Gold has rallied strongly this week, with the move accelerating after breaking resistance—now support—at USD 2,725, clearing the path to retest last year’s record high at USD 2,790. In our recently published Q1 2025 outlook, we reiterated our long-held bullish view on both gold and silver. Demand for investment metals continues to be fueled by an uncertain geopolitical landscape, where global tensions and economic shifts have led investors to seek safer assets. With Trump 2.0 upon us, this development shows no signs of fading, given the potential risks of tariffs causing inflation to move higher and the dollar eventually weakening, thereby removing an obstacle standing in the way of further gains.
Central bank buying looks set to continue, thereby providing a soft floor under the market, as they seek to diversify away from the USD and USD-based assets such as bonds. Together with concerns about mounting global debt, particularly in the United States, investors continue to seek a hedge against economic instability by turning to precious metals, including both gold and silver.
We forecast a potential decline in the gold-to-silver ratio, which currently trades above 89, possibly moving towards 75—a level seen earlier in 2024. If this occurs, and with gold reaching our current forecast of USD 2,900 per ounce, silver might trade above USD 38 per ounce, both well above the cost of carry.
Central bank buying looks set to continue, thereby providing a soft floor under the market, as they seek to diversify away from the USD and USD-based assets such as bonds. Together with concerns about mounting global debt, particularly in the United States, investors continue to seek a hedge against economic instability by turning to precious metals, including both gold and silver.
We forecast a potential decline in the gold-to-silver ratio, which currently trades above 89, possibly moving towards 75—a level seen earlier in 2024. If this occurs, and with gold reaching our current forecast of USD 2,900 per ounce, silver might trade above USD 38 per ounce, both well above the cost of carry.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.