🔍 XRP/USD – 12M Macro Outlook
Currently, my primary focus remains on the 12-month (12M) chart, which provides the cleanest view of macro structure. From a technical standpoint, we are witnessing what appears to be a mid-cycle pullback within a broader bullish continuation.
📉 While it's theoretically possible for XRP to revisit the $2.00 level or lower, support has consistently held above that threshold across multiple higher time frames. Notably, the region between $2.00–$2.14 has shown to be a structural demand zone, aligning with prior breakout pivots and institutional accumulation zones.
📊 My conditions for confirmation:
The current 12M candle must close above prior candle highs, establishing a higher high and preserving bullish market structure.
A clean break and close above the $2.65–$2.70 range would signal momentum resumption, opening the door toward retesting the ATH zone of $3.40 and potentially forming new highs.
✅ This phase should be viewed as a market reset, not a reversal. The weekly and monthly momentum cycles are aligning for reaccumulation, and this kind of consolidation historically precedes parabolic expansion.
In summary:
🧠 Bias: Bullish (macro)
⚠️ Risk level: Moderate (due to macro resistance near $2.65)
🛑 Invalidation: Weekly/monthly close below $2.00
🎯 Targets: $2.65 → $3.00 → $3.40 (ATH zone)
Currently, my primary focus remains on the 12-month (12M) chart, which provides the cleanest view of macro structure. From a technical standpoint, we are witnessing what appears to be a mid-cycle pullback within a broader bullish continuation.
📉 While it's theoretically possible for XRP to revisit the $2.00 level or lower, support has consistently held above that threshold across multiple higher time frames. Notably, the region between $2.00–$2.14 has shown to be a structural demand zone, aligning with prior breakout pivots and institutional accumulation zones.
📊 My conditions for confirmation:
The current 12M candle must close above prior candle highs, establishing a higher high and preserving bullish market structure.
A clean break and close above the $2.65–$2.70 range would signal momentum resumption, opening the door toward retesting the ATH zone of $3.40 and potentially forming new highs.
✅ This phase should be viewed as a market reset, not a reversal. The weekly and monthly momentum cycles are aligning for reaccumulation, and this kind of consolidation historically precedes parabolic expansion.
In summary:
🧠 Bias: Bullish (macro)
⚠️ Risk level: Moderate (due to macro resistance near $2.65)
🛑 Invalidation: Weekly/monthly close below $2.00
🎯 Targets: $2.65 → $3.00 → $3.40 (ATH zone)
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.