Macro theme: - Markets are analyzing the latest FOMC minutes while awaiting key US data to clarify the Fed’s monetary policy outlook. - The minutes showed a cautious stance on rate cuts, favoring gradual adjustments. Markets currently see a 66% chance of a 0.25% cut in Dec, lending medium-term support to gold. - However, gold faces pressure from easing geopolitical tensions, a stronger USD, and a 43% YoY drop in China’s net gold imports.
Technical theme: - XAUUSD found support around 2606, confluence with EMA78. The price is consolidating within a trading range of 2606-2719 and waiting for an apparent breakout. - If XAUUSD closes above 2719, the price may retest the previous swing high around 2790. - On the contrary, closing below 2606 may prompt a quick resting to the key following support at 2555.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
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