XAU/USD Long term analysis

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After a 2 week consolidation and a breakout from 1295 resistance I noticed a long term trend line setup.

Gold recently broke above a long term trend line, topped out at 1295 and had a retest on the broken trendline at 1277 level. If we see the monhtly candle close above 1307.0 monthly key level I believe there is more upside coming next month.

First bullish cenario is the price breaking through towards 1325 level, retracing to 1307 support and continueing the trend towards 1360-1370 level.

Second scenario is the price reversing from the monthly key level and entering a selloff towards 1250 level.

I am rather bullish but at the same time cautious. Risk management is key and I plan to enter Long after monthly key level holds as support.

- MA pointing north on Weekly and Daily chart.
- Overall bullish trendline.
- Bullish weekly candle closure.
- Broken trendline retest.
These are all signs of bullish PA and possible continuation of the trend.

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