Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025

205
📉 Gold Technical Outlook

Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline.

🔍 Current Technical Context:
Trend: Bearish
Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274
Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220
Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270

A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160.

📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals)
US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices.

Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs.
Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week.
Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone.
Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains.
Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility.
Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement.

📝 Strategy Notes:
Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects)
Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline

Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
Note
snapshot
Gold could not break support, which I have mentioned, now hold tight if you have taken it for a long from 3210 till 3245 by tomorrow, I expect.
Trade active
snapshot
Now, it is time to close your full position.
Trade closed: target reached
All close with 500+pips.

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