Is Gold Forming a Double Top?

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Gold prices surged once again toward the record high of 3,057, driven by safe-haven demand ahead of April, which brings renewed tariff threats and unfolds amid intensifying geopolitical tensions involving Russia, Ukraine, the U.S., Yemen, Israel, and Gaza.

Should gold prices retreat below this level, we may witness the formation of a potential double top pattern, with downside targets around 3,030, the 3,000 neckline, and further support levels at 2,955, 2,920, and 2,900.

On the upside, a decisive close above 3,060 could trigger another leg higher, potentially setting a new record in alignment with the 3,080 level.

From a monthly perspective, the RSI continues to flash reversal signals similar to those seen in 2024, 2020, 2011, and 2008—raising caution around gold’s elevated levels. While safe-haven demand may continue to outweigh overbought momentum, any shift toward peace could swiftly reverse gains, creating a double-edged sword scenario for the precious metal.

Written by Razan Hilal, CMT

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