đź“ŚFundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
đź“ŠTechnical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
đź“ŠTechnical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
Trade active
Trading is not about analyzing the direction first, but knowing when to enter the market. In the world of trading, it is crucial to have a big picture. This means that we must not only have the ability to see through the big cycle, but also be good at accurately choosing the time in the small cycle. Timing is the key prerequisite for successful trading. Knowing when to choose the time, the transaction is half successful and can occupy a favorable entry position. In this way, risks can be controlled and the advantage naturally tilts to the trader.It is worth noting that trading should not be entangled in the analysis of direction first, but should be the first to find the opportunity. Because once the opportunity is seized, the direction will become clear. With a clear direction, trading will become simple and pure. After all, the market has only two directions, rising and falling. After determining the direction, the rest is to grasp the timing of entry and the execution response during the transaction. In short, in trading, guided by the big picture, keenly capture the opportunity, and then determine the direction, coupled with accurate entry and resolute execution response, can we move forward steadily on the road of trading and reap the fruits of success.
Trade closed: target reached
Gold closed negative on the weekly weekly overnight. Combined with last week's cross star, it can be confirmed that it is a short-term peak signal. This week we also emphasized that all shorts should be cashed in. The weak pattern has not changed. We will treat it with low shocks next week. The daily line closed low with a positive cross star. After a slow rise, it fell back under pressure at 3270. , test Friday's low and then rebound, completing the low shock cycle. The upper pressure remains at 3265-3270, 3285, and the lower support is at 3200-3195, 3167. The low shock idea will be maintained next week, and the operation will be mainly short and auxiliary.
For every friend who proposes cooperation, I will do my best and use my professional strength to help you make profits. I have helped many members achieve stable profits. Directly click on the free witness telegram group:t.me/TP_Daniel1
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
For every friend who proposes cooperation, I will do my best and use my professional strength to help you make profits. I have helped many members achieve stable profits. Directly click on the free witness telegram group:t.me/TP_Daniel1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.