Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 8, 2025

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🔍 Momentum
• D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently turning down, limiting the potential for a long-term rally in the current bullish wave. This also suggests that the top may already have formed around the 3,409 level.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and needs about one more H4 candle to reverse upward. For now, the downward move is likely to continue, so caution is advised.
• H1 Timeframe: Showing early signs of a short-term bearish reversal. This decline is important and will be analyzed further after the wave structure review.

🌀 Wave Structure
The current price action suggests a potential Ending Diagonal formation. Once completed, this pattern is typically followed by a sharp and sudden drop.

So far, no sharp decline has occurred, meaning the ending diagonal may not be finished yet. The ideal completion zones for Wave 5 are around 3412 or 3419.

Ending diagonals tend to develop in a complex manner, so a safer approach is to enter trades after price breaks below the lower boundary of the diagonal.

👉 Additional Scenario: If H1 momentum reverses downward and price breaks below 3381, it is likely to drop toward 3371. This area could be considered for a Buy setup.
Conversely, if price does not break below 3381 and instead rises toward 3412, it may indicate that Wave 5 is completing at that level.

📈 Trading Plan
• SELL Zone 1: 3412 – 3414
o SL: 3417
o TP1: 3393
o TP2: 3372
• SELL Zone 2: 3419 – 3421
o SL: 3429
o TP1: 3395
o TP2: 3372

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