XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS

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🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds

🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.

Expect:

Fakeouts before confirmation

Traps near equilibrium

Massive liquidity sweeps NY session

🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.

H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.

H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.

M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.

⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.

📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason

🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.

🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.

3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.

🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.

🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.

🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.

🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.

🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.

If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.

If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.

If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.

🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.

So tomorrow:

Track these POIs, not bias.

Let the market show you its cards.

React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.

💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.

No fear. No hope. Just levels.

— GoldFxMinds








Trade active
🔥 XAUUSD MARKET RECAP – MAY 15, 2025 🔥
Snipers only. No signals, no fluff – just clean zones and execution logic.
— by GoldFxMinds

🧠 CONTEXT – POST-CPI | Post-POWELL
Gold entered the day in a bearish HTF correction, following CPI downside surprise.
The market prepared for Powell’s speech + Claims volatility by building trap zones around equilibrium.

✅ WHAT WORKED – ZONE VALIDATION
ZONE STATUS COMMENT
3285–3295 ❌ Untouched Price didn’t reach final premium OB. Not active.
3235–3245 ❌ Untouched NY spike trap idea invalidated – price reversed earlier.
3205–3200 ✅ Mitigated London tested this supply and rejected → confirmation of bearish continuation.
3180–3174 ✅ Retested Brief pause here but no confirmation. Swept clean in Asia.
3165–3150 ✅ Swept Major liquidity grab during Asia session. SL hunt + reversal setup.
3125–3110 ✅ Activated Perfect mitigation! Deep OB + FVG gave the NY impulse. This was the sniper zone of the day. Top-tier clean bounce.

🔎 STRUCTURE FLOW SNAPSHOT
H4: Bearish → LLs confirmed, but bounce from deep demand shifted short-term direction.

H1: CHoCH printed from 3110 → BOS above 3174 → bullish reclaim confirmed post-Powell.

M15–M5: Beautiful clean CHoCH at 3120 → sniper entry validated. Impulse broke all previous structure levels.

🧨 RECAP TAKEAWAYS
✅ You were right not to buy early under 3200. Clean confirmation only after Asia swept deep zone.
✅ The 3165 trap worked exactly as planned → textbook liquidity raid.
✅ Final OB 3125–3110 was the real sniper zone → all confluences aligned: OB + FVG + sweep + RSI reversal.
❌ No setups triggered above 3200. Short zones above 3235 remain valid but inactive.

🎯 NEXT STEPS
→ Structure is now short-term bullish above 3180
→ Next sell zones: 3235–3245 or 3285–3295 only if price pumps
→ Buy dips only if price re-tests 3165–3150 or 3125–3110 with clean M5 CHoCH

💬 Comment if you caught the bounce or missed it. No chasing. No revenge trades.
This market is rewarding patience — and punishing noise.

— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)

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