XAUUSD: THE RESISTANCE IS COMING!
XAUUSD Sell Setup: Wave 4 Retracement Expected After Wave 3 Peak at 3032.92
(Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Analysis)
Trade Rationale:
Wave Structure:
Wave 3 has likely completed at 3032.92 (projected via 261.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1).
Wave 4 is now anticipated as a corrective pullback, typically retracing 23.6%-50% of Wave 3.
Technical Confluence:
Price is at a major resistance zone (Wave 3 high).
Bearish divergence on RSI/MACD suggests weakening momentum.
Fibonacci retracement levels align with Elliott Wave rules for Wave 4.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 3032–3040 (short on bearish reversal confirmation: pin bars, rejection candles, or breakdown below 3032).
Targets:
TP1: 2744.89 (23.6% retracement of Wave 3)
TP2: 2565.98 (38.2% retracement)
TP3: 2421.75 (50% retracement – strongest support)
Stop Loss: 3080 (above Wave 3 high to allow volatility).
Key Chart Levels:
Support: 2744 (23.6%) → 2565 (38.2%) → 2421 (50%)
Resistance: 3032 (Wave 3 peak) → 3080 (invalidates bearish bias if breached).
(Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Analysis)
Trade Rationale:
Wave Structure:
Wave 3 has likely completed at 3032.92 (projected via 261.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1).
Wave 4 is now anticipated as a corrective pullback, typically retracing 23.6%-50% of Wave 3.
Technical Confluence:
Price is at a major resistance zone (Wave 3 high).
Bearish divergence on RSI/MACD suggests weakening momentum.
Fibonacci retracement levels align with Elliott Wave rules for Wave 4.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 3032–3040 (short on bearish reversal confirmation: pin bars, rejection candles, or breakdown below 3032).
Targets:
TP1: 2744.89 (23.6% retracement of Wave 3)
TP2: 2565.98 (38.2% retracement)
TP3: 2421.75 (50% retracement – strongest support)
Stop Loss: 3080 (above Wave 3 high to allow volatility).
Key Chart Levels:
Support: 2744 (23.6%) → 2565 (38.2%) → 2421 (50%)
Resistance: 3032 (Wave 3 peak) → 3080 (invalidates bearish bias if breached).
Trade active
Focus on 2847 -2855 as resistanceNote
We are getting so close , our team has extended our TP to 3169.30Note
Our TP is till 3169 on this and it is getting slowly
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.