🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios
The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger:
If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+.
If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation.
Expect volatility to spike during the New York session.
🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June
🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322
Stop Loss: 3318
Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350
🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335
SL: 3330
TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394
Stop Loss: 3398
Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
✅ Final Take
Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly.
🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It?
Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold.
Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply.
📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View
🔹 Trend Bias
The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum.
🔹 Price Channels
Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity.
🔹 EMA Structure
The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs.
Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside.
🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395
A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours.
🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios
The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger:
If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+.
If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation.
Expect volatility to spike during the New York session.
🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June
🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322
Stop Loss: 3318
Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350
🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335
SL: 3330
TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394
Stop Loss: 3398
Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
✅ Final Take
Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly.
🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
byvn.net/t06K
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
byvn.net/t06K
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
byvn.net/t06K
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
byvn.net/t06K
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.