Gold fundamentals, November 20
🔹On Wednesday (November 20) in early European trading, gold prices hit 2618 and then stabilized and rebounded. The recent decline in gold prices after a sharp rise is mainly due to some investors choosing to take profits. However, the geopolitical situation surrounding Russia and Ukraine remains a focus of attention, which provides support for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
🔹At the same time, rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar have suppressed gold prices. The market is currently paying close attention to the speeches of Fed officials for clues on the future direction of monetary policy, which may have an important impact on the trend of gold in the coming days. However, if the geopolitical situation becomes tense again, especially if the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalates further, it may drive gold prices to rise sharply again.
🔹The recent strength of the U.S. dollar is mainly due to the market's optimistic expectations for President-elect Trump's economic policies, including potential tax cuts and tariffs, which the market expects may push up inflation. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 4.8%, reflecting the market's increased expectations for strong economic growth.
🔹The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the December meeting has dropped to below 60%, indicating that market expectations for further monetary easing are weakening. The strong performance of the US dollar and bond yields still puts gold under certain pressure in the short term.
🔹Currently, gold prices are affected by multiple factors: on the one hand, geopolitical risks provide support for gold; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields put pressure on gold prices. The future trend will depend on the remarks of Federal Reserve officials and the development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Investors need to pay close attention to relevant developments.
🔹On Wednesday (November 20) in early European trading, gold prices hit 2618 and then stabilized and rebounded. The recent decline in gold prices after a sharp rise is mainly due to some investors choosing to take profits. However, the geopolitical situation surrounding Russia and Ukraine remains a focus of attention, which provides support for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
🔹At the same time, rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar have suppressed gold prices. The market is currently paying close attention to the speeches of Fed officials for clues on the future direction of monetary policy, which may have an important impact on the trend of gold in the coming days. However, if the geopolitical situation becomes tense again, especially if the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalates further, it may drive gold prices to rise sharply again.
🔹The recent strength of the U.S. dollar is mainly due to the market's optimistic expectations for President-elect Trump's economic policies, including potential tax cuts and tariffs, which the market expects may push up inflation. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 4.8%, reflecting the market's increased expectations for strong economic growth.
🔹The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the December meeting has dropped to below 60%, indicating that market expectations for further monetary easing are weakening. The strong performance of the US dollar and bond yields still puts gold under certain pressure in the short term.
🔹Currently, gold prices are affected by multiple factors: on the one hand, geopolitical risks provide support for gold; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields put pressure on gold prices. The future trend will depend on the remarks of Federal Reserve officials and the development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Investors need to pay close attention to relevant developments.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.