#XAUUSD 1H

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#XAUUSD 1H

Market Structure:
• The price is in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows.
• A descending trendline is present, acting as dynamic resistance.
• The recent price action shows a slight pullback from the low, heading towards a potential resistance zone.

Key Levels:
1. Support Levels:
• 2,834.270: Marked as a significant support level where price previously found demand.
• Current price (2,858.140) is approaching a lower timeframe resistance zone.
2. Resistance Levels:
• 2,888.180: A key resistance level where price may reject if it reaches this area.
• 2,916.820: A stronger resistance zone, marking a previous supply area.

Supply Zones (Shaded in Blue):
• The first zone around 2,868 - 2,875 is an immediate resistance area where sellers may step in.
• A larger supply zone exists around 2,888 - 2,900, aligning with horizontal resistance.

Possible Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation (More Likely):
• If price reaches the lower blue supply zone (2,868 area) and rejects it, the downtrend is likely to continue towards the 2,834 support.
• A break below 2,834 would indicate further downside potential.
2. Bullish Reversal (Less Likely but Possible):
• If price breaks above the trendline and holds above 2,888, we could see a shift in structure, targeting 2,916 next.

Conclusion:
• Bias: Bearish until key resistance (2,888) is broken.
• Strategy: Watch for a bearish reaction at the supply zones for short opportunities, or a strong breakout above 2,888 for a bullish shift.

Disclaimer

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