Monero: The Hidden Signal of Altseason — A Fractal Reversal Confirmed Across Markets and Timeframes
While the market is still chasing noise from meme tokens and hype narratives, Monero (XMR) is silently building one of the cleanest structural setups I’ve seen this year. And it’s not just happening on one chart — this setup is being confirmed across multiple timeframes, pairs, and fractal levels.
1. XMRBTC (Weekly): The Foundation Is Set
On the weekly chart of XMRBTC, a classic double bottom has already formed. The neckline — aligned precisely with the 100-period moving average (MA100) — has been broken and successfully retested. This kind of structure, especially on a long-term timeframe, often marks the initiation phase of a new market cycle.
This is exactly the type of pattern I focus on in my proprietary approach: Fractal Reversal Law (FRL). The essence of FRL is that every market phase ends with a reversal pattern, where the neckline is flat and usually anchored to the origin of the last impulse — often near MA100. This pattern here is textbook.
2. XMRBTC (H1): A Smaller Echo of the Same Structure
Zooming in, we see an almost identical reversal structure forming on the H1 chart of XMRBTC. A minor correction inside a broader uptrend created another double bottom. The neckline? Again — MA100.
This structure mirrors the weekly pattern, just at a smaller scale — a direct confirmation of the fractal nature of reversals, a core component of FRL.
The significance here is not only in the pattern itself but in where it appears: right at the retest zone of the weekly breakout.
3. XMRUSD: Fibonacci Precision Meets Structural Logic
In the XMRUSD pair, we see further confirmation:
• Price made a strong upward impulse
• A correction followed, landing precisely at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
• A reversal formation is now visible on H1
• Neckline again aligns with MA100
• A bullish MACD divergence confirms momentum shift
This reinforces that the reversal we’re observing is not isolated. It’s happening across both BTC and USD pairs — a rare form of intermarket confirmation.
4. Reversal Against BTC = Signal and Context
From a broader view, a structural reversal against BTC is never a coincidence. It often signals more than just technical bounce — it suggests that:
• The alt is starting to outperform Bitcoin
• The background trend in BTC is supportive, not restrictive
It’s difficult to imagine a double bottom structure against BTC completing successfully during a strongly bearish phase in Bitcoin.
So, the pattern itself implies the context — that BTC is either stable or trending upward.
In this case, we’re not just spotting a reversal — we’re identifying the start of a sector rotation.
5. Fundamentals Matter — and Monero Delivers
While the structure is strong, Monero also holds weight fundamentally:
• It’s the most established and respected privacy coin, with real cryptographic innovation (ring signatures, stealth addresses, bulletproofs)
• It has resistance to ASIC centralization, fair emission, and a loyal dev community
• In an age of increasing regulation and surveillance, privacy coins may regain strategic importance
It’s not driven by hype, and that’s exactly why it might lead the next structural altseason.
Conclusion: Structure Is the Signal
What we’re seeing here is more than a pattern — it’s a fractal, multi-asset confirmation across timeframes.
• Weekly double bottom on XMRBTC
• Intraday reversal at the retest zone
• Fibonacci-aligned reversal with MACD divergence on XMRUSD
• MA100 acting as a dynamic neckline across all timeframes
Fibonacci Targets: Where Can Monero Go from Here?
If this setup plays out as expected, price targets can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels from the latest bullish impulse on the XMRBTC chart. The key levels are:
• 0.005 BTC — initial target based on the 1.618.
• 0.0077 BTC — corresponds to the 2.618.
• 0.010 BTC — round psychological level and the 3.618 .
These levels are not just mathematical — they also align with historical liquidity zones and may act as key take-profit areas during the next wave of the trend.
Each target should be monitored in the context of Bitcoin’s overall market behavior. But if the current FRL structure truly marks the end of an accumulation phase, Monero has room to move significantly higher.
This is a textbook FRL alignment, and one of the strongest multi-dimensional setups I’ve seen recently.
While the market is still chasing noise from meme tokens and hype narratives, Monero (XMR) is silently building one of the cleanest structural setups I’ve seen this year. And it’s not just happening on one chart — this setup is being confirmed across multiple timeframes, pairs, and fractal levels.
1. XMRBTC (Weekly): The Foundation Is Set
On the weekly chart of XMRBTC, a classic double bottom has already formed. The neckline — aligned precisely with the 100-period moving average (MA100) — has been broken and successfully retested. This kind of structure, especially on a long-term timeframe, often marks the initiation phase of a new market cycle.
This is exactly the type of pattern I focus on in my proprietary approach: Fractal Reversal Law (FRL). The essence of FRL is that every market phase ends with a reversal pattern, where the neckline is flat and usually anchored to the origin of the last impulse — often near MA100. This pattern here is textbook.
2. XMRBTC (H1): A Smaller Echo of the Same Structure
Zooming in, we see an almost identical reversal structure forming on the H1 chart of XMRBTC. A minor correction inside a broader uptrend created another double bottom. The neckline? Again — MA100.
This structure mirrors the weekly pattern, just at a smaller scale — a direct confirmation of the fractal nature of reversals, a core component of FRL.
The significance here is not only in the pattern itself but in where it appears: right at the retest zone of the weekly breakout.
3. XMRUSD: Fibonacci Precision Meets Structural Logic
In the XMRUSD pair, we see further confirmation:
• Price made a strong upward impulse
• A correction followed, landing precisely at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
• A reversal formation is now visible on H1
• Neckline again aligns with MA100
• A bullish MACD divergence confirms momentum shift
This reinforces that the reversal we’re observing is not isolated. It’s happening across both BTC and USD pairs — a rare form of intermarket confirmation.
4. Reversal Against BTC = Signal and Context
From a broader view, a structural reversal against BTC is never a coincidence. It often signals more than just technical bounce — it suggests that:
• The alt is starting to outperform Bitcoin
• The background trend in BTC is supportive, not restrictive
It’s difficult to imagine a double bottom structure against BTC completing successfully during a strongly bearish phase in Bitcoin.
So, the pattern itself implies the context — that BTC is either stable or trending upward.
In this case, we’re not just spotting a reversal — we’re identifying the start of a sector rotation.
5. Fundamentals Matter — and Monero Delivers
While the structure is strong, Monero also holds weight fundamentally:
• It’s the most established and respected privacy coin, with real cryptographic innovation (ring signatures, stealth addresses, bulletproofs)
• It has resistance to ASIC centralization, fair emission, and a loyal dev community
• In an age of increasing regulation and surveillance, privacy coins may regain strategic importance
It’s not driven by hype, and that’s exactly why it might lead the next structural altseason.
Conclusion: Structure Is the Signal
What we’re seeing here is more than a pattern — it’s a fractal, multi-asset confirmation across timeframes.
• Weekly double bottom on XMRBTC
• Intraday reversal at the retest zone
• Fibonacci-aligned reversal with MACD divergence on XMRUSD
• MA100 acting as a dynamic neckline across all timeframes
Fibonacci Targets: Where Can Monero Go from Here?
If this setup plays out as expected, price targets can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels from the latest bullish impulse on the XMRBTC chart. The key levels are:
• 0.005 BTC — initial target based on the 1.618.
• 0.0077 BTC — corresponds to the 2.618.
• 0.010 BTC — round psychological level and the 3.618 .
These levels are not just mathematical — they also align with historical liquidity zones and may act as key take-profit areas during the next wave of the trend.
Each target should be monitored in the context of Bitcoin’s overall market behavior. But if the current FRL structure truly marks the end of an accumulation phase, Monero has room to move significantly higher.
This is a textbook FRL alignment, and one of the strongest multi-dimensional setups I’ve seen recently.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.