Long

Updated

Gameplan for Bears and Bulls

Bulls need to retrace, consolidate, accumulate and finally push through 7200 dollar with volume. Bears are exhausted until next fibonacci time zone and release pressure fase are beginning in the next cycle.

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Ignore the short-interest ratio and use this study:

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Pullback to support may lead to accumulation (cup & handle, investopedia.com/terms/c/cupandhandle.asp) .

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Target was successful reached. Next step is to take short-positions. Target may be 7140 dollar at 7240 dollar.

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Take short positions i.e. if TD sequentials show a streak of 9 greens and 2 red or more streaks. Check the Stoch RSI and pump https://strength.https://www.tradingview.com/x/ftPUxyTy/

Trade closed: target reached

Short-positions closed at 6400 dollar. I see 3 black crows in 8 hour timewindow. There is an opppertunity to go long if riskreward is acceptable. 3 Black crows are in the making in 1 day and 2D chart. Big momentums are still in play at the moment.

Trade active

Short-position on momentum and volume play. DCA short-positions and add more margins if needed. Close positions near stop-loss by adding as much close positions (BitMEX) to reduce losses. Then close all positions. Add/remove on momentum reversals.

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Riskreward:

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Dollar value averaging (DVA) is a strategy that I'm executing. I buy more positions on the reversals from the inside out: look at lower timeframes (15minutes) to get best entries and to load the stack. If your stop-loss limit is almost hit, buy as much positions before closing all all positions to minimize losses. The next days until 9-11 the bearish momentum of the squeeze is still in play. Check frequently if the bearish route is maintained!

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The close lower than 21-EMA is a bear flag besides the release squeeze of 4 days. Don't forget to increase the margins to prevent liquidations.

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Targets are lower lows: 6250, 6150, 6000, 5800 until 9-11.

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3rd Fib timezone may have a dump. Squeeze Momentums & reversals are simular.

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Short positions limit loss closed. Wait for next play.

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Best play is to resume bearish actions. Respect the stop-loss limits and do dollar value averaging for shorts. Marketmakers may manipulate with volume like today but the overall trend is downwards.

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Consider previous bearmarket in 2014. It may happen again if the 200-MA is crossed over.
tradingview.com/chart/b8fjjRkv/

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Comparison bearmarkets:

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Bearmarket 2013

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4h shows probable high movement downards: declining rsi, stoch rsi continuation pattern, dump fase is growing, high energy burst of chopp.

dmodiwirijo

Related publications

Gameplan for Bulls & Bears

by dmodiwirijo

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