A Ukraine war is bullish for wheat
Updated
Wheat futures are showing a constant higher lows ahead of a bullish catalyst. That catalyst is a war between Russia and the Ukraine. I can get into any questions as to why I believe the current information suggests Russia will invade upon request in the comments.
This is bullish for wheat futures, The Ukraine is the number 5 ranked wheat exporter globally its wheat compromises 8% of global wheat exports. Most of the Ukraine's wheat production is in the east which would be totally cut off during a major conflict. To make matters worse Russia is the number 1 wheat exporter in the world exporting 17.7% of total global wheat exports. In the event of war Russia would likely be cut off from the swift payment system which would stop most of its international transactions causing massive supply chain issues with the wheat market. These factors in combination with the constant lower highs makes for very bullish conditions.
This is bullish for wheat futures, The Ukraine is the number 5 ranked wheat exporter globally its wheat compromises 8% of global wheat exports. Most of the Ukraine's wheat production is in the east which would be totally cut off during a major conflict. To make matters worse Russia is the number 1 wheat exporter in the world exporting 17.7% of total global wheat exports. In the event of war Russia would likely be cut off from the swift payment system which would stop most of its international transactions causing massive supply chain issues with the wheat market. These factors in combination with the constant lower highs makes for very bullish conditions.
Note
This idea proved to be very well I did a TON of research to reach this conclusion looking at satellite photos export data etc and it payed off.
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