{Bearish} XAUUSD ICT-Based Trade Setup (4H Analysis)

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Description

  • Price has recently pushed above equilibrium, tapping into a buy-side imbalance (IMB) zone. This move appears to serve as inducement, pulling in breakout traders just above a previous structure, where liquidity likely resides.


  • Earlier, the market printed a clear bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS), followed by a return to a key support level (3,244), which formed a hammer candle — a possible short-term liquidity engineering move.

Now, price is hovering around equilibrium, facing resistance from a FVG/IMB zone, suggesting that this move up was likely a liquidity run, not true bullish intent.

With:

  • MSS already formed,

  • IDM (internal draw on liquidity) targeted,


  • and price reacting from imbalance above EQ,



  • This zone may act as a high-probability turning point for a short opportunity, especially if lower timeframes start breaking structure again to the downside.


> Bias: Bearish
Short-Term Target: FVG around 3,325
Long-Term Target: Retest of key support ~3,244
Invalidation: Clean break and hold above 3,350–3,360 zone

#Gold #forex #XAUUSD #GOLD #analysis #ICT #SMC #FVG #MSS

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