✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 4-8/9/2023
🔥 World situation:
Towards the end of the week, the price of gold (XAU/USD) gave up its daily gains and retreated to around $1,940. Despite a temporary retreat, US yields recovered during the American session. However, gold is still on track to have a winning week with gains of over 1%.
The highly anticipated US Nonfarm Payrolls report for August showed mixed results. On a positive note, the number of new jobs created (NFPs) increased to 187,000, surpassing expectations of 170,000 and exceeding the previous figure of 157,000. Average Hourly Earnings had moderate growth at 0.2% month-on-month (MoM), falling slightly short of expectations at 0.3%. Unemployment also rose in August to reach 3.8%, contrary to forecasts.
In terms of economic activity in the United States, figures from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surpassed consensus estimates in August with an actual reading of 47.6 compared to an expected figure of 47 and a previous reading of 46.4.
US bond yields are often viewed as an opportunity cost for holding gold and experienced volatility following these employment and economic activity reports. The yield on two-year bonds dropped to its lowest level in three weeks at around 4.76% before settling at approximately 4.85%. Similarly, five-year and ten-year yields reached their lowest point since August10th before stabilizing.
🔥 Identify:
This week with important news that has little impact on gold prices, the price will follow market psychology to determine the trend.
Important parameters on US inflation are gradually becoming positive, positive motivation for the dollar. Still according to long-term comments in September, gold prices will fall back to the 1880 area
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $1945, $1972, $2000
Support : $1923, $1905, $1880
Gold price in the first week may not have big changes, it may fluctuate around 1925-1950
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest