Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025

101


🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.

Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.

Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.

🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.

If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.

⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.

H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.

H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).

📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357

🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
Trade active
That’s how trading works — we must stick to our Stoploss discipline, even if the price later moves exactly as we expected.
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