FEAR: Your Biggest Trading EnemyFear is a natural emotion that affects all traders, whether beginners or experienced professionals. In trading, fear often stems from uncertainty, the potential for losses, and the volatility of financial markets. Left unchecked, fear can lead to poor decision-making, impulsive actions, and even significant financial losses. However, by understanding fear and learning how to manage it effectively, traders can improve their performance and build confidence over time.
Steps to Overcome Fear in Trading
Develop a Trading Plan
Having a well-structured trading plan provides clarity and reduces fear. A plan should include specific rules for entry and exit, risk management strategies, and profit targets. When you follow a plan, you take emotions out of decision-making and rely on data-driven strategies.
Stick to your plan: Trusting your trading strategy can reduce emotional decision-making, especially during times of market volatility or uncertainty.
Use Risk Management
Effective risk management can alleviate fear because it limits the potential downside of any trade. Traders should:
Set a stop-loss: Predetermine the maximum amount you are willing to lose on any trade. This not only limits losses but also takes the emotional pressure off monitoring trades.
Control position sizing: By using small position sizes relative to your account balance, you minimize the impact of any one trade, which can reduce fear and emotional stress.
Focus on Process, Not Outcomes
Instead of focusing on whether an individual trade is profitable, concentrate on executing trades according to your plan. Understand that losses are part of trading and that a single trade doesn't define your overall success.
Avoid emotional attachment to trades: Treat trading as a probabilistic game where losses and gains balance out over time if your strategy is sound.
Build Confidence with Knowledge
Fear often stems from uncertainty. The more knowledge and experience you gain, the more confident you’ll feel in your trading decisions. Spend time improving your understanding of:
Technical analysis: Learn to read charts, patterns, and indicators to make informed decisions.
Fundamental analysis: Understand the economic factors that drive market movements.
Regularly review your past trades, both successful and unsuccessful, to learn from mistakes and build confidence in your abilities.
Practice Patience and Discipline
Patience is crucial to avoid overtrading or jumping into trades impulsively. Fear can push you into making quick decisions, but staying disciplined ensures you wait for the right setups.
Discipline in following your trading plan and sticking to risk management rules can help control the emotional swings that come with fear. Staying patient allows trades to develop fully and increases the chances of success.
Accept Losses as Part of the Process
No trader wins 100% of the time, and understanding that losses are a natural part of trading can help reduce the fear of losing. Treat each loss as a learning experience rather than a failure.
Reframe your mindset from avoiding losses to managing losses. When you accept that losses will happen but you can limit their impact, fear becomes easier to handle.
Control Emotional Reactions
Mindfulness techniques: Practices like deep breathing, meditation, or taking regular breaks can help traders stay calm during high-pressure situations.
Avoid overreacting: If you experience a significant loss, avoid the temptation to enter a "revenge trade" to recover quickly. Emotional decisions can compound losses. Take a step back, review your plan, and re-enter the market with a clear mind.
Use a Trading Journal
Keeping a trading journal helps track your emotions, thought processes, and decision-making patterns. Over time, this can help identify fear-based behaviors and allow you to adjust accordingly. By reviewing your journal regularly, you can improve self-awareness and make better decisions.
Fear is a natural part of trading, but it doesn't have to control your actions. By developing a solid trading plan, practicing effective risk management, and building knowledge and discipline, traders can overcome fear and make more rational decisions. Over time, learning to accept losses and focusing on long-term strategies will help you manage fear and improve your overall trading success. Remember, the key to overcoming fear is consistent practice, self-awareness, and developing confidence in your abilities as a trader.
Fear
Psychology: Trade Smart - Focus on Facts, Not wishes!See the Truth: Trading Without Bias
Discover the critical importance of objective analysis in trading.
Learn how to avoid emotional biases, stay neutral, and focus on what the market truly shows you. This guide will help you improve your trading strategies and achieve more consistent results.
The Mind of an Ego Trader – 10 ActionsWe always hear of the two most dangerous states of trading.
Fear and greed.
But I think there is one more state, that really drives a trader to financial collapse.
EGO.
Ego is thinking you’re always right where you ignore risk and caution.
It’s the voice in your head that tells you to make risky choices because you believe you know better.
To overcome being an ego trader, we need to go inside the mind of one.
Let’s start…
Ego traders overtrade
One of the most common pitfalls of ego trading is overtrading.
This is the act of buying and selling markets way more than you should.
They believe that the more they trade, the more profits they will make.
Solution:
Adopt a well-defined trading strategy and stick to it. You need to know how and where to enter your trades with strict risk management.
Remember, quality should always be prioritized over quantity.
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders refuse to be wrong.
They’ll take a trade in one direction, bank a loss.
And then immediately get in again, but in the opposite direction – to make up for losses.
Their goal is not to trade well but to recoup any losses ASAP.
This behaviour is often driven by the ego’s inability to accept a loss. And this will drive them crazy until they blow a big portion of their account.
Solution:
Acceptance is key.
Every trader is going to take losses.
You need to take the loss (see it as the cost of trading), and come back the next day.
Take a step back, analyse the situation objectively, and stick to your trading plan.
Ego traders ignore risk management
Egotistical traders think like this.
“I want to grow rich quickly and refuse to only bank 3% to 4% of my portfolio per trade”.
They instead risk 5%, 10% and sometimes go full port.
They have this invincibility complex, that the more money they risk the more likely they’ll build their account quickly.
But this is reckless and your portfolio won’t last long. This will often lead to disproportionate losses.
Solution:
I sound like a parrot by now.
Always adhere to your risk management rules.
Determine your risk tolerance, set risk-reward ratios for your trades, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose on a single trade. You know this!
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders are emotional.
They mainly trust their feelings, their jiminy cricket voices and their instincts over solid and proven market analysis.
This will obviously lead to discretionary trading decisions, which will eventually lead them with no strategy, no discipline, no rules, and no portfolio.
Solution:
Become a trading machine.
Think like a robot and always base your decisions on thorough market analysis.
This includes both technical analysis (price trends, indicators, etc.) and fundamental analysis (economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors).
Ego traders blame everything
Ego traders often blame the market, their broker, their children, the media, or unexpected news for their losses.
You need to grow up and take on the mature approach. Every financial decision and action you make, is solely your responsibility.
Solution:
Take responsibility for your actions.
Understand that the market is unpredictable and losses are a part of trading.
Don’t trade if you’re feeling distracted,
Don’t trade if you’re feeling you’ll blame something or someone.
Learn from your mistakes and learn to humble yourself before the market does.
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
These are the guys that literally try to ‘predict’ bottoms or tops.
They go against the current trend, and instead guess that the price will turn from here.
They give you every reason why the market will turn.
They know privy info that no one else does (even though all info is in the public domain).
They know strategies and indicators that make these predictions (even though all indicators are based on past data).
They see and feel out of their asses about change in trends.
And when they’re wrong (which most times they are), they find every reason, news event and indicator to guess when the market will turn.
This usually results in entering at a bad price and subsequently facing a huge loss.
Solution:
Leave the tops and bottoms.
Seriously, ignore the first 10% of the bottom. Leave 10% of the top.
Claim the 80% market move when the trend has confirmed and is showing strong momentum.
Enjoy going with the trend not against it.
Ego traders over leverage
It confounds me that traders want more leverage.
They show off about 20 times, 50 times up to 500 times.
You know what that means right?
You can lose 20, 50 or 500 times the money you put in.
Leverage is a double-edged sword.
You desire the big wins and only think of the big wins.
When then you are wrong (and you will be), you end up losing a colossal amount.
Solution:
Use leverage responsibly.
Lower the leverage, the better you can manage your risk and reward management.
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Stop losses are designed to limit a trader’s loss on a position.
However, there are two types of ego traders.
The ones that trade naked (without a stop loss) and the trade goes heavily against them where they lose their hat.
Then there are the ones that put in their stop loss. But then they move their stop loss FURTHER away where they can risk more.
Once this happens, they marry into their trade.
And they’ll keep moving the stop loss away again and again and again and then BOOK.
Gone.
Solution:
First rule – Always set a stop loss.
Second rule – NEVER move your stop loss where you can risk more.
Super important.
Ego traders dismiss discipline
They have major commitment issues.
They choose their days and times.
They trade now and then when they feel like it.
And this dismisses the discipline of taking every trade, one needs to take to build a consistent portfolio.
Solution:
See trading as a business. See trading as a job.
See your trading strategy as your boss.
Work accordingly like your life and livelihood depends on it.
Discipline is key in trading.
Maintain your discipline and eventually it’ll turn into integration.
Then you’re sorted.
Ego traders fail to adapt
The market is constantly changing.
There are always new markets.
There are always new platforms.
There are always new brokers.
There are always new innovations and features.
And yet ego traders, stay put.
You need to learn to adapt to market changes.
You need to constantly update yourself as a trader, your strategy, your watchlist and stay with the times.
With discipline, a clear plan, and a bit of humility, traders can better navigate the markets and improve their chances of success.
Let’s sum up the Mind of an Ego trader so you know how to overcome it.
Ego traders overtrade
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders ignore risk management
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders blame everything
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
Ego traders over leverage
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Ego traders dismiss discipline
Ego traders fail to adapt
3 Dangerous States of a Trader“To err is human”
It comes from Alexander Pope’s poem, “An Essay on Criticism.”
This popular saying reminds us that making mistakes and feeling emotions are a common part of the human experience.
In the high-stakes arena of financial trading, most people run their trading through three main emotional states.
You might not be able to eradicate them completely but we can learn to keep them in check for superior trading performance.
Let’s go through these three powerful states.
State #1: Fear in Trading
Fear is the emotional state that:
Stops traders from actioning trades.
Letting losses run (as they refuse to take a loss)
Cutting winners too short (as they don’t want to lose their profits)
When fear dominates, traders may freeze, act too soon, act too late or not act at all.
How to Overcome Fear in Trading
A well-structured trading plan is a trader’s best defense against fear.
You need to think like the market.
You need to trade like the market.
You need to remove fear from your actions.
That’s why you need to limit your risks per trade, where the loss does not affect you emotionally.
You need to be strict with your trading plan, to avoid any discretionary and impulse trading decisions.
And it’s important to start thinking with a more mechanical and rational approach rather than fear-driven ones.
Practice mindfulness and stress management techniques can also keep your fear under control.
State #2: Greed in Trading
Greed drives traders to chase profits.
This often compels them to take on excessive risk for the chance at bigger returns.
They either increase their risk per trade, knowing that the reward will be bigger.
Or because they want more, they will hold onto positions for too long.
Having greed overtake the mind, will also result in overtrading and using up too much of their portfolios per position.
How to Keep Greed at Bay in Trading
Understand that trading is a long-term game.
Consistency with small gains will build up a portfolio.
Be content with 3% – 4% winners. Keep to this and greed will fall away and you’ll have a better chance of longevity when trading.
State #3: Ego in Trading
Ego is one state I never see anyone talk about.
All you hear is fear and greed and greed and fear.
But EGO.
Ego is probably the most stubborn enemy.
“Ego gets you inches but it doesn’t get you impact.” – Cameron Sinclair
It convinces traders that they’re right, even when the market says otherwise.
An inflated ego can lead to overconfidence, over trading, revenge trading and it can cause traders to disregard their strategy, risk and they’ll end up making irrational and dangerous trading decisions.
How to Check Ego in Trading
Even the most successful traders suffer losses.
So you need to humble yourself and adopt amore mindful approach to realistic trading.
Each small loss is a contribution and a trading cost to one step to success.
You’ll also learn more from your losses than your gains. Which will give you an opportunity to learn and improve.
So go back to your trading journal and review, monitor and analyse the true essence of what it takes to build your portfolio.
This will help keep your ego in check.
Conclusion
Fear, greed, and ego are integral parts of the human experience.
But there is NO need and use for it to succeed as a trader.
When you learn to recognise these states and, you’ll be able to manage them better.
And this will drastically improve your trading performance.
Remember, successful trading is less about conquering the market and more about mastering your emotions.
Fear Fear is a natural human response to potential threats, serving as a vital psychological mechanism that safeguards us from danger.
This reaction shouldn't be a source of shame, yet it's also crucial not to let fear dominate every aspect of life. Excessive worry about potential outcomes can lead to a diminished quality of life. However, fear can also be a valuable tool that keeps us attentive in specific situations.
Fear can be referred to by various names, such as apprehension, unease, concern, or tension. When an individual perceives a threat, one of these emotions comes into play. It's simple: no threat, no fear. This emotional and physical sensation should be recognized as having its limits, and the key is knowing how to manage it effectively.
Now, how does fear manifest in the realm of trading? In trading, fear is a common experience for every trader. It's universal!
However, some traders learn to master it, while others are overcome by it. One of the most significant fears in trading is the fear of initiating a trade. The thoughts and emotions that urge you to enter a position can be forceful enough to sow doubt in your trading setup. This can be due to a lack of chart data, the fear of financial losses, or the simple fear of making an error.
Pervasive self-doubt won't lead to favorable outcomes in the long run. Overcoming this fear is essential, and having a well-defined trading strategy is pivotal. It's a place where elements like risk management, trading timing, factors, timeframes, triggers, tools, and the rules you must adhere to are clearly outlined. If any of these components are absent from your setup, then what's the point of continuing? Why establish a trading strategy if you don't intend to follow it?
It's essential to set clear boundaries and acceptable losses, fully understand them, and accept them. When a 1% loss of your capital no longer feels emotionally burdensome, you'll be in a better position to analyze situations rationally and make informed decisions.
Another common fear among beginners is the trepidation of trading with real money. This fear is essentially the fear of losing. While practicing on a demo account is beneficial for gaining experience and refining your trading style, it's crucial to recognize that a demo account can't fully prepare you for real trading.
Don't be afraid to transition to real money trading. Some traders profit, while others pay with time. Consider your long-term prospects and where you envision yourself in one, five, or ten years. Challenge yourself to step out of your comfort zone.
Control your emotions, including fear. Make confident and well-informed decisions, and consistently adhere to the rules you've established. Remember, every journey starts with that initial step.
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Market Psychology and Your Trading Decisions✨ Unlocking the secrets of market psychology is vital for successful trading. Here's why:
🔹 Emotions at Play: Fear, greed, and herd mentality significantly influence your trading choices.
🔹 Rational Thinking: Being aware of market psychology helps you maintain a calm and logical approach to decision-making.
🔹 Trend Spotting: Recognizing market psychology enables you to identify potential market trends and reversals.
🔹 Tackling Biases: Self-assessment must consider three biases:
1️⃣ Confirmation Bias: Avoid favoring information that confirms pre-existing beliefs.
2️⃣ Overconfidence Bias (Dunning-Kruger Effect): Beware of overestimating your abilities as a novice trader.
3️⃣ Loss Aversion Bias: Recognize the inclination to avoid losses more than seeking gains.
🔹 Prospect Theory: Understand how prospect theory shapes decision-making, where individuals take risks to evade losses rather than pursue equivalent gains.
🔹 Stay Informed: Stay updated with market news to avoid impulsive reactions to short-term fluctuations.
🔹 Empower Your Trades: An understanding of market psychology empowers you to make informed and rational trading decisions.
✨ Harness the power of market psychology for long-term trading success! 📈💪
Unleashing the Power of Sentiment Indicators in TradingChapter 1: Introduction to Sentiment Indicators
In the world of trading and investment, understanding market sentiment is essential for making informed decisions. Market sentiment refers to the overall attitude, emotions, and opinions of market participants towards a particular financial instrument, sector, or the market as a whole. It is a key factor that influences price movements and can provide valuable insights for traders.
The role of emotions in trading is also crucial. Emotions such as fear, greed, optimism, and pessimism can significantly impact trading decisions and market behavior. Understanding and analyzing these emotions can help traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities.
Sentiment analysis is the approach used to measure and quantify market sentiment. It involves extracting subjective information from various sources such as social media, news articles, and options markets to determine the prevailing sentiment. The goal is to understand and interpret the collective emotions of market participants.
Sentiment indicators play a vital role in sentiment analysis. These indicators are tools and metrics that provide quantifiable measures of market sentiment. By incorporating sentiment indicators into their analysis, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market psychology and make more informed trading decisions.
In the following chapters, we will explore different types of sentiment indicators and their applications in trading. We will delve into social media sentiment analysis, news sentiment analysis, options market sentiment, and more. Through real-life case studies and examples, we will demonstrate how traders can effectively leverage sentiment indicators to enhance their trading strategies and navigate the markets with greater confidence.
So let's dive into the exciting world of sentiment indicators and discover how they can empower traders to make smarter trading decisions in various market conditions.
Chapter 2: Social Media Sentiment Analysis
Social media has become a powerful platform for expressing opinions and sharing information, making it an invaluable source for understanding market sentiment. Platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, and Reddit provide real-time insights into the thoughts and emotions of a wide range of market participants.
Traders can harness the power of social media by analyzing sentiment expressed in posts, comments, and discussions related to financial instruments or markets. This can be done through the use of sentiment analysis tools and platforms. These tools employ natural language processing and machine learning algorithms to analyze and quantify sentiment.
When analyzing social media sentiment, it is crucial to identify the influential platforms for each specific market. Different financial instruments and markets have unique social media platforms where participants share their views and opinions. For example, Twitter might be the primary platform for discussions related to cryptocurrencies, while LinkedIn could be more relevant for the stock market. By focusing on the platforms that hold more influence, traders can gain more accurate insights into market sentiment.
Real-time sentiment analysis of social media involves monitoring conversations, identifying relevant keywords, and applying sentiment analysis algorithms. This process enables traders to gauge the sentiment as positive, negative, or neutral. By tracking sentiment shifts in real-time, traders can make timely trading decisions and take advantage of emerging trends or sentiment-driven price movements.
To illustrate the effectiveness of social media sentiment analysis, let's explore some case studies. In one example, a trader monitors sentiment on Twitter for a particular cryptocurrency. By analyzing the sentiment expressed in tweets, the trader identifies a surge in positive sentiment accompanied by an increase in trading volume. This information serves as a signal to enter a long position, anticipating a price increase driven by bullish sentiment. The trader successfully profits from the sentiment-driven rally.
In another case, a trader uses sentiment analysis of social media discussions to identify a sudden increase in negative sentiment towards a stock. Recognizing this shift in sentiment, the trader decides to exit their position or tighten their stop-loss level to protect their profits, anticipating a potential price decline. This proactive risk management based on sentiment analysis helps the trader avoid potential losses.
By incorporating social media sentiment analysis into their trading strategies, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and improve their decision-making process. However, it is important to remember that social media sentiment analysis should be used as one piece of the puzzle alongside other forms of analysis to build a comprehensive trading strategy.
Chapter 3: News Sentiment Analysis
News plays a significant role in shaping market sentiment. Positive news such as strong earnings reports, positive economic indicators, or favorable regulatory developments can create a bullish sentiment, leading to increased buying interest. Conversely, negative news such as poor economic data, geopolitical tensions, or negative corporate announcements can generate a bearish sentiment, resulting in selling pressure.
News sentiment analysis involves analyzing the sentiment expressed in news articles, press releases, and other sources of financial news. The goal is to extract the overall sentiment conveyed by the news and understand its potential impact on market sentiment and price movements.
There are various tools and techniques available for news sentiment analysis. These tools employ natural language processing and machine learning algorithms to analyze the sentiment of individual news pieces. They assign sentiment scores, such as positive, negative, or neutral, to quantify the sentiment expressed in the news.
Financial news headlines are particularly important as they often convey the key sentiment of an article. Traders can focus on analyzing sentiment in news headlines to quickly gauge the overall sentiment without delving into the complete article. This allows for efficient scanning of multiple news sources and provides traders with timely insights into market sentiment.
Incorporating news sentiment analysis into trading strategies can be done in several ways. Traders can use sentiment-triggered trade entries, where they initiate trades based on significant shifts in news sentiment. For example, a trader might enter a long position in response to overwhelmingly positive news sentiment regarding a particular stock, anticipating a price increase. Alternatively, news sentiment can serve as a confirming factor for technical analysis. If technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, positive news sentiment can provide additional confidence in the trade.
Let's examine a case study to further illustrate the application of news sentiment analysis. Suppose a trader is analyzing the sentiment surrounding a company's earnings announcement. Through news sentiment analysis, the trader identifies a strong positive sentiment across various financial news sources. This positive sentiment indicates high market expectations for the company's earnings results. Based on this analysis, the trader decides to enter a long position before the earnings release, anticipating a favorable outcome. When the company exceeds expectations and reports stellar earnings, the positive sentiment is reinforced, resulting in a significant price increase. The trader profits from the sentiment-driven rally by making a well-timed trade based on news sentiment analysis.
Chapter 4: Options Market Sentiment
Options trading provides valuable insights into market sentiment as it reflects investors' expectations and sentiment towards the underlying asset. By analyzing options market sentiment, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and potential price movements.
One commonly used sentiment indicator in options trading is the put/call ratio. The put/call ratio compares the volume of put options, which give traders the right to sell an asset, to the volume of call options, which give traders the right to buy an asset. A high put/call ratio suggests bearish sentiment, indicating that more traders are betting on a price decline. Conversely, a low put/call ratio indicates bullish sentiment, with more traders anticipating a price increase.
Another important indicator is implied volatility. Implied volatility is derived from options prices and reflects the market's expectation of future price volatility. Higher implied volatility suggests increased market uncertainty and potentially heightened bearish sentiment, while lower implied volatility indicates lower expected volatility and potential bullish sentiment.
Traders can also analyze options-related metrics such as open interest, the skew index, and the volatility skew to gauge market sentiment. Open interest represents the total number of outstanding options contracts, providing insights into trader positioning and sentiment. The skew index measures the perceived risk of extreme price moves, while the volatility skew indicates the difference in implied volatility between options with different strike prices.
To illustrate the application of options market sentiment, let's consider a case study. Suppose a trader observes a high put/call ratio in a particular stock, indicating bearish sentiment. This signals a potential price decline. The trader combines this information with other technical indicators pointing towards a bearish trend and decides to enter a short position. As the market sentiment unfolds, the stock experiences a significant price drop, validating the initial bearish sentiment and resulting in a profitable trade for the trader.
Chapter 5: Fear and Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index is a sentiment indicator that measures market sentiment on a scale of extreme fear to extreme greed. It combines various factors, such as stock price momentum, market volatility, junk bond demand, and safe-haven flows, to gauge overall market sentiment.
The components and calculation of the Fear and Greed Index can vary, but the index generally assigns a numerical value or category to represent the prevailing sentiment. Extreme fear levels suggest a highly pessimistic sentiment, often associated with market downturns or significant price declines. On the other hand, extreme greed levels indicate excessive optimism and potentially overbought conditions, signaling a potential market correction.
Traders can incorporate the Fear and Greed Index into their trading strategies in several ways. It can serve as a confirming factor for technical analysis, where extreme fear or greed levels align with other indicators pointing towards a potential trend reversal. Additionally, contrarian traders may use extreme sentiment levels as a signal to consider taking opposite positions, capitalizing on potential market reversals.
Let's explore a case study to demonstrate the practical application of the Fear and Greed Index. Suppose the Fear and Greed Index reaches an extreme greed level, indicating excessive optimism and potentially overbought conditions in the market. A trader who closely monitors the index recognizes this as a warning sign and starts analyzing other technical indicators. They observe overextended price levels, declining trading volume, and bearish divergence on oscillators. Taking all these factors into consideration, the trader decides to exit their long positions or initiate short positions, anticipating a potential market correction. As the market sentiment shifts from extreme greed to fear, the market experiences a significant decline, validating the trader's decision and resulting in profitable trades.
Chapter 6: Conclusion and Future Outlook
In conclusion, sentiment indicators provide valuable insights into market psychology and can significantly enhance trading decisions. By understanding market sentiment through sentiment analysis tools, traders can gain an edge in their strategies. Social media sentiment analysis allows traders to tap into the real-time opinions and emotions of market participants, while news sentiment analysis helps traders assess the impact of news events on market sentiment. Options market sentiment and sentiment indicators such as the Fear and Greed Index provide additional perspectives on investor expectations and sentiment towards the market.
As technology and data analysis techniques continue to advance, sentiment analysis is expected to evolve further. Integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms can enhance sentiment predictions and improve the accuracy of sentiment analysis tools. This will empower traders with even more robust insights into market sentiment.
To harness the power of sentiment indicators effectively, it is essential to integrate them with other forms of analysis, such as technical analysis and fundamental analysis. By combining multiple perspectives, traders can make well-informed trading decisions and increase their chances of success.
In the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, sentiment indicators will continue to play a crucial role in understanding market dynamics. By staying abreast of emerging trends and advancements in sentiment analysis, traders can adapt their strategies and stay ahead of the curve. Ultimately, by leveraging sentiment indicators, traders can enhance their trading success and capitalize on market opportunities.
$BTCUSD SOPR, BFX Longs and Shorts, Greed, Liquidations.
This is one of the multi-chart evolving dashboards I use daily for crypto trading. This dashboard attempts to distill a broad scope of data and sentiment into glance value charts. The goal with such dashboards is to seek to stack probabilities to be on the right side of the percentages in every trade.
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The top panel chart shows the SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio, (grey line, using the symbol $BTC_SOPR) overlay vs $BTCUSDT (Binance, in blue). The SOPR is a very simple indicator. It is the spent outputs expressed as a ratio and shown as an oscillator on the chart. The Bitcoin SOPR is the realised dollar value divided by the dollar value at creation of the output. Or simply: price sold divided by price paid.
SOPR showing under value 1 means that the on chain data has recorded a net realised loss for "spent" Bitcoin. SOPR showing over value 1 means net profit. Renato Shirakashi appears to be the inventor of SOPR for BTC, and he writes about SOPR: "In this analysis two important psychological turning points that significantly change the supply of bitcoin are going to be described by introducing a new oscillating indicator that signals when these major supply changes occur, using blockchain data." I interpret this reference to the psychology of "weak hands" getting flushed out of the market by selling at a loss as shown when SOPR sits below 1 for extended periods of time (bear), and when all the weak hands have left the market, we find a bottom.
Because I am an impatient learner, I needed further examples to understand fully. If someone sells you 1 Bitcoin at $50,000USD, that transaction is recorded on the blockchain. If you then sell it for $25,000USD, that is now a spent output which is obviously a negative 0.5 ratio, and would contribute to a SOPR lower than the value 1. Interestingly the SOPR tends to be very close to the value 1 nearly always. Which means that the aggregated data of all spent outputs is nowhere near as extreme as the example I gave (although I'm sure there are plenty of retail traders who bought the high and sold the bottom at a 50% loss).
If we rewind to extended periods of low points in the SOPR ratio, extended negative ratio periods coincide with low points. In the past 5 years the lowest ratio was around 0.88, which was December 2018, when the price of Bitcoin was heading lower than $4k USD. That particularly brutal bear market lasted 18 months and you can see that the SOPR was below value 1 for nearly the entire time, indicating that there was a long tail of weak hands realising losses the entire time.
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Also present on the top chart is a brilliant little free indicator called Liq.Levels , wtf is all I can say, this a masterpiece of long/short liquidation data based on market maker behaviour in this case Binance's perpetual BTC/USDT leveraged futures (one of the most active retail leverage platforms). On this layout I have hidden all but the 25x liquidation points both short and long as it captures the widest spread and for the simplest visual as this is a glance-dashboard, on a single panel layout you can view the 50x and 100x which are tighter spreads. Liq.Levels also filters for a minimum of one million USD, so this is real value the market makers are getting out of bed for, essentially these levels are where the market maker really wants to push the price to. If you're new to leverage (don't do it! just buy at spot!), the reason they do this is to hunt the longs and the shorts and cause maximum liquidations (are you still trading with leverage?!).
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The second panel is the famous Bitfinex Longs (green) and Shorts (red) . You can see currently the longs, since around the $39000 level went parabolic. The shorts are just tiny in comparison. The data from Bitfinex seems less erratic than those from other exchanges, so if you find looking at longs and shorts ratios useful, I'd suggest also looking at other websites to see the other major exchange long and short activity, liquidations, and ratios.
This info is used to monitor large moves by leveraged traders. While Bitfinex is not the best measure here (ideally you would want all major exchanges aggregated longs vs shorts, but I have not found such indicators on TV, only Bitfinex), you can check the data by comparing it to another exchange, for example Binance you can see that parabolic move the Longs made from the 11th of July to around the 14th of July (while the BTC price fell off a cliff from $30k to $20k), where the ratio of Longs vs Shorts on Binance also skewed heavily to the Long side.
This is another way to stack a probability. As the Longs level off and get flushed out (usually by mass liquidation!), this is another variable to find support or resistance. For example you can see the levelling off around 12 May 2022, Bitcoin's price found a short term bottom at $29k. Similarly and most recently you can see as the Longs levelled off from a hectic run up in the mid June 2022 selloff, the price found a short term bottom around $20k. You could say that recently or commonly this is a contrarian indicator, assuming that smart money is seeking to liquidate the maximum possible leveraged positions, so we can assume that generally these leveraged retail traders will largely make incorrect bets most of the time, hence historically as soon as Shorts leave the market, the price spikes up, and vice versa. So, another thing to watch.
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Next we have a Crypto Fear & Greed Index , which as you can see nearly always oscillates in a tight rhythm with Bitcoin's price action. Above 75 (green dotted line) is extreme greed, below 25 (red dotted line) extreme fear. There are quite a few websites that attempt to measure crypto Fear & Greed, and even a variety of different indicators on TradingView, but this was the clearest visually I could find here. The inputs on this version according to the coder are stable coin flows (flight to safety), coin momentum (top 18 coin price relative to 30 day averages), and top 18 coin price high over the previous 90 days. So, it's interesting that despite this being at face value a rather complicated set of data with many inputs, that it just looks like a carbon copy of the Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin has a gravity that is inescapable for all things crypto right now.
The difference between looking at this indicator and simply looking at Bitcoin's chart is that it flattens out the action and has a set floor and a ceiling. You can see historically that the best buy times were when fear was at its "height" (where the yellow line is at its lowest). Another way to stack probabilities. At time of writing, is this a great time to buy? Fear appears to be leaving the market, we haven't had a commensurate price move up, so I'd be cautious. Like all these indicators, you can just overlay Bitcoin's price line and backtest the correlation in a few seconds. Buying when fear is at a maximum is usually easier said than done, though!
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Lastly we have Liquidations by Volume , as per the coder this "shows actual liquidations on a per-candle basis by using the difference in volume between spot and futures markets." Blue line is futures volumes, yellow are spot volumes. The code for this indicator shows that it is the same BTCUSDT Perpetual Future's contract from Binance that we have in the Liq.Levels indicator, perfect.
Worth noting is that the community of coders at TradingView is a trader's dream. These sorts of customisable dashboards you can build are high value. Having worked for the largest international institutions I find many of these indicators are institutional grade and they have just a few hundred users sometimes, pretty crazy how early in the adoption curve we are with this. If you haven't experienced the "other side" of trading, compared to regular equities forex futures etc the TradingView tools and the crypto data and exchanges are just lightyears ahead.
Back to why look at liquidations? As institutions come into the market, and retail wallets on exchanges like Binance and many others continue to use leverage, the action in the derivative (in this case $BTCUSDTPERP) can and often does drive the price of the underlying. Market makers hunt the maximum liquidations, always. The market context is highly relevant here. During volatile periods it is a swinging contrarian indicator. If there has been massive green bars showing short liquidations pushing the price up, then we could be forming/hitting resistance levels and can see reversal/selloffs, and vice versa if there are massive red bars showing long liquidations pushing the price down, this can be hammering out support levels and we look to bounce. The longs and the shorts really do seem to be taking turns getting liquidated right now.
Also of relevance is the price action relative to the liquidations. Obviously if an institutional candle pushes the price up or down, there will be mass liquidations. But another scenario that occurs is when are light volumes on the derivatives such as $BTCUSDTPERP we have under the microscope here, but we have large Bitcoin price movements, then the reasons for the move can be understood differently, and we can use this and other contexts to draw conclusions such as for example a scenario where price goes up with light liquidations and derivative action, which could be interpreted as much stronger hands holding coins rather than simply margin calls.
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Good luck!
🌸HOW YOUR BELIEFS SHAPE YOUR TRADING🌸
🌺Trading is not just about making money. it's also about understanding yourself and your beliefs. Your beliefs can shape the way you approach trading and ultimately impact your success. It's important to identify what we believe and how these thoughts influence our decision-making.
🌼The role of beliefs in trading is often underappreciated. A trader's beliefs can influence their perception of risk, their ability to handle losses, and their willingness to accept new information. Beliefs can also impact their emotional state and motivation, affecting their overall approach to trading.
💐Beliefs can be positive or negative, and they all play a crucial role in shaping our trading behavior. For instance, it is commonly believed that trading requires an intuitive sense, and that success comes from the "gut feeling." While this intuition is essential, it's also vital to think logically and systematically. As a trader, you should evaluate your methods and actions based on logic and data.
🌻Another belief that may impact trading is the 'fear of loss.' This belief comes from a reaction to the thought of losing our hard-earned money. Traders who may be influenced by this belief may avoid loss by being too cautious and missing promising opportunities in trading. Additionally, they may move too quickly and sell out too soon, taking small losses instead of giving trades a chance to earn enough to cover their expenses.
🍀Moreover, some traders believe they can't make money consistently. However, such a belief is likely to result in a failure mindset and a lack of effort to learn and develop skills. Failing to learn about risk management and technical analysis may lead to bigger losses, which will, in turn, affirm the belief that consistent profits are impossible.
🌸To turn negative beliefs around and transform them to suit favorable outcomes, a trader may need to replace negative thoughts with positive ones. Additionally, it may help to find influences that align with your trading goals, whether that's finding a mentor or joining a relevant trading community. Working with like-minded people helps keep your focus on your goals and learn from others' experiences and mistakes. It can boost your confidence and reinforce the belief that consistent profits are attainable, which can impact positively in your trading.
🌵In conclusion, a trader's beliefs heavily impact their trading. It's essential to examine and understand the positive and negative beliefs that influence one's trading behavior. By identifying negative beliefs, traders can have better control of their emotional state and approach to trading. Replacing erroneous beliefs with positive behaviors and working with like-minded traders can provide a path to a positive and successful trading journey.
🌺Hope u like my article. Please let me know what you think💋
Love, Anabel❤️
Please, support my work with like and comment!
Love you, my dear followers!👩💻🌸
Mastering the VIX on TradingViewThe VIX, also known as the CBOE Volatility Index, is a widely-used financial instrument used to measure market volatility and investor sentiment. In this article, we will explore how to use the VIX on TradingView to improve your trading strategies.
Before we dive into how to use the VIX, let's first understand what it is and how it works. The VIX is based on the S&P 500 index options, and measures the implied volatility of those options over the next 30 days. Essentially, the VIX provides a gauge of how much the market is expected to move over the next month.
Now, let's discuss how to use the VIX on TradingView. To begin, open up the TradingView platform and search for the VIX symbol, which is typically denoted as VIX. Once you have located the VIX, add it to your watchlist and open up the chart.
On the chart, you will notice that the VIX moves inversely to the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 goes down, the VIX goes up, indicating that market volatility is increasing. Conversely, when the S&P 500 goes up, the VIX goes down, indicating that market volatility is decreasing.
So how can we use the VIX to improve our trading strategies? One strategy is to use the VIX as a hedging tool. For example, if you have a portfolio of stocks and are concerned about a potential market downturn, you could buy the VIX to protect yourself against losses. This is because the VIX tends to increase in value when the market is experiencing volatility.
Another way to use the VIX is as a contrarian indicator. When the VIX is at a very low level, it may indicate that investors are overly complacent and that the market may be due for a correction. On the other hand, when the VIX is at a very high level, it may indicate that investors are overly fearful and that the market may be due for a rebound.
In conclusion, the VIX is a powerful tool that can be used to measure market volatility and investor sentiment. By understanding how the VIX works and using it in conjunction with other technical indicators, you can improve your trading strategies and better navigate the unpredictable world of finance. Remember, always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
The 4 fears of every traderTrading in the financial markets, whether it be forex or cryptocurrency, can be a thrilling yet challenging experience. It requires a level of strategy, discipline, and risk tolerance to make informed decisions and reap profits. But, as traders, we are often faced with fears that can cloud our judgment and hinder our success in the market.
To help you overcome these fears, we will delve into the four main categories that traders face: fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out. These fears can be crippling, but with the right understanding and approach, they can be conquered. Join us on a journey to understand these fears and how to overcome them, so you can become a confident, successful trader in the forex and cryptocurrency markets.
Fear of being wrong
The fear of being wrong is the most common obstacle for traders. It's only natural to want to be right all the time, but in the fast-paced and ever-changing world of trading, being wrong is an inevitable part of the process. But this fear can hold us back from making the bold and calculated decisions necessary for success.
When we're too afraid of being wrong, we may avoid taking calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even make impulsive decisions based on emotions instead of data. But here's the thing: being wrong is a valuable opportunity to learn and grow as a trader. Every misstep is a chance to analyze what went wrong and improve our strategy for the next trade.
So instead of letting the fear of being wrong hold you back, embrace it. Embrace the possibility of being wrong and use it as fuel to become a better trader. Remember, even the most successful traders make mistakes and face losses all the time. The key is to learn from those mistakes and come back stronger.
Fear of losing money
No one wants to watch their hard-earned capital disappear, but in the world of trading, losses are a fact of life. However, letting this fear control our decisions can be just as detrimental to our success as the fear of being wrong.
If we're too afraid to lose money, we may be hesitant to take calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even exit positions prematurely. But here's the truth: losses are an integral part of the trading process and can be managed with a solid trading plan in place. By implementing risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, traders can minimize their losses and protect their capital.
So instead of letting the fear of losing money paralyze you, turn it into a strength. Use it as motivation to develop a comprehensive trading plan that incorporates effective risk management strategies. Accept that losses are a natural part of trading, and use them as an opportunity to improve your strategies and refine your approach. Don't be afraid to lose money, be afraid of not taking advantage of opportunities to grow your wealth.
Fear of leaving money on the table
The fear of leaving money on the table is a tricky one, as it often arises when we're in a winning trade. It's tempting to hold on, hoping to squeeze out even more profits. But this can be a dangerous mindset that can lead to ignoring stop-losses and exposing ourselves to unnecessary risk. After all, you don't have a crystal ball ( and aren't an FOMC member ), so you should expect to buy the exact bottom and sell the exact top.
Instead, you need to have a clear exit strategy in place and stick to it, no matter how much you feel like the trade can continue to go in your favor. By having a predetermined exit plan, we can lock in profits, manage risk, and avoid emotional decision-making.
So, instead of succumbing to the fear of leaving money on the table, embrace discipline. Develop a solid exit strategy that balances the desire for profits with the need for risk management. Don't be afraid to lock in your profits, even if it feels like there's still money to be made. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, and you'll be in a better position to capitalize on future opportunities.
Fear of missing out
The fear of missing out (FOMO) is a feeling that all traders have faced at some point. It's especially prevalent in a volatile market, where prices are moving quickly, and it can be tempting to jump in without fully analyzing the situation. But succumbing to FOMO can lead to hasty decisions based on emotions, rather than logic, which can result in costly mistakes ( emotions causing mistakes...do you see a pattern? ).
It's important to resist the temptation of FOMO and stick to your trading plan, even when the market is moving rapidly. By having a clear strategy in place and following it, we can avoid impulsive trades and make informed decisions that are grounded in logic and analysis. Take the time to thoroughly analyze each opportunity before making a decision. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, even when it feels like the market is passing you by.
How to overcome our fears?
For a brighter reader, it is easy to notice that these fears are omnipresent. No matter what you do or don't do during your trading day, you can't avoid these fears. Overcoming them is not easy, but it is essential for achieving success in the market. Here are a few pointers that can help you overcome these four fears and become more disciplined and consistent traders:
Develop a reliable trading plan
Having a well-defined trading plan can help us to manage our risks and make informed, rational decisions. A good trading plan should include our goals, risk management rules, and entry and exit strategies. By following our plan, we can stay disciplined and avoid making emotional decisions based on fear.
Practice proper risk management
Risk management is an essential part of trading, and it can help us to overcome our fear of losing money. By setting clear stop-loss levels and position sizes, we can minimize our losses and protect our capital. This can give us the confidence to take on appropriate levels of risk and pursue potential trading opportunities.
Realize that your ego is the enemy
How many times have you held a losing position past your stop loss and literally prayed for the break-even? Did anything fundamentally change about your position? No, you just didn't want to take the loss, am I right? See, even though we know that losses are part of the process it is still very hard for us to accept that any trade can go against us. And sometimes you do everything right, and still lose.
Every trading system works with probabilities. Losses are normal. Let your ego go and stop trying to force a win out of every single position you take. ( Add this to your daily affirmation ritual if you must )
Stay focused on the long term
It's easy to get caught up in the short-term movements of the market, but it's important to remember that trading is a long-term game. By focusing on our long-term goals it becomes easier to stay disciplined. Every losing day can get you closer to your long-term goal, as long as you sit down, analyze what happened, and learn from it.
Take regular breaks
Trading can be mentally and emotionally exhausting, and it's important to take regular breaks to recharge and refocus. By stepping away from the markets for a while, you can clear your mind and come back to our trading with a fresh perspective. This can help you avoid making rash decisions.
Learn from your mistakes
This is the big one. Realize that nobody is perfect, and everyone makes mistakes in their trading careers. It's important to learn from these mistakes and use them as opportunities for growth and improvement. By analyzing your past mistakes and adjusting your strategies accordingly, you can become better trader and overcome your fears.
Consider automating your trading process
Our trading platform does a fantastic job of keeping your emotions out of trading. You can set multiple take profits and stop losses, understand your risk-to-reward ratio, the trade's impact on your portfolio and much more before you even place the trade. You can backtest your strategies, trade them live automatically, and much much more. Leveraging technology in your favor can yield a tremendous difference in your trading results, as it did for our 15 thousand users.
Conclusion
The four main fears that traders face - fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out - can have a significant impact on our success in the markets. However, with the right approach and mindset, these fears can be overcome and transformed into positive drivers for our trading.
By accepting that being wrong is a natural part of the trading process, managing our risks, having a clear exit strategy, and resisting the temptation of FOMO, we can overcome these fears and become more confident and successful traders. By doing so, we can capitalize on opportunities, make informed decisions, and achieve our trading goals. So embrace these fears, overcome them, and take control of your trading journey.
Trading Psychology 101 | FEAR (1/2)A bit of a different video for you..
Thought i should talk about a sensitive subject here..
Psychology in trading and the key factors that you may need to finally BECOME a better trader..
In this part, I talk about FEAR and FOMO. Also, I added a more sensitive part, which is feeling burnt out and ways to overcome that.
Hope you find this helpful!
😱 Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO)📉Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) / SHORT scenario.
Fear of missing out, or FOMO, is the feeling of anxiety or regret that can occur when someone believes that they have missed an opportunity to invest in a stock or crypto currency that is increasing or decreasing in value.
This feeling can be triggered by seeing others making money from a particular investment, or by observing the stock or crypto's value increasing or decreasing over time and thinking that one should have invested earlier.
FOMO can be dangerous to investors because it can lead to impulsive buying or selling decisions that are not based on sound investment strategies.
In the above scenario we can see the effect of FOMO in play. The price action breakdown of the trendline, indicating weak support and a flip of the trend.
This psychological effect can be observed without the use of indicators and by just looking at the price action.
A deeper look into order flow and Open Interest could further explain the trader's behavior on this particular effect that occurs.
🔴 ENTRY is based on the first major red candle after the breakdown, trying to knife-catch the price, based on no strategy and purely
emotion of missing out a potential short position with a stop loss nowhere close to a potential supply zone where the price action could re-visit
for confirmation of a downtrend.
🟢 ENTRY is based AFTER the retest of the trendline, on a potential supply zone where the price action is looking
for a retest at this level before confirmation of further decline of price action. Stop loss is given above the
last high, above the trendline.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
Trading with 0 stress👉So you see a trading opportunity. It looks like a fair setup. You get confirmation to enter, but you hesitate. You're afraid of losing money, or you have some anxiety that keeps you from pulling the trigger. This is a problem that almost all traders face at some point in their trading career. I too have suffered from fear of losing money and this problem has led to other mistakes that have stopped me from executing my best trades. Today I share my process of what I did. To reduce my anxiety while trading and the actual steps I took to improve my trading execution.
❓ Do you think the color of the candle affects you while trading? Of course it does. Feel free to tell me if this sounds familiar in the comment section. You enter a long trade expecting the market to go up. You gain a few %, then the price turns against you and forms a red candle. And you start watching the movement, especially each candle pointing down. And you focus on the red color of the candle.
😱You get more and more anxious. When another red candle forms. This was a big problem for me in my early years. I closed my trades after a few minutes. When I saw more red candles below my entry point. The solution to overcome this is simple:
🧨 Change the color of the candles to one color. This way you will only track the price and its range.
Let me ask you, which of the texts on the screen is the one that is easier to read? The single colour or the multi-colour? There is a phenomenon in psychology called visual perception. Your brain is always looking for patterns in commerce. If you use multi-coloured candles, you reduce your ability to recognise patterns. Let me repeat that. Your brain is looking for patterns, and one of those patterns is similar colors. Colors affect your brain, your emotions, your feelings. Your psychology, potentially your trading ability. To trade best, you need to trade in a neutral, unbiased state of mind. I've bought in the past because of fast moving red or green candles, I've made bad trades, both on entry and exit. If you get anxious during an open trade, use candles of the same color. So try this simple tip to reduce your reaction to price movements. Change the colour to anything but not to red. Blue or green, yellow or white candles. Just stay away from red and give me a feedback in a week or so. I find myself calmer using a single color for the up and down candles. Maybe this little brainstorming session will help relieve some of the anxiety.
👉 Here's another situation. You see a long opportunity. The price is around the key level and you need to decide. You pull the trigger at, say, $50. You say to yourself, "Wait, I'll wait until... until the market drops a few cents. The market drops to $50.02, but you're still waiting. And then the market goes back up to $50.10 and... you say to yourself, I'm not getting in now. That's a worse price than five minutes ago. I'll wait until it goes down again. And of course the price never comes back. It goes up without you. And now you're frustrated because you anticipated the move, but your perfectionism... prevented you from pulling the trigger. Fear of losing money and perfectionism can lead to irrational behavior, overanalyzing, overthinking and slowly draining your mental energy.
🟢 One of the problems I personally struggled with was. That I wanted to be perfect in my trades. I was looking for the perfect opportunity. You know, when you enter and the price never goes against you, not even one %. Being a perfectionist in trading is stressful and always being on the edge doesn't help you make good trading decisions. In most cases, when you are waiting for the perfect entry, you realize you just missed a big move. Trying to time your entry precisely, at the entry point, is a foolish undertaking. Perfection can be your biggest enemy in trading and can cause you a lot of stress.
🟢 Here's how to reduce that anxiety. Use ranges instead of exact prices. As a day trader, you will not be able to track price movements every minute of the day. That's why you should use price ranges instead of exact prices. This gives you some flexibility. And of course you still need to be strict with yourself when executing your plan. Good traders are vigilant, yet patient. When a lineup they've been waiting for pops up, they grab it without hesitation. But until that time comes, they won't budge. The price fluctuations that lure other traders. They choose to reserve energy for what they are prepared for and ignore everything else. They don't chase the market, they let the market come to them. The opposite of this is forcing trades. You know the feeling when you wait for a trade, see some activity, and pull the trigger early. You force the trade. I did that almost every day.
🟢 Here's the solution. Stop using market orders and use limit orders instead. Basically let the market come to you. Once you have selected the assets you want and done your analysis, you need to determine the prices where you will buy and sell. Your goal is simply to buy and sell at the best possible prices, and use your research to identify reasonable prices in advance. Not only will this help you get a better deal, it will also help you avoid emotion-based trading. The simple solution to reducing stress and anxiety is to only act when the conditions are what you expect. Letting the market come to you is a difficult but valuable skill to learn. So forget market orders and use limit orders. This will reduce your emotional involvement and prevent you from making bad decisions.
🟢 If you want to reduce stress and anxiety while trading, you should switch to higher time frames. This will allow you the time needed to make informed decisions. I know you will find it difficult at first, but you will continue to struggle with anxiety and stress until you make the change. If you are feeling nervous and afraid of losing money, I highly recommend trying the higher time frames. Again, this transition to higher time frames is difficult and most traders are reluctant to switch. But you need to change your environment if you want better trading performance. If you trade in an environment like the 1-minute or the 5-minute chart, you risk the risk of market noise. True, higher time frames don't offer trading opportunities with as much speed, but the signals generated are more reliable and have a much higher chance of working. Better to trade a handful of good quality trades. Rather than trying with many poor quality trades. Daytrade trading is exciting, but it also requires you to monitor price movements for many hours. Most daytrade traders initially like the excitement and moving on lower time frames, but it's only a matter of time before they experience mental burnout, and once mental discipline is exhausted, greed, frustration, anger and impatience will bring bad trades and send you into a dangerous state of mind from which it is difficult to recover. So move into higher time frames. You'll only spend a fraction of the time in front of the charts, and you'll be at less risk of burnout. After a while, you'll find that it becomes much easier to work with a cool head while maintaining mental and emotional discipline.
🟢 How often do you enter trading? The setup looked great, then the price went straight away to your stop-loss before it got to your take profit level without you. Without profit, this is probably the most frustrating scenario many traders face on a daily basis. Because you fear losing money, you tend to use small stop losses. You don't want to make a mistake and try to keep your losses small, but keeping your levels too close to the entry candle is a recipe for having your account cut to pieces. A tight stop relies on you having very precise, near-perfect entries, and we've already talked about perfectionism in trading. If you repeatedly see your stops being hit regularly before the price turns in the original direction, it is very likely that you have placed your stops at levels that other traders use, especially if you trade on obvious price movement patterns. My advice is to start trading with a wider stop loss and a lower position size away from the entry. The position size you use should be small enough that neither a loss nor a gain will affect your mindset and ability to continue trading, only then will you really focus on proper execution.
🟢If you are trading the markets with your hard-earned money, but you don't know what your trading strategy is and you don't trust your market analysis skills. You probably shouldn't be trading with a live account. One of the biggest reasons why you are nervous and afraid when you trade is that you will lose your money because you don't trust your own trading skills. You may not have learned a trading strategy. You do not have a trading plan, you do not keep a trading diary. You are simply not prepared to take risks. Real money at risk in the markets. That is why you feel fear when you trade. Basically, trading anxiety comes from not knowing what you are doing. I have talked many times about the value of a trading log. The key is to use your trading log to keep track of when you are at your best and when you are at your worst when it comes to your trading and your emotions. I pay close attention in my trading diary to times when I make mental mistakes, such as not trading a good trade when I know I should. When I am afraid of losing money or avoiding a good trade, I look for triggers and patterns. Was I confused? Did I make that mistake in a particular market situation? Do I have certain feelings and emotions from previous trades? These are the intangible factors that you need to track in your trading log.
🟢 Most traders are fixated on short-term results. They make money by pressing a few buttons and don't pay attention to the process that makes it possible. They make mistakes, learn from them, and correct them over and over again. Everyone thinks about winning, but few think about the benefits of losing . In my experience, most wins are directly attributable to a big losing trade that I learned from making money in the past. As a trader it makes no sense if you don't understand why/why you can't repeat. Similarly, losing money is a valuable experience. If you understand why you lost. Paradoxically, you cannot understand why you win. Without first understanding how you could have lost in the same situation. So change the way you think about losses, because they will show you the direction of repeatable victories in the future.
If you've already lost, at least don't lose the lesson.
Take care my friend and have a good trade!
HOW TO MANAGE YOUR EMOTIONSHello everyone! One of the most important , and in the same time, one of the hardest aspects of trading is the ability to manage correctly your emotions and leave them aside while trading. So how can we manage our emotions in stressful situations? Here are some tips that every trader should consider when starting trading:
1. DO NOT ACT ON ANGER: every time you feel strong emotions, hold back and revisit your trading plan, is your move aligned with your initial plan or are you acting on irrational emotions? One of the worst things is to take a position based on anger after a loss in order to recover the losses. Take a deep breath and rethink your decision!
2. DO NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH YOUR POSITIONS: we all want to always be right, but sometimes we have to accept a bad position and close it. It is common to fall in love with our positions and hold it out of hope that the market will switch, but involving emotions just blow the account, stick to your plan!
3. ESTABLISH SOME TRADING RULES AND KEEP A TRADING JOURNAL: setting your own rules of trading and risk management is crucial for a profitable account. No matter what you hear from others and how good a position may look, if it is not aligned with your rules, do not take it! Moreover, do not change a strategy after some losses, stick to what you have learnt and planned, keep the information in a trading journal and plan your next moves based on you learnt from it.
4. TAKE A BREAK AFTER 3 LOSSES IN A ROW: it is natural to have a bad day, but when this happen do not become over emotional and over trade, but rather take a break and wait for a new and fresh trading day. Strong emotions will ruin any important decision, no matter the context, so try to avoid them.
5. SET TP AND SL AND TRUST YOUR JUDGEMENT: after establishing your trading plan and risk management plan, in order to stick to your risk to reward strategy, you have to use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders, and trust your judgment and the market. No matter what happens, this helps you have a clear forecast of your account, without blowing it. Also, avoid getting greedy and secure your profits with take profit order.
6. LOWER THE TRADE SIZE: if you feel overwhelmed by the risk on each trade, and out of fear you make irrational decisions, try to lower the trade size to what feels comfortable with you. After doing this, always update your trading strategy!
7. DO NOT GIVE UP! : there is a point when every trader feels like giving up, losing all his faith, but you should understand that this is the normal journey, with ups and downs, and if you do not let yourself intimidated by the downs, the ups are limitless!
Trading Psychology: 4 Dangerous Emotions Traders Must AvoidWhen I was a naive, newbie trader, I didn’t pay much attention to my trading psychology. I was more focused on the technical chart patterns and trade setups.
However, I soon found out the hard way that…
Ignoring the psychology of trading was destroying my trading results.
That’s when I began making a serious effort to master my personal trading psychology.
I started reading trading psychology books, and even worked with a personal trading coach.
I was definitely on the right path to mastering trading psychology, but wished I would have started learning sooner.
That’s why NOW is the perfect time to start getting your trading psychology edge.
But why is it important to understand stock market psychology?
Understanding stock market psychology paves the way for your long-term trading success.
That’s why this exclusive new mini-lesson of top trading psychology tips is just for you.
How do you develop trading psychology?
Some trading sites advise new stock and crypto traders to gain experience by paper trading with a simulated account.
This can be helpful to learn the basics of trading, but it’s a much different ball game when real money is on the line.
Your true emotions in trading will only be revealed when risking your own money with actual trades.
Therefore, the best way to develop your trading psychology is simply by working your way through hundreds of live trades with real capital.
Keep a basic journal and note when you feel the dangerous emotions below start creeping in.
This is the only way to truly identify your personal strengths and weaknesses in trading psychology.
4 Most Dangerous Emotions to Avoid:
Fear, Greed, Hope, and Regret
Investing decisions in any market in the world are driven by 4 powerful emotions of Fear, Greed, Hope, and Regret.
Left uncontrolled, these emotions can have a seriously negative impact on your trading account—but only if you let them.
Your personal ability to master these key emotions directly determines your long-term trading success.
So here’s a quick rundown of how fear, greed, hope, and regret can harm your trading results.
Most importantly, I have also included actionable ways to avoid these emotions in your trading.
FEAR – The most powerful human emotion that affects your trading
Fear is a distressing emotion caused by a feeling of impending danger.
This results in a survival response, regardless of whether the threat is real or imagined.
Traders consistently report fear as the emotion they struggle with the most. Fear has even caused people to jump off buildings during market panics.
FEAR is the reason markets typically fall much faster than they rise.
It took the Dow Jones Industrial Average 24 years (1983 until 2007) to rally from 1,000 to 14,200…BUT it only took 2 years (2007-2009) to lose HALF of that multi-decade gain.
Why?
Uncontrolled fear rapidly leads to panic—which leads to poor decision making in the markets.
When traders become driven by panic, they often sell their positions at any price. That’s why stocks frequently cliff dive when group fear starts kicking in.
Fear can also rear its ugly head after you experience a string of losing trades. After suffering many losses, fear of “yet another loss” can make it mentally challenging to enter new swing trade setups.
When paralyzed by fear, you miss out on profitable trading opportunities.
If it’s a quality trade setup, then don’t let fear prevent you from buying (be careful not to confuse this with revenge trading).
Remember that each trade you enter is completely independent of the previous trade.
Therefore, losing money on a prior trade does not necessarily mean you will lose on the next trade.
Fear is not always bad, as it can help keep losses small.
For example, fear of a bigger loss can get you out of a bad trade you should no longer be in.
If you immediately sell your stock or crypto when it hits your preset stop price, then the fear of a bigger loss protects you from major losses.
When there is fear, steer clear!
If the market is in a state of panic, don’t fight the downtrend. If you’re in doubt, get out!
Don’t try to rationalize or come up with excuses to stay in losing positions beyond their stop prices.
HINT: Ignore the news and internet forums to prevent lame rationalizations for staying in losing trades.
When there is too much fear in the markets, our flagship swing trade alerts service simply shifts to cash until a new buy signal is received. This prevents fighting strong downtrends in unfavorable conditions.
GREED – Too much greed decreases your trading profits
Greed is an excessive desire for money and wealth, but is a natural human emotion.
A healthy amount of greed can help drive your trading profits, but too much greed will have the opposite effect.
How to know when it’s too much greed
Greed is when you have already made a large profit on a trade, BUT are still obsessed with how much more you could have made if you stayed in the trade longer.
The mistake with this reasoning is that all gains are not real until the position is closed. Until then, a winning trade is only a profit on paper.
Greed can also cause traders to make bad trades by ignoring solid risk management rules, which signals a lack of discipline in your trading or investing.
To keep greed at bay on a winning trade, sell partial share size to lock in profits, then trail a stop higher on the rest.
Proactive trade management like this is why our exclusive Wagner Daily stock picks have been consistently profitable over the past 20 years.
HOPE – A fake friend who will take your money (but only if you let it)
Hope, a feeling of anticipation and desire for a certain event to happen, may be the most dangerous emotion for traders.
If you are an active trader or investor, the feeling of “hope” in your day to day trading activities must be avoided at all costs.
Why is hope so dangerous for traders?
Hope may prevent you from immediately selling a losing trade that hits its stop price—which is the top rule with most trading strategies.
When you blow a stop, you will usually wind up with a much bigger loss than you planned to risk.
You may get lucky with a second chance to exit (especially in a forgiving bull market). However, this is definitely not a situation you want to be in.
A weak stock typically continues much lower before bouncing, which is why you must always honor your stops.
Otherwise, that’s when hope can really sneak up on you!
Hope will convince you to just “hang in there a little longer” because:
“Big news is coming soon”
“This stock will surely rally after their next earnings report”
(Insert your favorite bullshit excuse here)
Meanwhile, while you’re busy hoping, the price plummets and has a catastrophic effect on your entire trading account.
Rest assured, the market will eventually punish you by taking your money when you slip into “hope mode.”
But the good news is that YOU alone can easily prevent this scenario from happening.
Simply always set protective stops to pre-define your maximum risk per trade.
Be rigidly disciplined to follow your trading plan, and hope will never become an issue in your trading.
Plan your trades, and trade your plan.
REGRET – Remember the next opportunity is always just around the corner
Regret is defined as a feeling of sadness or disappointment over something that has happened—especially when it involves a loss or a missed opportunity.
It is only natural for a stock trader to regret entering a losing trade or missing out on a winning trade.
But to master your trading psychology, do not hyper-focus on losing trades or missed opportunities.
If you lose money on a trade, then simply evaluate what went wrong, learn from it, and move on.
Don’t waste time regretting your original decision to enter the trade. What’s done is done.
Conversely, you may feel regret when you miss an opportunity. This is human nature.
However, you must train your mind to simply move on to the next trading opportunity—which is always just around the corner.
When you allow this type of regret to control you, it becomes too easy to “chase trades” with risky entry prices.
If you chase, your risk/reward ratio of the setup no longer meets the parameters of healthy trade management.
Let’s say you plan to buy $DUDE stock at a $60 buy trigger price, with a swing trade target around $70. If you buy it, you plan your initial stop at $55.
This gives you a 1:2 risk/reward ratio (risking $5 to gain $10).
$DUDE stock rallies, but you miss your original $60 buy and instead chase the price to an entry at $65.
If you don’t significantly raise your initial stop, you now have a negative risk-reward (risking $10 to gain $5).
In this case, your regret of missing the $60 entry caused you to chase it to $65 (next time, just wait for a pullback). Avoid feelings of regret to ensure the math of trading is always in your favor.
We always target a bare minimum risk/reward ratio of 1:2 for swing trades in our stock and crypto swing trade alerts services.
Successful traders keep their minds disciplined to avoid remorseful thinking.
original source
THE FEAR & GREED INDEX: THE LOWEST LEVEL, SO FAR.Welcome traders to this Fear & Greed index.
The F&G Index has gone to the lowest level of 6 to date. This is the lowest in the history of cryptocurrency and this could get recorded only if the market bounces back from the current level. In my F&G updates, I have mentioned that we can possibly see the F&G reaching close to 1 as well but then what? Could it go zero or -1? There's no way that could happen.
The F&G Index won't stay at this level for long. Soon we will see the indicator moving from 4,5,6 to 12,20,30. This is the time of accumulation, my friend. This is not the time to give up or sell your bags. I am accumulating it one at a time. No rush, no harry. Just slow and steady.
What is your strategy? Are you accumulating too?
Like and follow if you agree with me.
Thank you.
LET'S GET REAL: Fear of Losing! Hey Traders,
Most traders battle it. I myself had to progress past this in order to achieve consistent returns trading the markets. It is seen as one of the hardest challenges to pass in terms of emotional discipline. Understanding yourself better so you can make decisions in a calm, composed and consistent manner is crucial to success.
Today I wanted to touch on that. I wanted to talk about the fear of losing what spurred from my fear of losing, how I progressed through it (it still creeps in from time to time). Hopefully you can take from my story and how it improved your trading or how it can help you progress past that fear of losing.
If anyone has any questions or maybe some other stories in the way they progressed through a fear of losing or a fear of being a failure, please feel free to share in the comments and I'll get back to you as soon as possible.
Have a fantastic trading week!
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Biggest problem with beginner tradersHi Everyone, today I wanted to ramble a little more on something that I struggled a lot with and still do to this day, that is the fear of missing that one big trade that your one hundred percent sure that this is the one that will make you a millionaire. This is where the problem comes in many people think of trading as such a simple thing but also over complicate it at the same time. When you ask another trader they may be using ten different indicators on their chart at once they will tell you that it helps them time the market better and is their way of approaching the market, this approach is perfectly fine if that your personal style. But, on the flip side if you ask that same trader if they are willing to create a simple trading plan to make sure that their emotions are in check before taking the trade and this is the trade they really want to be taking. A simple trading plan can really make a difference in anyone's trading career but this is not the main focus for today, I will be posting more on a strict trading plan to do exactly that, keep you in check and allow for your edge in the market to really reveal itself.
Fear of missing out, this is something that many of us have personally struggled with whether we like it or not some of us including myself even struggle with it to this day. This is when you are looking at the chart and without doing a full analysis on the pair you go into it already having a bias on the pair and this will only allow you to see the market in one single way. This causes you to think there is a good trade but in reality there is nothing really even going in your favor, but you think oh no I know for a fact this thing is going down and I need to get in now for a better risk to reward ratio. This causes you to be blinded to what is actually happening in the market and leads you to taking a stupid trade that could have easily been avoided.
Some of you may be following me already and have already seen some of my analysis and post these previous few weeks, while a lot of them went against my initial analysis I did not take half of the trades on my account. For me to take a trade I want to have confirmation which would be a close above the zone of recent highs or lows and after that close confirming that there is more momentum in my favor, only then will I actually take the trade. I have this "Rule" in place to allow for better trades and try to limit me to my stupid trades due to my fear of missing out. I even started to literally sit on my hands or not even look at the charts for a while waiting to see if my trade that I would want actually lines up or if it is a false breakout, waiting for that confirmation has allowed for me to take a lot less losing trades and this is something that I would highly suggest doing in your own trading strategy as well.
You should be able to close your eyes and imagine your perfect setup right now, and that is the only conditions you should take a trade under. If you are taking trades based on emotions that is never going to go well, so many different things can happen in someone's life that can effect their personal trading routines and overall psychology. It is very very very important to have rules set in place to help better your trading and help you along that journey of becoming a break even trader and even a future profitable trader. While this will allow for a person's strategy to really thrive, risk management and the proper set up rules will really improve any trading strategy no matter how good or bad it may be.
Thank you all for the support the trading community has already showed me while I have been trying to share my trades for my own personal benefit and the benefit to whoever may take a peek at my information. Hope you all had an amazing trading week and I will be posting more about suggested topics or whatever I feel like writing about that day, hope you had a good day.
Thanks again,
KeySlot
The Hard Truth About Trading 😅
Well, that is just a joke.
Or not a joke?
In every good joke, there's a sliver of truth...
So many people blew their trading accounts in a blink of an idea chasing the profits, so many people went bankrupt practicing leverage trading...
Do not be that guy in a picture.
Be a true trader!
Never forget about risk management and don't be greedy.
Never let your emotions control you.
Stay calm and humble while you trade.
Have a great weekend!
❤️Please, support these drawings with like! It really helps!
Most common mistakes in tradingHello my friends today i want to talk with you about most common mistakes in trading from my experience (any market but specially in crypto)
And after reading this i hope you will avoid them
1- Not Patient Enough :
I think this is one of top major reasons for failure in cryptomarket
Most newbies in this Field are thinking they will be rich in few days thats completely wrong ...Any old trader here will tell you how the patience will paid off
2- More Than You Can Afford To Lose :
only risk what you can afford to lose ...
more than that will lead to alot of mistakes and you may close your position after any small drop before reaching stoploss point and thats wrong my friends
3- Not Using Stoploss :
Stoploss is important but i recommend manual stoploss by candles closing not automatic one to avoid manipulation in market.. if you dont know difference between manual and automatic read my previous idea about it
4- Over Trading :
Alot of trades every day wont make more money ...instead, it will make you more stressful and staring at charts all day resulting in more mistakes
👉Fewer in numbers and higher in quality trades per week or even month are enough
sometimes best thing you can do is not trading at all when market is uncertain
5- Emotional Trading :
Both fear and greed play big role in the market movement
When you see most of people are greedy you should start taking profits partially ..and also try to avoid selling during panic sells
6- Revenge Trading :
Like using all wallet to buy one coin (all in) or doing high leverage postion to recover losses fast usually end in liqudation or big lose and leaving market completely
This market need you to be flexible
7- Ignoring Your First Plan
alot of very good plans and managements from start but you continusoly change it by listening to other random people opinions
trust in your self and trust in chart
no problem from taking advices from more experience people but you should trust in yourself first by have your own view and own plan
How many mistakes you find yourself doing it ...choose the number from above and tell us in comments
😱Types of Fears in Trading😱Hello! There are several types of fears at the market!
There are several main types of fear:
💡- fear of losing all capital in the account. One of the most common fears. The trader clearly understands that the numbers in the terminal are his money, and their reduction limits his financial capabilities in the future. Under fear of losing an even larger sum, a market participant does even more stupid things or even refuses to trade;
💡- fear of losing money in a losing position. Similar concerns arise during the transaction period under the influence of strong market volatility . This kind of fear is easily correctable;
💡- fear in time not to see a signal to enter or exit the market. More often it's faced by newcomers, who will not imagine what risks are in the trader’s deals and how to protect themselves from them;
💡- general fear of working on the market. It can act as a negative background and prevent you from making the right decision. Often, such fears are eliminated by gaining certain knowledge and experience on the exchange;
💡- fear of receiving another disadvantageous deal. Such fear leads to the appearance of excess fuss. As a result, the trader misses a really good deal;
💡- fear of early fixation of income (fear of loss profit). The position could still be kept open, but the trader reduces his risks, closes the deal and receives less profit. For many market participants, the fear of making such a “mistake” is even stronger than the fear of losing trades.
Guys, it's ok to feel all types of fears ! Especially for those , who new at the market !
Everyone went through that. Someone overcame own fears, someone is trying to overcome, but someone hasn't gotten along with emotions and left the market!
Remember, if you have a goal - go forward!💪🏻 Look only ahead and listen only yourself !🙏🏻
If you wanna become successful - you'll surely become that!!!🚀🚀🚀
Let's become better together ♥️
Stay tuned by Rocket Bomb 🚀💣
Removing FOMO from your tradingHey all!
one of the biggest weaknesses of traders is FOMO, the fear of missing out, and this video will help explain what you need to do to remove it from your trading!
At the end of the day, mindset is one of the most important trading skills out there and without it you are doomed to trading lossess!
Master your mindset, master your trading!