XAU/USD: Analysis and Forecast

Today, gold sustains modest intraday growth during the first half of the European session, though it lacks the momentum for a stronger upward move. Uncertainty surrounding U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, fears of a trade war, and geopolitical tensions act as tailwinds for the precious metal.

The $2665 level serves as a strong resistance barrier. Considering the 200 EMA on the daily chart has just begun to gain positive momentum, a sustained break above this barrier could act as a new trigger for bulls, paving the way for further gains. Subsequent upward movement could lift gold prices to intermediate resistance in the $2681-2683 zone, and route to the psychological $2700 level.

On the other hand, weakness below the $2635 level will find some support near the 1oo-day SMA and the weekly low around $2615-2614, established on Monday Following this, a confluence of the psychological $2600 level with the 100-day EMA and a short-term upward trendline extending from November's low provides additional support. A convincing break below this confluence would expose December's low in the $2583 level. If this level is breached, he probability would shift in favor of the bears.
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