XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFF Part II

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I missed to Publish my Idea here, I frequently share charts on my X handle for those who would like to follow, JOHNDOUGHFX

OK let get into it.. I will publish my entire Idea as I did from the start of the sells, it has been quiet accurate but with terrible choppy PA.

FOMC likely a no move event. Rates to stay high due to tariff risks, Gold has been sentiment driven from last week-so Risk ON/OFF dominates.
Israel-Iran talks ongoing → expect noise + fake escalations before a “Deal"

Gold Order Flow zones at 3409 / 3450

Israel–Iran conflict = main wildcard.
Expect sudden headline moves: escalation threats → quick spikes.
But watch for fake outs followed by a “deal” headlines.
That’s your Risk ON trigger.
Buy the rumor, sell the news.

Key levels for XAUUSD:
⚠️ Liquidity trap zone: 3409–3415
⚠️ Double top watch: 3448–3450 (psy level)
Below 3400, we could fade toward:
🔻 3350
🔻 3330
🔻 3322
Plan both sides, don’t chase breakouts.


For today's Analysis, Yesterday we have closed a bullish Doji Candle, signaling buyers, even though we broke below today, there was no selling pressure breaking the previous Daily low, and it has reacted close to As we have tapped the 39 Area, and pulled back, 43-45 if defended, will see price push higher into the high 65-70-75 extended Price Points before we can look for sells again.

As Iran - US tensions are now extended for 2 weeks, I believe the typical news escalations will keep price action on the edge, at present the market is sentiment driven with Risk OFF, so plan your trades accordingly. Risk ON can come with any optimistic news, especially a "DEAL"

Cheers and have a good last trading day!!

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