Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Continue to short gold after the rebound

195
Fundamentals:

1. Focus on Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference;

2. Pay attention to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations;

Technical aspects:

Gold has successively broken through the important support area of ​​3200 and 3160, and continued to around 3120; the short-term bearish trend is very obvious; although gold has rebounded to around 3170 again in the short term, I think the reason is one of the technical rebound repair after the decline; the second is the result of profit-taking of some short positions. So I fully believe that gold has the need to fall again after the rebound;

At present, we need to focus on the resistance of the 3175-3180 area, followed by the resistance of the 3195-3200 area; if gold cannot break through this resistance area during the rebound, gold is expected to fall again and continue to the area around 3100.

Trading strategy:

Consider the opportunity to short gold after gold rebounds to the 3275-3285 area; TP: 3150

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Gold has not yet effectively broken through 3180 during the rebound process. This round of rebound cannot be considered strong and can only be regarded as a rebound repair behavior. Moreover, there is no obvious bottoming signal below. Gold may fall again. I expect there should be no problem in falling to the area around 3150.

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