(The following is my personal opinion only and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
We can often gauge the development of digital asset cycles by observing broad money supply (M2), as it reflects the amount of excess liquidity in the market. In general, a higher level of "hot money" tends to support new highs in digital assets, while tightening liquidity often signals potential price declines.
As XRP’s market capitalization continues to grow, we can now apply similar macro liquidity-based analysis to predict XRP future trend.
Typically, changes in M2 do not immediately reflect in asset prices — there is usually a lag effect. For Bitcoin, I use a 77-day time offset to analyze cyclical behavior. Since altcoins tend to respond more slowly to liquidity shifts, I use a 108-day lag for XRP.
As shown in the chart, although the market is currently gripped by fear due to tariff-related news, based on the underlying liquidity conditions:
- XRP may see a short-term rebound around April 18, with the current cycle likely to bottom out near April 29. In my opinion, a Great buy zone lies between $1.29 and $1.60.
- The top of the current cycle is expected to appear around June 27, with the price likely to break previous highs and reach the $3.40 to $3.70 range.
Of course, this does not rule out the possibility of an explosive rally during this stage. The above price zones are established by comparing XRP’s performance from December 2024 to the present with changes in the M2 money supply. Should XRP experience sharp surges or crashes, the target ranges may shift accordingly. However, the broader trend often serves as a valuable reference point in investment planning.
I hope this help! KEEP CALM AND ROLL ON!
We can often gauge the development of digital asset cycles by observing broad money supply (M2), as it reflects the amount of excess liquidity in the market. In general, a higher level of "hot money" tends to support new highs in digital assets, while tightening liquidity often signals potential price declines.
As XRP’s market capitalization continues to grow, we can now apply similar macro liquidity-based analysis to predict XRP future trend.
Typically, changes in M2 do not immediately reflect in asset prices — there is usually a lag effect. For Bitcoin, I use a 77-day time offset to analyze cyclical behavior. Since altcoins tend to respond more slowly to liquidity shifts, I use a 108-day lag for XRP.
As shown in the chart, although the market is currently gripped by fear due to tariff-related news, based on the underlying liquidity conditions:
- XRP may see a short-term rebound around April 18, with the current cycle likely to bottom out near April 29. In my opinion, a Great buy zone lies between $1.29 and $1.60.
- The top of the current cycle is expected to appear around June 27, with the price likely to break previous highs and reach the $3.40 to $3.70 range.
Of course, this does not rule out the possibility of an explosive rally during this stage. The above price zones are established by comparing XRP’s performance from December 2024 to the present with changes in the M2 money supply. Should XRP experience sharp surges or crashes, the target ranges may shift accordingly. However, the broader trend often serves as a valuable reference point in investment planning.
I hope this help! KEEP CALM AND ROLL ON!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.