๐ก XAU/USD โ Gold Testing Buy-Side Liquidity Pool,
๐ Date: June 29, 2025
๐ Timeframe: H4 (4-Hour Chart)
๐ Indicators Used: Ichimoku Cloud, Volume Profile
๐ป Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been under consistent bearish pressure, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price recently touched a key demand zone around $3,270, where buyers have historically responded.
๐ Key Technical Levels:
Level Significance
$3,270โ3,250 Major support zone (high volume area)
$3,325 Cloud resistance / Pivot zone
$3,328 Tenkan-Sen / Immediate resistance
$3,313 Current market price
โ๏ธ Ichimoku Insights:
Price Below Cloud: Confirms bearish market structure.
Future Cloud (Senkou Span): Flat and wide โ signals strong resistance ahead.
Kijun-Tenkan Twist: Distance between base and conversion lines indicates momentum divergence and potential short-term pullback.
๐ Volume Profile:
Highest traded volume (Point of Control) is centered just above the support zone, suggesting accumulation is in play.
Thin volume overhead implies a low-friction move toward $3,325 possible if bulls regain control.
๐ Price Projection:
The projected path shows a rounded retest pattern, indicating:
Short-term consolidation above support.
Potential bullish retracement toward $3,325 cloud resistance.
Reaction at this level will determine next trend leg (rejection vs breakout).
๐งญ Strategic Outlook:
Scenario 1: Bullish Retracement
Entry: Above $3,280
Target: $3,325 (Cloud base)
Risk: Below $3,250 (Support invalidation)
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation
If price fails to reclaim $3,300+, expect new lows toward $3,240 or lower.
๐ง Summary:
XAU/USD is currently in a corrective phase within a larger downtrend.
A bounce from the support zone could offer a tactical long toward cloud resistance, but caution is advised near $3,325โ$3,330 โ a decisive breakout or rejection will guide the next wave.
๐ Date: June 29, 2025
๐ Timeframe: H4 (4-Hour Chart)
๐ Indicators Used: Ichimoku Cloud, Volume Profile
๐ป Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been under consistent bearish pressure, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price recently touched a key demand zone around $3,270, where buyers have historically responded.
๐ Key Technical Levels:
Level Significance
$3,270โ3,250 Major support zone (high volume area)
$3,325 Cloud resistance / Pivot zone
$3,328 Tenkan-Sen / Immediate resistance
$3,313 Current market price
โ๏ธ Ichimoku Insights:
Price Below Cloud: Confirms bearish market structure.
Future Cloud (Senkou Span): Flat and wide โ signals strong resistance ahead.
Kijun-Tenkan Twist: Distance between base and conversion lines indicates momentum divergence and potential short-term pullback.
๐ Volume Profile:
Highest traded volume (Point of Control) is centered just above the support zone, suggesting accumulation is in play.
Thin volume overhead implies a low-friction move toward $3,325 possible if bulls regain control.
๐ Price Projection:
The projected path shows a rounded retest pattern, indicating:
Short-term consolidation above support.
Potential bullish retracement toward $3,325 cloud resistance.
Reaction at this level will determine next trend leg (rejection vs breakout).
๐งญ Strategic Outlook:
Scenario 1: Bullish Retracement
Entry: Above $3,280
Target: $3,325 (Cloud base)
Risk: Below $3,250 (Support invalidation)
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation
If price fails to reclaim $3,300+, expect new lows toward $3,240 or lower.
๐ง Summary:
XAU/USD is currently in a corrective phase within a larger downtrend.
A bounce from the support zone could offer a tactical long toward cloud resistance, but caution is advised near $3,325โ$3,330 โ a decisive breakout or rejection will guide the next wave.
Forex Market Analyst | XAU/USD Specialist
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Forex Market Analyst | XAU/USD Specialist
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. Comprehensive Forex Mentorship Program
. Affiliate Program for growth-driven partners
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.