XAUUSD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
OVERALL TREND
๐ DOWNTREND โ A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.
๐ดRESISTANCE ZONE
๐ฏENTRIES & TARGETS
๐ขSUPPORT ZONE
๐OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS
๐MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY
๐คSTRUCTURAL NOTES
TRADE OUTLOOK ๐
๐งชSTRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
โ Entry: Sell below 3,315
โ TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
โ SL: Above 3,418
AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
โ Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
โ TP: 3,164 / 3,228
โ SL: Below 2,956
โDiscipline | Consistency | PAY-tienceโขโ
OVERALL TREND
๐ DOWNTREND โ A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.
๐ดRESISTANCE ZONE
- ๐ด 3,500.000 โ SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
- ๐ด 3,473.328 โ SELL ORDER 2
- ๐ด 3,418.942 โ SELL ORDER 1
๐ฏENTRIES & TARGETS
- ๐ฏ 3,315.400 โ SELL ORDER & TP1
- ๐ฏ 3,228.382 โ SELL ORDER & TP2 | Mid-Pivot
- ๐ฏ 3,164.297 โ SELL ORDER & TP3
- ๐ฏ 3,065.920 โ EXIT SELL & TP4
๐ขSUPPORT ZONE
- ๐ข 3,041.597 โ BUY Order 1 |
- ๐ข 2,983.746 โ BUY Order 2 |
- ๐ข 2,956.560 โ Dynamic Support | Reversal Watch
๐OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS
- RSI at 38.17 โ Weak, nearing oversold
- Stoch %K at 11.77 โ Near bottom, possible bounce
- CCI at โ124 โ Deeply oversold, buy signal building
- MACD & Momentum โ Both signaling strong bearish continuation
- Stochastic RSI flat at 0.000 โ Indicates a bottoming potential
๐MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY
- All 10โ50 MAs are SELL signals โ Short-term sentiment bearish
- 100 & 200 EMAs/SMA โ Still supportive (BUY), suggesting macro trend not broken
- VWMA and Ichimoku Baseline confirm short-term bearish control
๐คSTRUCTURAL NOTES
- Rejection from 3,500-level created a sharp fall back inside the previous range
- Short-term bearish control confirmed by a clean break below 3,315 (TP1)
- Major confluence area forming near 3,041โ2,983 as next test zone
- Volume profile favors bounce if buyers defend 2,956โ3,041 range
TRADE OUTLOOK ๐
- ๐ Sell Bias active below 3,315 with deep pullback toward 3,041โ2,983 likely
- ๐ High-Risk Long Reversal possible near 2,956 support if volume spikes and momentum shifts
- ๐ Watch Hull MA (3,278) โ rising into falling price = potential compression setup
๐งชSTRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
โ Entry: Sell below 3,315
โ TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
โ SL: Above 3,418
AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
โ Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
โ TP: 3,164 / 3,228
โ SL: Below 2,956
โDiscipline | Consistency | PAY-tienceโขโ
Professor C. E. Ward
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Professor C. E. Ward
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.