After a prolonged period, we've finally broken out of the range market, with our higher time frame strategy yielding over 450 pips in two trades. The first trade peaked at 2338 after surpassing 2323, while the second trade, triggered by a H4 candle closing above 2342, reached 2378 before retracing near the 2380 mark. Now, a new structure is forming in Gold, observed through the H1 SMC Based Setup. This week, expect significant volatility due to major data releases like CPI and Unemployment figures. Currently, Gold seems to be undergoing a pullback phase from its recent high of 2378, with potential support zones at 2344-2337, which previously acted as strong resistance. We'll watch closely for bullish rejection candles or hammer patterns near this area before planning a buy entry, targeting an easy 100 pips. And if this area failed to hold the fall next area we have is around 2328-2322 which may push price upside as this is good POI with another H1 order block.
On the upside, hurdles exist around 2381-2387 & 2392-2400, untested resistance zones along with Bearish order block which may prompt selling opportunities. However, sticking with the trend is preferable. Another potential selling opportunity lies around 2367-2370, with a solid rejection serving as a signal for a sell position, using 2372 as a stop loss and targeting 70-100 pips.While I'll exercise patience, I'll be eagerly awaiting a buy opportunity around the 2344-2337 area, which could potentially yield 100-250 pips in gains.
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