XAUUSD - Breakdown: CPI Week

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The only news I am focusing on this week is the mighty CPI coming up this week. With oil & energy prices creeping higher, I expect CPI to come in just in line to prediction or slightly elevated, though nothing too drastic, this keeps us in a higher-for-longer rate environment, fueling a DXY bullish bounce and keeping the Gold bears in play. If the data surprises, we’ll adjust accordingly and trade accordingly.

If the numbers land in line with forecasts: No real surprises, market already priced in. In this case, the outlook is neutral to slightly bearish.

If below forecast, a weaker CPI print could increase the odds of an early rate cut. That will likely weaken the dollar, which is good for $Gold. So, this will lead to bullish sentiment for $XAUUSD.

Will also watch RISK ON/OFF Sentiment

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