XAUUSD NFP ANALYSIS 10-01-2025 #SEMS #SAGAAHELITE
🚨 XAUUSD (Spot Gold) NFP DAY 🔖 10-1-2025 🚨
Sell at: $2692-$2712-$2734-$2754
Buy at: $2640-$2625-$2600-$2580
CMP - $2679.45 (as of writing) 📈
⚠️Warning: Do not risk more than 5% of your capital. Trading in gold and other financial markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses.
🚨📝Data scheduled to be published at 19:00 hrs
9:00 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) (Dec) 4.0% 4.0%
19:00 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Dec) 0.3% 0.4%
19:00 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 164K 227K
19:00 USD Participation Rate (Dec) 62.5%
19:00 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 135K 194K
19:00 USD U6 Unemployment Rate (Dec) 7.8%
19:00 USD Unemployment Rate (Dec) 4.2% 4.2%
Gold Prices Set for Weekly Gain Amid Anticipation of US Jobs Data
Gold prices remained near a four-week high on Friday, positioning for their best weekly performance since mid-November. Investors are closely watching upcoming U.S. jobs data to assess the Federal Reserve's potential pace of interest rate cuts throughout the year.
________________________________________
Treasury Yields and Market Dynamics
Open Interest and Rising Yields
Recent shifts in open interest data on US 10-year note futures show that traders have consistently increased their bets on higher yields daily since the start of the year. This trend has driven the 10-year yield closer to 5%, reflecting a growing appetite for bearish positions in the Treasury market.
• 20-Year Yield: Surpassed 5% for the first time since 2023, driven by concerns over potential inflationary pressures and wider fiscal deficits linked to President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals.
• 30-Year Yield: Climbed to 4.96%, while the 10-year yield rose to nearly 4.73%, approaching its highest levels since November 2023.
These moves are consistent with trends observed in both the UK and emerging markets, where yields have similarly surged.
________________________________________
Markets Await Crucial Employment Data Amid Recession Fears
Investors remain on edge as they await the release of key employment figures, a critical indicator that could signal the trajectory of the U.S. economy and the potential onset of a recession. The 10-year Treasury yield, a bellwether for economic sentiment, is hovering near its highest point since April, highlighting market anxiety over upcoming data.
Sell at: $2692-$2712-$2734-$2754
Buy at: $2640-$2625-$2600-$2580
CMP - $2679.45 (as of writing) 📈
⚠️Warning: Do not risk more than 5% of your capital. Trading in gold and other financial markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses.
🚨📝Data scheduled to be published at 19:00 hrs
9:00 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) (Dec) 4.0% 4.0%
19:00 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Dec) 0.3% 0.4%
19:00 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 164K 227K
19:00 USD Participation Rate (Dec) 62.5%
19:00 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 135K 194K
19:00 USD U6 Unemployment Rate (Dec) 7.8%
19:00 USD Unemployment Rate (Dec) 4.2% 4.2%
Gold Prices Set for Weekly Gain Amid Anticipation of US Jobs Data
Gold prices remained near a four-week high on Friday, positioning for their best weekly performance since mid-November. Investors are closely watching upcoming U.S. jobs data to assess the Federal Reserve's potential pace of interest rate cuts throughout the year.
________________________________________
Treasury Yields and Market Dynamics
Open Interest and Rising Yields
Recent shifts in open interest data on US 10-year note futures show that traders have consistently increased their bets on higher yields daily since the start of the year. This trend has driven the 10-year yield closer to 5%, reflecting a growing appetite for bearish positions in the Treasury market.
• 20-Year Yield: Surpassed 5% for the first time since 2023, driven by concerns over potential inflationary pressures and wider fiscal deficits linked to President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals.
• 30-Year Yield: Climbed to 4.96%, while the 10-year yield rose to nearly 4.73%, approaching its highest levels since November 2023.
These moves are consistent with trends observed in both the UK and emerging markets, where yields have similarly surged.
________________________________________
Markets Await Crucial Employment Data Amid Recession Fears
Investors remain on edge as they await the release of key employment figures, a critical indicator that could signal the trajectory of the U.S. economy and the potential onset of a recession. The 10-year Treasury yield, a bellwether for economic sentiment, is hovering near its highest point since April, highlighting market anxiety over upcoming data.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.