Mastering Trading ConfluenceIn the world of trading, success often hinges on making informed decisions based on reliable analysis. However, relying on a single indicator or tool can sometimes lead to false signals and missed opportunities. This is where the concept of trading confluence comes into play. Trading confluence refers to the alignment of multiple indicators, tools, or analysis techniques to confirm trading signals, thereby increasing the probability of a successful trade.
🔵𝚆𝙷𝙰𝚃 𝙸𝚂 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴?
Confluence in trading is the process of combining different technical analysis tools to identify high-probability trading opportunities. Instead of relying on a single indicator, traders look for areas where multiple indicators or strategies align, providing a stronger signal for entering or exiting a trade. These tools might include price action analysis, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, support and resistance levels, or even fundamental analysis. When several tools point to the same conclusion, the signal is considered more robust, reducing the likelihood of false positives and improving the chances of a successful trade.
🔵𝚆𝙷𝚈 𝙸𝚂 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴 𝙸𝙼𝙿𝙾𝚁𝚃𝙰𝙽𝚃?
The financial markets are complex, with numerous factors influencing price movements. Relying on a single indicator can lead to inconsistent results, as no indicator is infallible. By using confluence, traders can:
Increase Confidence in Trade Decisions : When multiple indicators confirm the same signal, it provides traders with greater confidence to act on that signal, knowing that it is backed by various forms of analysis.
Filter Out False Signals : Indicators sometimes produce false signals. By requiring alignment between different tools, confluence helps filter out these false positives, leading to more reliable trading decisions.
Enhance Risk Management : Confluence allows traders to pinpoint more precise entry and exit points, which can lead to tighter stop-loss levels and better risk-reward ratios. This, in turn, can improve overall portfolio performance.
🔵𝙷𝙾𝚆 𝚃𝙾 𝚄𝚂𝙴 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴 𝙸𝙽 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶
To effectively use confluence in your trading strategy, consider the following steps:
Select Complementary Indicators : Choose indicators that complement each other rather than those that replicate the same information. For example, combining a momentum indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a trend-following indicator like a Moving Average can provide a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
Identify Key Levels : Look for confluence at key levels such as support and resistance zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, or pivot points. When price action aligns with these levels and is confirmed by multiple indicators, it suggests a higher probability trade setup.
Confluence of Chart Patterns and Oscillator
One powerful example of confluence is when a chart pattern like Equal Highs (EQH) aligns with a momentum indicator such as the Stochastic RSI. This combination provides more confidence in determining the trend direction.
When both the EQH pattern and Stochastic RSI align, such as when price hits equal highs while the Stochastic RSI shows overbought conditions, traders can have increased confidence in anticipating a trend reversal.
Combining Same-Type Indicators
- Using multiple trend-following indicators, such as the Aroon, Directional Movement Index (DMI), and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), can enhance your ability to identify strong trends and avoid false signals. These indicators complement each other by offering different perspectives on trend strength and direction.
- Combining multiple mean reversion indicators can provide stronger signals for potential price reversals. This approach helps in identifying overbought or oversold conditions with greater confidence. Here are some ways to create confluence using mean reversion indicators:
When multiple indicators align to show overbought or oversold conditions, it provides a stronger signal for a possible price reversal. However, it's important to remember that even with confluence, no indicator combination is foolproof, and proper risk management should always be employed.
Use Multiple Time Frames : Analyzing confluence across different time frames can provide additional confirmation. For instance, if a bullish signal is confirmed on both the daily and hourly charts, it strengthens the case for entering a long position.
Multiple timeframe analysis is a highly effective strategy in technical analysis, as it allows traders to see the broader picture of market trends and zoom into shorter-term price movements. One common approach is to apply a 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) across different timeframes, such as 3D, 1D, 12H, and 4H charts, to assess trend strength and direction.
By combining these timeframes with the 50-period SMA, traders can assess whether the trend is aligned across different perspectives. For example, if the price is above the 50-SMA on the 3D and 1D charts but below it on the 4H chart, it might signal a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend. This confluence of trend analysis across multiple timeframes provides a more robust trading strategy.
Combine Technical and Fundamental Analysis : While technical indicators are the primary tools for identifying confluence, integrating fundamental analysis (such as economic reports, earnings releases, or geopolitical events) can further validate your trading decisions.
Practice Patience and Discipline : Trading confluence requires patience. It’s important not to force trades when indicators are not in alignment. Waiting for confluence signals can prevent impulsive trades and improve your long-term success rate.
🔵𝙻𝙸𝙼𝙸𝚃𝙰𝚃𝙸𝙾𝙽𝚂 𝙾𝙵 𝚃𝚁𝙰𝙳𝙸𝙽𝙶 𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙵𝙻𝚄𝙴𝙽𝙲𝙴
While trading confluence can significantly enhance your trading strategy, it’s important to acknowledge its limitations:
Overfitting : Relying on too many indicators can lead to overfitting, where the analysis becomes too complex, and signals become rare or conflicting. It's essential to strike a balance and avoid excessive complexity.
Subjectivity : Confluence can be somewhat subjective, as traders might interpret the alignment of indicators differently. Developing a consistent and disciplined approach to identifying confluence is key.
Delayed Signals : Waiting for multiple indicators to align can sometimes result in missed opportunities, especially in fast-moving markets. Traders should be aware of the trade-off between signal reliability and timing.
🔵𝙲𝙾𝙽𝙲𝙻𝚄𝚂𝙸𝙾𝙽
Trading confluence is a powerful concept that can enhance the quality of your trading decisions by providing more reliable signals and reducing the risk of false positives. By combining complementary indicators, analyzing multiple time frames, and incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis, traders can increase their confidence and improve their overall performance. However, it’s important to remain mindful of the potential limitations and to apply confluence in a disciplined and balanced manner.
By mastering trading confluence, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the market and make informed decisions that align with your trading goals.
Confluence
What is Confluence❓✅ Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade. Usually these are technical indicators, though sometimes they may be price patterns. It all depends on what you use to plan your trades. A lot of traders fill their charts with dozens of indicators for this reason. They want to find confluence — but oftentimes the result is conflicting signals. This can cause a lapse of confidence and a great deal of confusion. Some traders add more and more signals the less confident they get, and continue to make the problem worse for themselves.
✅ Confluence is very important to increase the chances of winning trades, a trader needs to have at least two factors of confluence to open a trade. When the confluence exists, the trader becomes more confident on his negotiations.
✅ The Factors Of Confluence Are:
Higher Time Frame Analysis;
Trade during London Open;
Trade during New York Open;
Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower
Time Frame entries;
Combine setups;
Trade during High Impact News Events.
✅ Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups for confirmation that the HTF analysis will hold the price.
HTF Key Levels Are:
HTF Order Blocks;
HTF Liquidity Pools;
HTF Market Structure.
📈💼 Mastering the market with Support & Resistance ConfluencesWhen navigating the intricate world of trading, skilled traders keep a keen eye out for specific signals that guide their entry and exit decisions. What's even better? When multiple signals converge at a particular price point, it's like a symphony of market harmony. In trading lingo, we call this phenomenon "Confluence." These confluence points serve as the cornerstone for building well-informed trade plans. It allow us to maximize the winning rate and therefore constitute a major key to transform a losing trader into a winning trader.
In this blog post, I'm here to empower you with insights and examples of support and resistance confluences to elevate your market analysis game.
📌 Essential Knowledge First 📌
Before you embark on the quest to spot confluences on your price charts, you must lay a solid foundation of basic technical analysis concepts. This entails mastering the art of plotting support and resistance levels, skillfully drawing trendlines, recognizing fundamental technical chart patterns, and understanding the proper utilization of technical indicators. Without these fundamental skills, confluence points will remain elusive, leading to flawed analysis and mistimed trading decisions.
🤝 Demystifying Confluences 🤝
Confluences manifest on your charts when two or more technical indicators intersect at a specific price level. For technical analysts, these moments are akin to uncovering hidden treasures that signal opportune moments to enter or exit trades.
📈 Understanding Support Confluences 📈
Support confluences are the sweet spots where two or more technical support levels converge at a particular price point. These magical intersections signify robust buying pressure and present optimal entry points for purchasing a stock.
A support confluence typically boasts two or more of the following bullish signals:
📈 Bullish Divergence: When price and a technical indicator move in opposite directions, often hinting at an upcoming price reversal in an upward direction.
🔄 Price Rebounds at Key Support Level: Especially powerful if it aligns with a multi-year support level, suggesting strong historical significance.
📐 Price Rebounds at Trendline Support: When price bounces off a trendline, it signifies a technical support that traders closely monitor.
🧮 Price Rebounds at Fibonacci Support Level: Fibonacci retracement levels often serve as critical support zones.
📊 RSI within 20 - 30: A Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading within this range can indicate an oversold condition and potential for an upward bounce.
⚙️ MACD Bullish Crossover: When the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator forms a bullish crossover, it signals potential upward momentum.
📈 Dynamic support: when you use one or several moving average
Now that you have a clearer picture of support and resistance confluences, you're equipped to elevate your trading prowess. This is how you draw the highly qualitative setups that will boost your trading career!
Remember, trading is an art and a science. Mastering the nuances of confluences can significantly enhance your ability to make informed trading decisions. Happy trading, and may your charts be filled with profitable confluence points! 📊📈💰
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you want more qualitative insights like this one 🌊🚀
✔️Confluence Trading📍What is “confluence trading”?
“Confluence trading” is when you combine more than one trading technique or analysis to increase your odds of a winning trade.
You use multiple trading indicators that all give the same “reading”, as a way to confirm the validity of a potential buy or sell signal.
Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade.
Here are some indicators, chart patterns and candlestick patterns you can use for confirmation of your trade.
🔹Indicators
Moving Average (MA)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Bollinger Bands
Fibonacci retracement
Stochastic Oscillator
MACD
Average Directional Index (ADX)
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Parabolic SAR
Williams %R
🔹Chart Patterns
Head and Shoulders
Double Top and Double Bottom
Triple Top and Triple Bottom
Flag and Pennant
Cup and Handle
Wedge
Rectangle
Symmetrical Triangle
Ascending Triangle
Descending Triangle
🔹Candlestick patterns
Doji
Hammer
Hanging Man
Shooting Star
Inverted Hammer
Bullish Engulfing Pattern
Bearish Engulfing Pattern
Piercing Pattern
Dark Cloud Cover
Morning Star and Evening Star
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Harmonic Pattern with Multiple Confluence for Point X and DThis is an example of regression channel with harmonic pattern.
By using Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive, we able make confluence point (blue) to get Point X of Bullish Butterfly.
There are many confluence points (orange flag and teal table), which shows Point D of Butterfly starting to complete.
For Point D, best to monitor price changes using RSI or other similar RSI (Cyclic RSI, etc).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
4. Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive
5. Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter
How To Trade Divergence
Divergence simply means separation.. When two similar things things---get separated and start going different directions, you have to consider which direction to follow. That's exactly the concept of divergence. When trading, and you spot a divergence, you want to be sure to understand what they are trying to tell you. In this video, I explain the concept of divergences, how to trade them and what to do when you sight one. Be sure to like, follow and comment.
I want to see those div trades!
Signal Providers vs Confluence Providers “If you give a man a fish, he will be hungry tomorrow. If you teach a man to fish, he will be richer forever.”
Except for the actual execution of trade entries, forex signal services perform all of the functions of a robot. A "professional" trader may provide trading signals (for a price, of course) for customers to act on, in addition to maybe employing an automated program. You may, however, be paying for a signal for which you have no idea what the reasoning is or how the "expert" came up with it. You have no understanding what the transaction is based on; all you know is that the "expert" says it's a good time to buy or sell. Finally, you're depending on a third-party source's analysis rather than your own. In a normal forex signal service, the programmer builds a set of technical indicators and rules, which are then followed by the software. If the price action meets the signal service's criteria, the user will get an email or text message with a notification or alert to respond. The user must eventually determine whether or not to take the signal and trade it. While it may appear that you have greater control over whether or not to trade, the signal service is still programmed to follow a set of regulations. If such case was so profitable, why would anyone bother with forex signals in the first place? Instead, they should concentrate on trading with their signals and amassing a fortune for themselves.
Now let’s look at evolved way to help traders. Let’s call this group confluence providers. Confluence providers also share the trade they’re taking on; however, unlike “Signal providers” they fully explain the reasoning behind the trade. This group is called confluence providers, because you can usually compare your own bias and analysis with the detailed description of theirs. The picture above can serve as a good comparison between these two categories. Feel, free to share your personal experiences.
NOTE: Forex market is full of unethical people trying to steal your money, so use your common sense when something is too good to be true.
CONFLUENCE TRADING | YOUR KEY TO ACCURATE ENTRIES 🥇
If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries,
you definitely should try confluence zones .
Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements.
In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi.
❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line
(it should match higher lows if the market is bullish;
it should match lower highs if the market is bearish).
Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions ,
you can look for a confluence zone.
1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line.
2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend.
Draw a fib retracement based on it
(swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish,
swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish).
3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one).
Draw a fib retracement based on it.
4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line.
In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point.
5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point.
You will get a perfect trend following opportunity.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
CONFLUENCE TRADING | YOUR KEY TO ACCURATE ENTRIES 🥇
If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries,
you definitely should try confluence zones .
Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements.
In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi.
❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line
(it should match higher lows if the market is bullish;
it should match lower highs if the market is bearish).
Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions ,
you can look for a confluence zone.
1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line.
2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend.
Draw a fib retracement based on it
(swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish,
swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish).
3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one).
Draw a fib retracement based on it.
4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line.
In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point.
5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point.
You will get a perfect trend following opportunity.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
Trend Reversal Confluences: Down to Up.BA is in a major uptrend. I'm taking the easy ones this time. If only that were my mindset all the time.
Anyway this is a much more clear cut example than my first attempt with the downturn predict.
This example, there is a lot more data to work with and it is easy to draw in control and channels.
Maybe a good thing to learn from this is not to try to predict trend changes so early, but to use the signs as confirmation for a buy/sell entry as the trend is looking young and healthy.
Identifying confluence for Buy/Sells and Trend reversalsMore practice from Price Action Breakdown Chapter 3. If you stopped to master this chapter, you might not take another step in your life. I will have to keep pushing the pace over the weekend to get the material in. I will set my goal a finish this chapter by Sunday. Quality may go out the window, but executive decision are being made. Will have to re-read this part.
Always Wait For Confirmations 📚 Those who win at the Forex game are those who are able to build on their case to take a trade, whether it be fibonacci, moving average, patterns etc. The more confluence, the better. This is why it is important to always wait for your confluences to line up before taking a trade.
For this particular trade, those who were waiting for the third touch of the upper resistance of the pattern, would've been stopped out if they had a tight stop loss. It would've been better to wait for more of your confirmations to line up so you can execute the trade knowing that there are more things on your side (other than chance!)
See below for the current GBPNZD set up.
Roles of confluence zonesIt has been a very interesting move from bitcoin, after a drop to touched the $10095 region, the price was immediately moves back to claim again the support around $10300 region to produce a long shadow on daily candle. This action could be a good representation of the bulls making their best effort to defend the $10000 region as a huge psychological support.
And looking at the chart that I've shared, the green dotted line is the resistance trend line if I want to exclude the bull trap region on previous action (body to body connecting method). And the second thing is the white region, those 2 white regions are the confluence zone between the fibonacci retracement and the fibonacci extention which I believe will act as a huge resistance for swingers. The first resistance zone is around the $10750 - $10800 region which is moving align with the green dotted line as resistance trend line. The second resistance zone is the confluence zone between golden ratio and the 1.1 fib extention.
My bias here is remain the same as before with a push to the down side for the big picture. but, I see a possible push to the first resistance zone with a bull trap region producing until the 2nd resistance zone if the $10300 region can defend the current price from further drop.
Algorithm Builder : Please ask me if you're stuckHi everyone
A quick post to share a story that happened less than 20 min ago.
I received feedback that a follower didn't want to buy the Algorithm Builder because he "tried it and it doesn't work on the Indian market"
11 minutes later (see screenshot below), using the exact same Strategy Builder along with the Backtest (that I'll introduce tomorrow), I made him a strategy with a stunning 63% win-rate, 3 Profit factor - on a period of 10 days, ending today
Our chat imgur.com
Performance of the algorithm across the last 10 days on a market not very volatile: imgur.com
I'm not writing this for trolling, I don't care at all and I surely have better use of my time
I just want to convey a message that if you don't know/understand how to use my Algorithm Builder, please ask me. I won't bite and I'll even advice configs
People are asking me every what I do use for trading and if I use the scripts I share... short answer: YES and the main pinnacle of my trading is the Algorithm Builder.
I make every day for my clients any algorithm on any market, any timeframe in less than 15 minutes. Now some of my clients got even better than me at designing signals with the tools.... (I'm a bit pissed about that, to be honest, but so happy they're learning)
You'll be able as well with a bit of practice, it's honestly not hard. Even my sister is doing it and she doesn't even know what the indicators inside mean...
I'm here to help so shoot me your questions/concerns/feedback.
I can't guarantee your success on the financial markets because psychology plays still a huge part but I did this in 11 minutes guys and you already have the tool available for a free week trial
This is a generic script to detect the confluence/convergence between unrelated indicators
Algorithm Builder
More on that tomorrow to come, my friends.
Dave
GBPAUD: A Case Study in Midpoint ConfluenceProbability of a midpoint projecting a valid future reversal point is increased if multiple midpoints show confluence at the same zone. Case in point, here the Swing low A, followed by midpoint E (breakout midpoint), projected a swing high at F.
However, there was a smaller swing along the way which also hinted at swing high F: Swing high B, followed by midpoint C (split between the two strongest down bars in that swing) suggested a swing low at point D. This was a valid buy area on it's own. But better yet, the 1.618 extension of swing B-C-D gave additional credibility to the expected swing high of swing A-E-F.
When multiple different swings line up and point to similar reversal zones such as here, the market can be considered to be in a very harmonious state and such setups have better odds of resulting in a winning trade.
ConfluenceThis is an untouched glance at what I look at from time to time, and today on the darkest day of the year I'm going to talk about confluence. Confluence is just when a series of factors align, and in the TA world it's just when your personal suite of indicators and signals aligns with your strategy.
In this 1h timeframe slice of the 'blue chip' of the crypto markets we can see that price has broken a trend line, an Ichi structure, and the relative Bollinger basis. The red line below marks an S/R flip from the previous dump, which has confluence with the Fibonacci retracement AND the relative Kumo.
It's not exact, but nothing is.
Anything can happen, confluence is just something to utilize to bolster strategic edges and generally discern R with a sharper eye.