TUESDAY AFTER EARNINGS WEEK / POST-EASTER
Market makers love using Tuesday post-holiday to trap and fade over-leveraged weekend bulls.
Don’t chase, let price come to VWAP/VAL. That’s where they reload the big guns.
📌 Current Price: $3,452.12
📈 Daily Range: 3,411.79 – 3,500.11
📅 52-Week High: NEW ALL-TIME HIGH at 3,500.11
📢 News Catalyst: “Gold Futures Break Above $3,500 on Fed Concerns”
💥 Momentum: Insane — 31.47% YTD, +44% YoY. We’re in Supercycle Territory.
Daily Chart (Linear Regression 200 | STDEV 5)
Structure: Clean breakout from linear regression upper band — bull continuation zone.
=====================================================================================================================================================================================================================
✅ Entry 1: Momentum Break + Retest (Smart Continuation)
Play the pullback after blowing out weak sellers at $3,500
🔫 Entry: Buy Limit @ 3,443.00 (Fib pivot + previous liquidity shelf)
🛑 SL: 3,417.00 (Below VWAP band + confirmed structure break)
🎯 TP1: 3,475
🎯 TP2: 3,490
🎯 TP3: 3,505+ (extension target)
🧠 Why: Price will likely retest previous breakout zone at 3,443–3,445 before continuation. This is the sniper's reload zone.
-------------------------------------
Entry 2: Aggressive Breakout Run (Volume Confirmation Required)
If NY explodes volume again like earlier London/Fed candle
🔫 Entry: Buy Stop @ 3,462.50
🛑 SL: 3,444
🎯 TP1: 3,490
🎯 TP2: 3,500 (previous wick)
🎯 TP3: 3,517–3,529 (daily Fib 78.6% ext + ATR+2 zone)
📈 Confirmation: 5m volume bar > 35K
🧠 Why: You’re riding the breakout beast. Ride fast, manage risk tight.
--------------------------------------
Entry 3: Liquidity Trap Reversal (Fade the Blow-Off Top)
Only execute if price smashes $3,500 again & immediately rejects with high-volume reversal
🔫 Entry: Sell Stop @ 3,488
🛑 SL: 3,503
🎯 TP1: 3,462
🎯 TP2: 3,444
🎯 TP3: 3,428
📉 Confidence: 45%
🧠 Why: This is the trapdoor. Only valid if $3,500 rejection aligns with divergence + VSA no-demand + distribution signal.
====/////=====//////=======
Don’t FOMO the $3,500 wick.
Trade with structure or get devoured like retail pawns.
====/////=====//////=======
ADX/DI: Strong DI+ (50.31), solid uptrend confirmation.
Volume MA: Still surging; buyers are not backing off.
ATR RSI: 26.83 — volatility expanding = breakout continuation bias.
🔎 This is classic markup phase post-breakout. Price is riding the SD5 rail like a rocket. Bulls still in full control.
========
4H (240m) Chart
Price: Pulling back slightly from short-term peak.
ADX/DI: Bullish momentum cooling slightly (DI+ > DI−, ADX still elevated).
Dynamic Fibs: Holding above 0.382 = continuation bias unless 3,445 breaks.
Volume Spike: Heavy volume earlier = exhaustion possible — watch for NY volatility trap.
🧠 Strategic Mindset: Wait for either reclaim above 3,460 for continuation OR liquidity sweep down to VWAP zones for sniper longs
==============
1H (60m) Outlook
Price: Holding between dynamic Fib 0.236 (3,455) and VWAP (3,448).
ADX: Flatlining — trend is pausing.
Volume: Lower than average (Volume: 26.2K < MA: 32.6K).
DIs: Compression → Market maker accumulation or trap brewing.
🧠 Execution Zone: VWAP + VAL confluence (3,445–3,440) = prime bounce long area.
Market makers love using Tuesday post-holiday to trap and fade over-leveraged weekend bulls.
Don’t chase, let price come to VWAP/VAL. That’s where they reload the big guns.
📌 Current Price: $3,452.12
📈 Daily Range: 3,411.79 – 3,500.11
📅 52-Week High: NEW ALL-TIME HIGH at 3,500.11
📢 News Catalyst: “Gold Futures Break Above $3,500 on Fed Concerns”
💥 Momentum: Insane — 31.47% YTD, +44% YoY. We’re in Supercycle Territory.
Daily Chart (Linear Regression 200 | STDEV 5)
Structure: Clean breakout from linear regression upper band — bull continuation zone.
=====================================================================================================================================================================================================================
✅ Entry 1: Momentum Break + Retest (Smart Continuation)
Play the pullback after blowing out weak sellers at $3,500
🔫 Entry: Buy Limit @ 3,443.00 (Fib pivot + previous liquidity shelf)
🛑 SL: 3,417.00 (Below VWAP band + confirmed structure break)
🎯 TP1: 3,475
🎯 TP2: 3,490
🎯 TP3: 3,505+ (extension target)
🧠 Why: Price will likely retest previous breakout zone at 3,443–3,445 before continuation. This is the sniper's reload zone.
-------------------------------------
Entry 2: Aggressive Breakout Run (Volume Confirmation Required)
If NY explodes volume again like earlier London/Fed candle
🔫 Entry: Buy Stop @ 3,462.50
🛑 SL: 3,444
🎯 TP1: 3,490
🎯 TP2: 3,500 (previous wick)
🎯 TP3: 3,517–3,529 (daily Fib 78.6% ext + ATR+2 zone)
📈 Confirmation: 5m volume bar > 35K
🧠 Why: You’re riding the breakout beast. Ride fast, manage risk tight.
--------------------------------------
Entry 3: Liquidity Trap Reversal (Fade the Blow-Off Top)
Only execute if price smashes $3,500 again & immediately rejects with high-volume reversal
🔫 Entry: Sell Stop @ 3,488
🛑 SL: 3,503
🎯 TP1: 3,462
🎯 TP2: 3,444
🎯 TP3: 3,428
📉 Confidence: 45%
🧠 Why: This is the trapdoor. Only valid if $3,500 rejection aligns with divergence + VSA no-demand + distribution signal.
====/////=====//////=======
Don’t FOMO the $3,500 wick.
Trade with structure or get devoured like retail pawns.
====/////=====//////=======
ADX/DI: Strong DI+ (50.31), solid uptrend confirmation.
Volume MA: Still surging; buyers are not backing off.
ATR RSI: 26.83 — volatility expanding = breakout continuation bias.
🔎 This is classic markup phase post-breakout. Price is riding the SD5 rail like a rocket. Bulls still in full control.
========
4H (240m) Chart
Price: Pulling back slightly from short-term peak.
ADX/DI: Bullish momentum cooling slightly (DI+ > DI−, ADX still elevated).
Dynamic Fibs: Holding above 0.382 = continuation bias unless 3,445 breaks.
Volume Spike: Heavy volume earlier = exhaustion possible — watch for NY volatility trap.
🧠 Strategic Mindset: Wait for either reclaim above 3,460 for continuation OR liquidity sweep down to VWAP zones for sniper longs
==============
1H (60m) Outlook
Price: Holding between dynamic Fib 0.236 (3,455) and VWAP (3,448).
ADX: Flatlining — trend is pausing.
Volume: Lower than average (Volume: 26.2K < MA: 32.6K).
DIs: Compression → Market maker accumulation or trap brewing.
🧠 Execution Zone: VWAP + VAL confluence (3,445–3,440) = prime bounce long area.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.