[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?

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Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.

4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?

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📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.

📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.

The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.

🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):

Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.

Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.

Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.

Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.

Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).

🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.

Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.

Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.

🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.

Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.

📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82

Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52

Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89

Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93

Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65

Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36

📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.

📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.

Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.

Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
Note
Reality check—market spoke, retail ignored.

The direction? You decide—3272/3279 or 3435.

Attempts lower support at key levels: 3318, 3309, 3300, and 3295. Trading below 3291 shifts focus to reactions at 3277, 3274, 3272, and 3265.

Right now, 3357 is the checkpoint. 2H & 4H—intent is clear. Liquidity is well fed, and 3331 waits in queue.

That signal isn’t enough? Fine—the market loves swimming in the pool. 3301 is the depth—stay vigilant, be cautious, avoid drowning. Monday’s range hinted at the story. The tsunami—delayed, not denied.

The market asks: Are you ready, or still insisting? Because truth doesn’t wait—and delusion is fatal.

For those still waiting for a move above 3357, the rise is definite—but is it now? Perhaps—when price reclaims 3403 and builds toward 3418. Otherwise, an unfounded structure is nothing more than wishful thinking. The market moves—but will you move with it?

And sellers—blind faith holds no value. In this region, neither side can afford delusion. Adapt, respond with clarity, or get caught in the slaughter. The market does not forgive hesitation.

2H
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4H
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Daily
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Anticipate early signs
m45
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m15
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m5
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Daily Limit in play:
Sell below 3350 | SL 3359 | TP 3272
Buy above 3329 | SL 3321 | TP 3408

Right now, price has moved below 3323, yesterday’s low. Waiting for price to stabilize is wise— below 3337;jumping in during a falling knife is highly risky.

Once the daily range activates past either high or low, the tendency for continuation increases, with spread proportionally aligning to Fib targets.

Sellers holding positions above 3357/3351 have ample room to anticipate the fluctuations below 3323.

—especially if targeting lower levels, possibly below 3265.

Watch for reaction:
3301/3310
3296/3285
3323/3320

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Tracking key price levels to watch market sentiment shifts and positioning:

3301/3310 → Possible short-term liquidity grab; price may dip to trap weak positions before reversing. Rejection = sellers in control, absorption = buyers pushing higher.

3296/3285 → Critical support zone. A deeper test may show weakness, but strong defense could signal accumulation for a bounce.

3323/3320 → Near-term resistance. A rejection here keeps sellers in control, while a break signals strength and potential upside momentum.

Invalidation above 3337 → If bulls break this level with conviction, it confirms momentum shift in their favor.

Price near 3312/3285 → Possible stealth accumulation—larger players quietly positioning before the next big move. Moderate volume suggests preparation rather than immediate action.

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📝 [20250528] Follow-Up Market Update
📌 Bias: Bear remains in control below pivot (3312). A strong breach above indicates bulls regaining momentum.

🔑 Pivot Level: 3312 → Bear/Bull flip zone.
Above 3312 = Bullish shift
Below 3312 = Bears remain intact

📊 Daily Active Limits for Monitoring:
🔴 Sell Below: 3338 | SL: 3355 | TP: 3192
🟢 Buy Above: 3297 | SL: 3279 | TP: 3442

📍 Key Price Levels & Sentiment Zones:
3308/3299 → Short-cycle directional move below pivot; watch price reaction for strength or weakness.
3326/3335 → Sentiment flip zone—if rejected below daily limit, bull exhaustion is likely.
3341/3349 → Supported price with volume—successful retest suggests higher attempts.
3325/3291 → Possible bounce range before next move.
3337 → Above this confirms bear invalidation.
3319 → Bull stealth positioning—accumulation ahead of next move.

📌 Market Dynamics:
Momentum-backed counter moves with strong volume indicate a sentiment shift.
Principle for continuation/expansion: Price must break past previous High/Low without exhaustion near key zones.

Below 3267/3264 could see bear continuation, targeting lower levels:
3254 / 3248 / 3242 / 3234 / 3227 / 3224 / 3219 / 3212 / 3198 / 3191 / 3185 / 3182 / 3178 / 3169

Near 3157–3135 = Near-Term next reaction zone
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Current Monthly Candle Range Pre-close Update:

Price continues to move within the monthly-defined range, interacting with key levels:

Pivot Flip: 3301/3302 → Price behavior around this zone could influence sentiment shifts, watching reactions carefully.

Bull Strengthen: 3374.47 → Holding above this level reinforces bullish strength, with expansion potential toward 3568.65.
SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65

Bear Strengthen: 3181.54 → Persistent trading below this level suggests selling pressure remains dominant, with a possible move toward 2987.36.
SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36

Market intent near these levels remains fluid, with reactions providing insight into potential directional bias.

Critical PA ranging below 3053-2941 could suggest market mid-term direction.

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[20250529 - Journal notes]

Hello, good morning. It's Thursday! It seems like the market is favoring patience.

Patience rewards those who stay smart, independent, and open-minded. Monday's trade idea up to yesterday’s anticipation is now showing strong growth, promising yield, and perhaps soon, the harvest will be bountiful.

For those “farmers” who value patience in cultivating “crops”, this harvest is well deserved—aligning perfectly with the Harvest Festival celebrated in Sarawak.

As for these farmers—Monday’s anticipation, Tuesday’s & Wednesday’s sell positions below 3350 & 3338 both triggered, and weekly bounce limits held true right on Wednesday, closing the drop and continuing progress below 3291.

A wise farmer understands that complacency is fatal—it’s neither time to assume nor expect because a bountiful yield needs nurturing until harvest day. Clarity is power—a wise farmer remains vigilant and nurtures “crops” with patience.

Any signs of pests or disease require a specific response—beautiful crops are never an assurance of a bountiful harvest until the time comes. Stay vigilant and mindful of progress.

My “crop” journal is well documented here—let me know your thoughts. If you are another farmer out there, it would be great to connect.
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Personal :farm snapshot here--->snapshot
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Follow up notes of: [20250529]
Overview of Main Dynamic Key-Levels

These levels serve as decision guides and assessment points. Personally, I anticipate the following:
🔹 Below 3319/3312 →
Bear remains in control. Bull control above 3319 shows strong signs of bear weakness.


🔹 3296 →
Bull signs of attempting upper immediate resistances. If price moves past this after a retest, bull strength builds, suggesting an endeavor to invalidate bears at 3337. This 3296 level also signals bull stealth accumulation near the recent day's close at 3287.


🔹 3326 →
This could suggest persistent bull presence, unless it gets absorbed. If bulls remain stubborn, we’ll see if expansion toward 3279-3319 unfolds.


📌 Active Battle Zone:
3267-3253-3248-3234-3227

📌 Anticipate Flat/Trap:
3227-3224-3219-3217-3212-3209

📌 Bear Power / Shakeout:
Below 3200 → Oh well, this is a psychological level—may your clarity lead to the best judgment.

📌 Downtrend?
3191-3157 → We’ll see, okay? This could set the tone for the week. Let’s stick to what we know for now—living in the moment, neither yesterday nor tomorrow.

💡 Final Thought:
Reactions at these levels provide significant clues to sentiment bias or any directional shift.
🔹 Watch for volume, momentum, volatility, and signs of exhaustion—these will guide decision before response.
🔹 Response is action after a clear conclusion of an event. Reaction is simply emotion.

Make your peace.


Ohhh!! In case my readers wonder whether I use AI for this—NOOOOO! I do this manually.

💡 My advantage comes from my personalised Dynamic Key-Level system—I designed this to help me read between the lines.

I built it with the purpose to solve the same issues that retail traders face—everything comes down to emotion, and clarity is truly powerful.

👉 Want to know more? Click to connect with me—we can exchange knowledge and market experiences.
Trade active
This should give a heads-up:

Even though I am fully aware of market sentiment and vigilant anticipation, it would be foolish to ignore a solid opportunity to re-enter later. For now, securing the position at 3288 is the best anticipation for an explosive move.

💡 If price moves lower → It's a win, maximizing potential. 💡 If it accumulates in range → There’s always time to reassess and respond.

This is not guessing—it’s pure logic and execution.

Market conditions shift, but precision in positioning remains the ultimate edge. Liquidity buildup, sentiment shifts, and structure confirmations will dictate whether expansion unfolds or stalls—but as long as the approach is calculated, the move is always justified.

So I’m taking my action right now—because timing with clarity always wins. Any shift above 3277-3291 in this session would play a different set of moves in this game.

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EPIC!!!!!!! LOL, this is funny!!!!!!!!!


A clever liquidity sweep. I act just in time to remove the SL and replace it after the sweep. But I won't do it next time it sweep.


I do this to show the market will just touched your SL and go in the intended direction. Knowing with clarity is the key here.

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to set the context - I knew this is the daily Sell limit at the lower band, so I knew my risk - not a reckless move since I do it to document the UGLY! DIRTY! MARKET TRICK!!


The limit I talked about based on these:
Order Limit Band:
Sell High 3316.28
Sell Low 3286.46
Note
Market Update NYSE Session [20250529]: Fair and Square—SL Secured

The adjusted SL is locked in—fair and square profited from 3354 spread 3288 = 66 point.

On the second attempt, the market shifted and pushed toward 3,326, yet absorption below 3,326 held strong. Volume and absorption signs are clear—closed at 3,312.

Never be complacent or underestimate the power of delusion. The market is filled with eager traders, making SM’s job a piece of cake these days.


Stay patient. This move isn’t over—anticipation and logic remain intact.

I re-entered with small lots—keeping exposure controlled. Next invalidation range: 3,337-3,343-3,355.

📌 Key Insight: The newly formed bottom support needs a retest before an upward move can stabilize. Until then, patience and calculated execution remain key.
4H Level update:
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m15 level update:
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[20250530 - Friday - 10:26hrs UTC+8]:
Good morning!
This move isn’t unusual—so why stress over it if you already anticipated it yesterday or earlier?

The tsunami isn’t denied—it’s delayed. The bearish environment is still in tact below 3355.

Sideways movement already showed signs on Wednesday—if you really noticed the multiple swings in the 4H chart. I did mentioned this in the journal - scroll for Wednesday update.

Since yesterday, many eager retails got trapped or drowned in the pool. This morning 10:00am here, price start move below 3312 - REMEMBER, THIS LEVEL was mentioned multiple times in past update.

The Sell limit at high level 3316 hold true. This also mentioned above. So right now, what are we going to do?

The trap has shown us a better range to anticipate:

Above 3319/3326/3337/3343/3355 will see bull getting excited as always.

3337 remain the major level, a breach above this with convincing strength suggest Bull gain traction toward attempt for 3355.

Below 3316/3303/3296/3290/3282/3276/3270 would see bear waking up from slumber.

Below 3267 where bear momentum build traction; track the move with convincing breach at this key-level, failed to hold support, downside move with momentum and volume suggest further low, signs of exhaustion mean Bull step in.



📌 Active Battle Zone:
3267-3253-3248-3234-3227

📌 Anticipate Flat/Trap:
3227-3224-3219-3217-3212-3209

The current 4H snapshot attached—are we seeing the same thing?

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Note
Btw, the above position manually closed at 3293 before it went to test 3308. Risky but with profit secured.

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