XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE โ€” APRIL 30, 2025

538
Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.

๐Ÿ“ What Happened:
๐Ÿ”ป 3315โ€“3325 SELL โ†’ Perfect rejection โ†’ Drop of 200+ pips

๐Ÿ” Retest at 3314 โ†’ Confirmed OB rejection zone

โŒ 3284โ€“3288 BUY โ†’ Invalidated, BOS clean

โœ… 3260โ€“3270 BUY โ†’ Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount โ†’ Delivered bounce

๐Ÿ‘โ€๐Ÿ—จ Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315โ€“3325 = Decision zone
โ€ƒโ†’ Break = bullish reversal
โ€ƒโ†’ Rejection = new short trigger

3260โ€“3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation

3252โ€“3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails

3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news

๐Ÿง  Current Bias:
๐Ÿ”ธ HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH โ†’ bearish-leaning

๐Ÿ”น LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips

๐ŸŽฏ Bias: Neutral-bearish โ†’ shifting bullish only above 3325

๐Ÿ“Š KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:

Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
๐Ÿ”ป Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
๐Ÿ”ป Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
๐Ÿ”ป Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
๐Ÿ”ป Flip Zone 3315โ€“3320 Must flip to validate bulls
๐Ÿ” Retest 3308โ€“3312 Last OB rejection
โš–๏ธ Mid Zone 3286โ€“3292 Retest structure, weak
โœ… Support 3260โ€“3270 Confirmed bounce zone
๐ŸŸฉ Demand 3252โ€“3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
๐ŸŸข Discount 3220โ€“3235 Long-term OB zone
๐ŸŸข Discount 3192โ€“3205 Extreme discount + FVG
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ 15:30 Trump Speech

๐Ÿ“‰ 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)

๐Ÿญ 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI

๐Ÿญ 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices

โš ๏ธ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms โ€” not before.

๐ŸŽฏ Final Note:
If 3315โ€“3325 breaks cleanly โ†’ weโ€™re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds โ†’ we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.

This is not a place to guess. Itโ€™s where real traders wait.

โ€”

๐Ÿ“Œ Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a ๐Ÿง  if this structure helped you.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.

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๐ŸŸจ XAUUSD Market Update โ€“ May 1, 2025
"Weโ€™re Not Bouncingโ€”Weโ€™re Building Pressure. Goldโ€™s Got Plans ๐Ÿง โœจ"

๐Ÿ”ป MACRO FOCUS โ€“ Big Day Ahead:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump Speech @ 15:30 โ€“ Eyes on USD volatility if Powell is criticized or dollar policy is mentioned.

๐Ÿงพ Unemployment Claims @ 15:30 โ€“ Forecast 224K (prev. 222K); watch for a soft print to ignite a gold spike.

๐Ÿญ Final Manufacturing PMI @ 15:45

๐Ÿ“‰ ISM Manufacturing PMI @ 17:00 (Forecast: 48.0 vs. Prev: 49.0)

๐Ÿ’ฐ ISM Prices @ 17:00 โ€“ Key inflation driver.

๐Ÿ” STRUCTURAL REVIEW (H1โ€“H4 Confluence):
๐ŸŸข Current Price: ~3222

Bearish market structure remains intact with clear LHs and fresh LLs. Price rejected hard from 3315โ€“3325 key supply, confirming the "liquidity shelf" as real and hostile.

๐Ÿ“‰ Trendline pressure + premium rejections + CHoCHs = bearish flow intact.
๐Ÿ“Š EMAs still in bearish cross on H1/H4; RSI also failed to diverge on recent low.

๐Ÿ”ต Key Levels To Watch
๐Ÿ”น Level โš™๏ธ Description
3385 Major premium rejection pivot (mid-April)
3350 Target if 3315 breaks cleanly (low probability today)
3325โ€“3315 ๐Ÿ”ฅ Top liquidity shelf โ€“ very strong rejection today
3292 Previous bounce zone โ€“ now invalid
3260โ€“3270 โš ๏ธ Key support zone โ€“ last bounce originated here
3220โ€“3235 ๐Ÿ”„ Current flip zone โ€“ price testing this area now
3180โ€“3200 ๐ŸงŠ Unmitigated zone โ€“ expect reaction here if drop continues
3150โ€“3170 Final daily discount zone for todayโ€™s range

๐Ÿ‘€ EYES ON:
If 3315โ€“3325 holds, expect downside continuation toward 3260 and below.

If 3220โ€“3235 holds as support โ†’ potential short squeeze toward 3280โ€“3310.

If 3260 fails = momentum opens door to 3180, and even 3150 zone.

Flip zone near 3220โ€“3235 is todayโ€™s intraday battleground โ€” how price reacts here will set the NY direction.

โœ… WHAT REMAINS VALID FROM YESTERDAY:
โœ… Sell rejection from 3315 = confirmed โœ”

โœ… Target zone 3272 = HIT (TP2) โœ”

โŒ 3292 bounce zone = invalidated โŒ

๐Ÿ” New intraday support forming near 3220โ€“3225, but not confirmed yet.

๐Ÿ”ฅ All sell-side pressure zones held firm โ€” premium supply remains dominant.

โš ๏ธ Daily Bias: Bearish, unless 3225 flips cleanly.
๐Ÿง  Reminder: Structure leads, emotions mislead. Donโ€™t chase fake breakouts, wait for your sniper zone confirmation.

๐Ÿ”š Final Thought: Big news day + macro tension = potential breakout in either direction. Let price show its hand โ€” not your ego.

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