Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short

Bearish Dominant: Analysis of Gold's Bear Flag Pattern

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Visible Bear Flag Pattern
After observing the chart, the bear flag pattern is clearly visible as part of the price structure. Here are the details:
Identification of the Bear Flag Pattern
The bear flag pattern is a continuation pattern that usually occurs in a bearish trend.
It consists of:
- Flagpole: A sharp drop in price before the formation of the pattern. In the chart, the sharp drop from the area around 2,697,710 to 2,605,716 forms the “pole.”
- Flag: Price movement that consolidates within a rising channel after the pole. The chart shows the price moving within a narrow rising channel, reflecting a minor correction in the main bearish trend.
Bear Flag Confirmation
- This pattern is usually confirmed when the price breaks the flag support line downwards, which is often followed by a sharp drop to a level equivalent to the length of the flagpole.
Supporting Analysis
Fibonacci Levels:
- Fibonacci levels of 0.5 (2,650,426) and 0.382 (2,664,237) act as resistance which reinforces the possibility that the upward movement is just a correction within the main bearish trend.
SMA indicators:
- SMA 50 (2,652,821) and SMA 200 (2,681,538) that are above the price show the dominance of the bearish trend.
- The price failing to break the SMA 50 confirms the weak bullish momentum.
Bear Flag Pattern Conclusion
1. Market Sentiment:
The dominant bearish trend reinforces the potential for a bear flag pattern.
2. Strategy:
- Confirmation of the bear flag occurs if the price breaks the channel support around 2,630,000 to 2,604,809.
- Downside targets are around the flagpole length, which is expected to take the price to 2,538,577 or even 2,515,894.

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