Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural

420
📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;

European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;

🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
Trade active
We have been short selling continuously today and have achieved good profits. Gold is in a volatile downward trend as a whole. Judging from the current trend, gold short selling has not ended. It is still a short selling trend. The rebound of gold is an opportunity for short selling.
Trade closed: target reached
Short position near 3226 overnight, after selecting manual SL near 3235. I have clearly reminded that gold may still continue to rebound to the 3255-3265 area. So after manually closing the short position, I took the opportunity to go long gold near 3238 and set TP: 3265. Gold currently rebounded to a maximum of 3262 and then fell back. In order to lock in profits in time, we once again chose to manually close the position near 3253 to lock in profits in time.

There are also good profits. It is also a very good result for short-term trading. This is not congratulations for making a profit, but because we strictly abide by the trading logic, after manually closing the short position and bearing limited losses, we bravely seized the opportunity to go long gold, and we successfully turned a loss into a profit! The trading logic and thinking are more important than profits, which is what makes me most satisfied! There is an NFP market today. I hope that we can still accurately grasp the rhythm of long and short changes and keep up the good work!

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.