XAUUSD Monday (31 March 2025) Gameplan.

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๐Ÿšจ GOLD ANALYSIS โ€“ WEEKEND INSIGHTS & MONDAY GAMEPLAN ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Date: March 29, 2025
๐Ÿ“ Market Closed โ€“ Planning Ahead

So Iโ€™ve spent my weekend deep diving into Gold Spot (XAU/USD) and hereโ€™s my complete breakdown ๐Ÿ” โ€“ covering both fundamentals and technical levels, plus how Iโ€™m personally setting up for Monday across trading sessions. ๐Ÿ‘‡
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fundamental Analysis โ€“ Why Gold is Skyrocketing

๐Ÿ“ˆ Geopolitical Tensions
The recent tariff threats from President Trump have shaken the markets again. As expected, investors (including myself) are rushing to safetyโ€”and whatโ€™s better than gold in times like these? ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ธ Inflation Hedge
With global trade uncertainty adding fuel to inflation fears, gold is acting as a hedge. This is one reason Iโ€™m seeing such strong upward momentum in the metal.

๐Ÿฆ Central Banks Buying
A lot of Asian central banks are continuing to increase their gold reservesโ€”another solid bullish indicator. ๐Ÿ“Š

๐Ÿ“‰ Equity Market Volatility
Stocks have been all over the place lately, and that volatility is pushing money into safe-haven assets like gold. This rotation out of risk is a trend Iโ€™m watching closely.

๐Ÿ“‰ Technical Analysis โ€“ Clean Price Action Setup

Looking at the 1H chart (attached ๐Ÿ‘‡), Iโ€™ve marked the breakout and breakdown zones:

๐ŸŸฅ Resistance (Breakout Level): $3,092

๐ŸŸฉ Support (Breakdown Level): $3,070

If we break above $3,092 with volume, Iโ€™ll be looking for long positions ๐Ÿš€ targeting the $3,110โ€“$3,120 range.

However, if price fails and breaks down below $3,070 with confirmation, Iโ€™ll shift to shorts targeting $3,040 and potentially $3,028 ๐Ÿช“
๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Key Indicators:

โœ… Price above 50 & 100 MA โ†’ Bullish

๐Ÿ“ RSI around 62 with visible Bearish Divergence โ€“ caution warranted โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“Š Volume increasing at resistance zones โ†’ watching for fakeouts or strong breakouts

๐Ÿ“… My Session-Wise Trading Plan for Monday

๐Ÿ’น Asian Session (early caution):
Iโ€™ll start light, watching for structure. If gold sustains above $3,085 with minor pullbacks, I may scalp small longs.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European Session (volume confirmation):
Volume usually picks up here. Iโ€™ll look to build positions based on whether we confirm a breakout above $3,092 or if we reject and revisit $3,070.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Session (high-volatility window):
I expect increased volatility and possibly a breakout attempt. If fundamentals or news line up, Iโ€™m ready to go aggressive on either breakout or breakdown. Stops will be tight, and Iโ€™ll trail profits. ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ” Risk Management โ€“ Always

๐Ÿ›‘ My Stop-loss:

Below $3,070 for longs

Above $3,085 for shorts

๐Ÿ“Š Position sizing: no more than 2โ€“3% of capital risked per setup.

๐Ÿ“ฐ Will keep eyes on any geopolitical headlines or inflation updates during the day to re-evaluate.
โœ… Final Thoughts

Iโ€™m bullish on gold ๐Ÿ“ˆ, but not blindly so. Iโ€™ll be letting price and structure confirm the next move. Whether we go up or down, Iโ€™m prepared on both ends ๐Ÿ’ช

Let me know how you guys are planning your Monday trades โ€“ Iโ€™m always down to exchange thoughts ๐Ÿ’ฌ

#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #MondaySetup #PriceAction #SafeHaven #Geopolitics #GoldBulls

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