[20250522] - Gold Overview

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1️⃣ Market Overview:
📌 Recent Closed: 3315
📌 Bullish sentiment confirmed above (3265)
📌 Key reversal threshold: (3296)

2️⃣ Key Observations:
✅ Price above (3253) suggests continued bullish bias.
✅ Recent High 3320—watch for a strong breakout or exhaustion.
✅ Next liquidity Range: 3337 (upside), 3264 (downside).

3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Continuation: Closing above 3320 confirms momentum toward 3337.
🔹 Bearish Exhaustion: Failure to hold 3296 could trigger a reversal toward 3253.
🔹 Invalidation: 💡 A break below 3296, failing Bull POC (3265), would shift sentiment bearish.

4️⃣ Entry & Target Levels:
🔹 Bullish Entry:
✔️ Price holding above 3296 strengthens bullish sentiment.
✔️ A confirmed break above 3320 opens room for a run toward 3337 liquidity zone.

🔹 Bearish Entry:
✔️ If price fails to sustain above 3296, watch for confirmation near 3253 VAH.
✔️ A strong rejection leads price toward next liquidity at 3264.

🎯 Targets:
Upside: 3320 breakout leads toward 3337 liquidity zone.
Downside: Failure at 3296 opens movement toward 3264 liquidity support.

📢 Your Thoughts? Drop a comment and let me know what you think! 🚀
Note
To show this move is a mere correction, a failed retest of 3322 and a price break above would indicate buyer strength.

On the 4H timeframe, structural anticipation suggests the potential completion of wave-D in the 3-drive pattern. If wave-D proves valid, the next downside move will likely target the lower area of 3044/3029, with 3022 as a possible extreme.

The first indication of bearish presence would be a move below 3295, followed by a successful retest of this level, aligning with [20250522] today’s market overview.

m5 Retest Level 3322 refer below:
snapshot
m15 signals Selling pressure:
snapshot
4H anticipation for 3-Drive pattern completion refer below:
snapshot
Note
Sneaking intent—trading closed just below the most anticipated zone, shy above 3295 by decimals. 3296 marks the true moment. What’s your take from here? The big picture remains intact—no decision within the 3000-3265 range.

Refer 4H & 2H snapshot below:--->
🔸 4H TF suggesting that the audience is eagerly waiting: snapshot
🔸 Meanwhile, 2H TF can only accommodate limited seats within this hall (3000-3265): snapshot

Looking into M45—will it consolidate or take a sharp move? The market will reveal itself in Asia time.

Is this real intent or just another flirtation? You decide. So far, this tease isn’t convincing below the key level in M45—the magician of market games. The wise approach remains: wait for validation rather than speculation.

Refer M45 snapshot below:---> snapshot

🔸 While M15 is adding spices and stirring the pot, suggesting M45 is about to set the stage: snapshot

🔸 And M5 is asking—what’s happening at 3288? What is that oddness? It’s being guarded well, that’s for sure: snapshot

🔸 Sensing vultures circling, gathering for the carcass. M1 is moving too soon—early signs of positioning already in play: snapshot

✨ Prelude to the storm—will this chaos be the final deception before the real shift, or just another misdirection?
Note
"Sentiment shift" happened as anticipated in the idea notes.

It's going to be interesting to see. Of course, the flirt is really sexy—beautifully executed.

We'll see how this plays out—a blossoming love or a great disappointment. Perhaps, by NYSE EOD, the market will reveal its hand. If today's wave realization firms up, the storm could settle.

The rainy winter may finally transition into spring. Let the market take its course. All the best to all readers, and happy weekends. Its going to be a busy week in next cycle, I would be away for Harvest festival in Sarawak. Will be back to check on the progress. Be patient, be independent, be smart, only response with action when confirmation is solid. Avoid reactive emotion, no noise, no distraction, only listen to market - it will tell you exactly what to do.

Overview picture:
snapshot

4H TF - refer key-level to watch for strength:
snapshot

2H TF - Key-level to refer for direction:
snapshot

m45 TF - Key-level to refer for assessing intend:
snapshot

m15 TF - Key-level for next signal shift:
snapshot

m5 TF - for any early alert on signal shift:
snapshot
Note
Of course it hit 3364.65 High and quickly move down, is this ripe yet? Well, we saw it touched limit where the bull strength is undeniable above that pink line 3362.62.

How far will this go next? Watch for the reaction at the key-level and assess the shift according with your risk appetite.

snapshot
Note
The following Dynamic Key-level for monitoring progress:

2H:
snapshot

m45:
snapshot

m15:
snapshot

m5:
snapshot

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