Gold Trading Strategy | July 1–2

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✅Fundamental Analysis:
During the U.S. session on July 1, spot gold moved higher in a choppy manner, reaching a peak of $3,357.88/oz, the highest level in the past three trading days. The recent rebound in gold prices has been primarily driven by the following factors:
🔶A weaker U.S. dollar, providing direct support for gold;
🔶Rising uncertainty around the U.S.-China trade agreement, fueling safe-haven demand;
🔶Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to strengthen, with traders now pricing in at least two rate cuts in 2025;
🔶Reports that former President Trump is considering replacing Fed Chair Jerome Powell with someone more supportive of rate cuts, intensifying expectations for looser monetary policy;
🔶Heightened global economic uncertainty, further reinforcing gold’s role as a safe-haven asset.

✅Technical Analysis:
🔹 4-Hour Chart:
The MACD indicator is showing bullish divergence at the bottom, accompanied by increasing volume, signaling a potential price bottom and rebound. Prices are trending above short-term moving averages and have broken through a previous consolidation resistance zone, indicating a short-term bullish bias.
Watch for a potential secondary rally after a pullback toward the end of the session. Immediate resistance is seen in the $3,375–$3,380 range.

🔹 1-Hour Chart:
Gold is consolidating in a narrow high-level range with limited pullback strength. Candlesticks remain supported by short-term moving averages, suggesting continued upside potential.
Be alert for a resumption of the uptrend once the short-term technical indicators finish their consolidation.

✅Short-Term Trading Strategy:
📌 Buy on dips, sell on rebounds.
🔰Consider entering long positions in the $3,330–$3,335 range;
🔰Stop-loss: $3,327;
🔰Target: $3,350–$3,360, with a potential extension to $3,375–$3,380 if resistance is broken.

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