Ripple - We warned but nobody listened
In our last idea on Ripple, we warned about the inevitable end of the rally and a return to reality. Indeed, even before that, we dismissed why it would not be possible for Ripple to reach sky-high valuations like 100 USD or 1 000 USD, which many market participants seem to be forecasting.
Despite that, however, our view has not changed much. We remain bearish on XRPUSD and think it will go back to its 2022 lows over time. Accordingly, we maintain our price targets of 0.30 USD and 0.28 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the weekly chart of XRPUSD and two yellow rays. The bullish breakout above the second ray took place; to confirm our bearish thesis, we would like to see the price break back below the Ray 2 and hold there.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI turned bearish. Stochastic is also bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is turning bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the daily chart of XRPUSD within the wide range. We previously outlined that the breakout above the range would be bullish; however, once it occurred, we said we would pay close attention to volume. Subsequently, volume was declining while the price was rising, leading us to speculate about the potential top.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish area. Stochastic points to the upside. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is still slightly bullish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Despite that, however, our view has not changed much. We remain bearish on XRPUSD and think it will go back to its 2022 lows over time. Accordingly, we maintain our price targets of 0.30 USD and 0.28 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the weekly chart of XRPUSD and two yellow rays. The bullish breakout above the second ray took place; to confirm our bearish thesis, we would like to see the price break back below the Ray 2 and hold there.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI turned bearish. Stochastic is also bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is turning bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the daily chart of XRPUSD within the wide range. We previously outlined that the breakout above the range would be bullish; however, once it occurred, we said we would pay close attention to volume. Subsequently, volume was declining while the price was rising, leading us to speculate about the potential top.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish area. Stochastic points to the upside. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is still slightly bullish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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