Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Fibo
Pulse of an Asset ala Fibonacci: ETH at a key Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below)
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only
.
.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse,
like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples,
gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner,
setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
.
.
want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
From Leonardo to Trading: The Evolution of Fibonacci LevelsIn the labyrinthine landscape of financial markets, where volatility reigns supreme and uncertainty lurks around every corner, traders seek reliable navigational tools to steer through the tumultuous waters of price movements. Among the myriad techniques at their disposal, Fibonacci analysis emerges as a stalwart companion, offering a nuanced understanding of market dynamics rooted in mathematical precision. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the multifaceted realm of Fibonacci levels, unraveling their historical significance, evolutionary trajectory, practical applications, and the diverse perspectives that shape their interpretation.
Tracing the Roots:
To appreciate the profound impact of Fibonacci analysis on modern trading methodologies, a journey back in time to the 13th century is warranted. It was during this epoch that Leonardo of Pisa, known colloquially as Fibonacci, unveiled a numerical sequence that would transcend mathematical realms and find profound resonance in the domain of financial markets. Beginning with 0 and 1, each subsequent number in the sequence is the sum of the two preceding ones, laying the groundwork for a sophisticated understanding of market movements rooted in the natural order of mathematics.
Evolution in Financial Analysis:
While Fibonacci himself might not have envisaged the application of his sequence in financial markets, the 20th century witnessed a paradigm shift as visionaries such as Ralph Elliott and Robert Prechter pioneered its integration into trading methodologies. Elliott's Wave Theory, with its emphasis on repeating patterns and sequences, forged an intriguing connection with Fibonacci numbers, laying the groundwork for a symbiotic relationship between mathematical principles and market analysis. This union catalyzed a renaissance in technical analysis, ushering in an era where Fibonacci levels became indispensable tools in the arsenal of traders worldwide.
Unveiling Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
At the heart of Fibonacci analysis lies the concept of retracement levels, a cornerstone of technical analysis that echoes the natural order observed in the Fibonacci sequence. These levels, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, serve as pivotal markers in identifying potential zones of price reversal, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and trend dynamics. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to significant highs and lows, traders gain a nuanced understanding of market psychology, discerning the underlying rhythm of price movements amidst the chaos of market fluctuations.
Venturing into Fibonacci Extension Levels:
Beyond retracement levels, Fibonacci extension levels offer a panoramic vista into the future trajectory of price movements, illuminating the path for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of trending markets. With extensions such as 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%, traders can delineate potential targets for price continuation after a correction, harnessing the mathematical harmony inherent in the Golden Ratio to set profit targets and manage risk effectively. These extension levels, rooted in the timeless principles of Fibonacci analysis, serve as guiding beacons for traders navigating the ever-shifting tides of financial markets.
Practical Applications and Precautions:
While Fibonacci levels furnish traders with a potent framework for analysis, it is essential to exercise caution and supplement Fibonacci analysis with corroborating indicators and risk management strategies. By integrating tools such as Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index, and candlestick patterns, traders can enhance the robustness of their trading decisions, mitigating the inherent uncertainties of financial markets and maximizing the efficacy of Fibonacci analysis.
A Tapestry of Perspectives:
As we reflect on the journey of Fibonacci levels through the annals of financial history, we encounter a tapestry of perspectives that weave together to form a rich tapestry of knowledge and insight. From Larry Pesavento's exploration of harmonic price patterns to Philip Carret's pioneering work in long-term investing, the legacy of Fibonacci continues to inspire and guide traders in their quest for market mastery. These diverse perspectives underscore the enduring relevance of Fibonacci analysis in an ever-changing landscape, reaffirming its status as a timeless ally in the pursuit of profit and prosperity.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the comprehensive exploration of Fibonacci analysis reveals its enduring significance as a cornerstone of technical analysis in financial markets. From its humble origins in the mathematical treatises of Leonardo of Pisa to its integration into modern trading methodologies, Fibonacci analysis embodies the timeless principles of mathematical harmony and market psychology. As traders navigate the labyrinthine paths of price movements, they find solace in the elegant simplicity of Fibonacci analysis, a steadfast companion in their quest for success amidst the ever-shifting currents of financial markets.
Thank you for reading! I hope this article proves to be interesting for all of you!
From A to D:How to Use the ABCD Pattern to Forecast Market MovesAre you familiar with the ABCD trading pattern?
In this article, I will provide a comprehensive explanation of the ABCD trading pattern, including its characteristics, how to identify it, and how to use it in trading. So, sit back, relax, and enjoy the information provided in this article.
The ABCD ( AB=CD ) pattern , It's a harmonic pattern that is easily recognizable on a price chart and is composed of four points. This pattern follows a specific sequence of market movements that traders can use to predict potential price swings in the future. The ABCD pattern can be applied in various market conditions, including both bullish and bearish markets, and can be used to speculate on the movement of different forex pairs by simultaneously selling one currency and buying another. However, it's important to keep in mind that the ABCD pattern should not be the sole basis for making trading decisions. It should be used as a tool to inform your decisions.
The first step in opening a position using the ABCD pattern is to identify the pattern on a price chart. Multiday charts can provide insight into the behavior of forex markets over an extended period. You can use daily, hourly, or minute-by-minute charts to spot the pattern, but it's crucial to choose a time horizon that aligns with your goals. For instance, traders looking to hold positions for days or weeks may prefer daily charts instead of minute charts.
Once you have selected the appropriate chart type, you can search for the ABCD pattern to identify bullish or bearish signals.
Let's now take a closer look at how the AB=CD pattern forms and how to spot it:
When identifying the ABCD pattern, traders focus on the legs or moves between points. The moves in the direction of the overall trend are denoted as AB and CD, while BC represents the retracement.
Once you think you have identified an ABCD pattern on a price chart, the next step is to use Fibonacci ratios to validate it. This process can also help you pinpoint where the pattern may complete and where to consider opening your position.
The "classic" ABCD pattern follows a specific sequence of market movements, with the following rules:
In a "classic" ABCD pattern, the BC line should ideally be 61.8% or 78.6% of AB. To determine this, traders often use the Fibonacci retracement tool on the initial move from point A to point B. The BC line should end at either the 61.8% or 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of AB. This helps confirm the validity of the ABCD pattern and gives an idea of where to potentially open a position.
Once the BC leg of the pattern is complete, traders would typically look for the CD leg to reach the 127.2% or 161.8% extension of the BC leg. At this point, traders might consider entering a sell position if the pattern is bearish or a buy position if the pattern is bullish.
The ABCD pattern extension occurs when the CD leg extends beyond the typical 127.2% and reaches 161.8%. This indicates that the price trend may continue in the same direction for a longer period, providing a potentially profitable trading opportunity for traders who have correctly identified the pattern. It's important to note that this extension is not always reliable and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to confirm the validity of the trade.
Note: In strongly trending markets, the retracement (BC) may not reach the usual 61.8% or 78.6% of AB, but only 38.2% or 50%. It's important to adapt to market conditions and adjust your analysis accordingly.
Moreover:
During the move from A to B, the market should not exceed either A or B.
During the move from B to C, the market should not exceed either B or C.
During the move from C to D, the market should not exceed either C or D.
For a bullish ABCD, point C must be lower than A, and D must be lower than B.
For a bearish ABCD, point C must be higher than A, and D must be higher than B.
To identify an ABCD pattern on your TradingView trading chart, follow these six steps:
1 ) Log in to your TradingView trading account and open a market chart.
2 ) Locate the AB line. Remember that this move should be completely contained within points A and B.
3 ) Locate the BC retracement. This should reach either the 61.8% or 78.6% level of the move from A to B.
4 ) Draw the CD line. Using the AB and BC lines, you should be able to predict where point D will fall. CD will generally be equivalent to AB and either 127.8% or 161.8% of BC in both price and time.
5 ) Keep an eye out for price gaps and wide-ranging bars in the CD leg. These can indicate that an extension is forming, implying that CD may be longer than AB.
6 ) Trade the possible retracement at point D. If you've identified a bearish ABCD pattern, consider opening a sell position. On the other hand, if you've found a bullish one, consider buying.
And here are a couple of examples:
I hope you found this guide on identifying the ABCD pattern useful. Let me know your thoughts in the comments section below, and don't forget to like and follow me if you found this guide helpful.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways.
Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is.
Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences.
The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it.
An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower.
The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764.
Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading.
Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support.
Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them
Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools.
What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade?
Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added).
Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist.
How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading
Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined.
The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend.
The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial.
Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance.
This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals.
Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels
Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied.
Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading:
23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading.
38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation.
50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger.
61.8 - strong, like 38.2.
76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well.
The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles.
Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively
Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels.
These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.).
A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend.
Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading
Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback).
When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal.
The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly:
-Finding the price impulse.
-Plotting the grid on the chart.
-The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market.
-When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema.
-In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend.
When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work
Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position.
The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools.
Conclusion
The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Some simple DCA idea. Maybe a bit better than the average one ?Hello, everyone. This is my first idea, so please pardon me if anything goes wrong.
With the bear knocking at the door a while ago, it seems that everything goes down. So maybe we should embrace the investor side ... The boring but rewarding path.
On bear markets, everyone accumulates. The DCA it seems a viable option, as they say : "Time in the market beats timing the market".
We could DCA by volume profile, Fibonacci retracements, or several other techniques. But why going so "complex" when we can make everything simple ?
On Crypto, it's tested that we will see at least 6 consecutive "30% drops" after the latest "30% drop", if not even more.
Influenced on this idea by our regretted mathematician, Mr. Fibo ... And applying it to the charts, I just have a new indicator with an embedded strategy inside.
In order to do everything right , I am asking the community to give me feedback. And if there is a real demand for my creation, I will respond accordingly :)
The questions will be :
1. Do you think this strategy will bring you profits ? If so, do you want to try my indicator for easier backtesting ?
2. How useful do you think it will be a trading automation website, to be launched in 2023 ? Dedicated to Risk/Reward ratio trades, but also containing this idea ?
I am humbly awaiting your response, so ... Let's help each other !
Best regards,
Ionuț
How to use Fibonacci Retracement ⁉️ ‼️ Forex traders use Fibonacci retracements to pinpoint where to place orders for market entry, taking profits and stop-loss orders. Fibonacci levels are commonly used in forex trading to identify and trade off support and resistance levels. After a significant price movement up or down, the new support and resistance levels are often at or near these trend lines . Usually the price retracts to 50% or untile OTE (0.62, 0.705, 0.79) before another impulse movement occurs.
Fibonacci Analysis - Part 1
A. Fibonacci Series
01. The Fibonacci series is a sequence of numbers starting from zero arranged so that the value of any number in the series is the sum of the previous two numbers.
02. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows:
0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, …
B. Properties Of The Fibonacci Series
03. The series extends to infinity.
04. Divide any number in the series by the previous number; the ratio is always approximately 1.618. For example:
610/377 = 1.618
377/233 = 1.618
233/144 = 1.618
05. The ratio of 1.618 is considered as the Golden Ratio.
06. Further into the ratio properties, one can find remarkable consistency when a number in the Fibonacci series is divided by its immediate succeeding number. For example:
89/144 = 0.618
144/233 = 0.618
377/610 = 0.618
07. Similar consistency can be found when any number in the Fibonacci series is divided by a number two places higher. For example:
13/34 = 0.382
21/55 = 0.382
34/89 = 0.382
08. Also, consistency is when a number in the Fibonacci series is divided by a number 3 places higher. For example:
13/55 = 0.236
21/89 = 0.236
34/144 = 0.236
55/233 = 0.236
C. Fibonacci Retracement
09. Fibonacci analysis can be applied when there is a noticeable up-move or down-move in prices.
10. Whenever the stock moves either upwards or downwards sharply, it usually tends to retrace back before its next move.
11. ‘The retracement level forecast’ is a technique that can identify up to which level retracement can happen.
12. Fibonacci retracements are movements in the chart that go against the trend.
13. In finance, Fibonacci retracement is a method of technical analysis for determining support and resistance levels. It is named after the Fibonacci sequence of numbers, whose ratios provide price levels to which markets tend to retrace a portion of a move before a trend continues in the original direction.
14. A Fibonacci retracement forecast is created by taking two extreme points on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by important Fibonacci ratios.
15. 0% is considered to be the start of the retracement, while 100% is a complete reversal to the original price before the move.
16. Horizontal lines are drawn in the chart for these price levels to provide support and resistance levels.
17. Unlike moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels are static prices. They do not change.
18. Because these levels are inflection points, traders expect some type of price action, either a break or a rejection.
19. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement that is often used by stock analysts approximates to the "golden ratio".
D. How should you use the Fibonacci retracement levels?
20. Think of a situation where you wanted to buy a particular stock, but you have not been able to do so because of a sharp run-up in the stock.
21. The most prudent action to take would be to wait for a retracement in the stock in such a situation.
22. Fibonacci retracement levels such as 61.8%, 38.2%, and 23.6% act as a potential level up to which a stock can correct.
YASER RAHMATI
Weber's Law and Fibonacci Numbers: An Exploratory EssayI use Fibonacci numbers rather frequently. In fact, the Fib retracement tool is the first thing I reach for when I start on a new chart. However, explanations for how Fibonacci numbers work have always sound woolly and mystical to me. They work because "man is subject to rhythmical procedure", because there is a Golden Ratio that is hidden behind all things, because Cthulhu says so?
However, when we take a close hard look at reality, and actually whip out a ruler and measure things, we find that the Fibonacci sequence is *not* found as-is throughout reality. What we do find are *approximations*. However, this is to be expected for approximations of subjects where the rate of growth is proportional to the current size. And this is to be expected because of Weber's Law.
Weber’s law is a psychological law quantifying the perception of change in a given stimulus. The law states that the change in a stimulus that will be just noticeable is a constant ratio of the original stimulus. It has been shown not to hold for extremes of stimulation. And since I will be referencing Mike Cohn's excellent essay (1), I might as well quote his explanation of how Weber's Law apply to Fibonacci numbers:
"Imagine instead being handed a 20kg weight and a 21kg weight. They are the same one kg difference as the one and two kg weights. But you would have a much harder time identifying the heavier of the two weights. The difference from one to two kilograms is 100%. You can probably distinguish the weight of items that differ by 100%. The difference between 20 and 21kg, however, is only 5%. You probably can’t tell the difference. (I know I can’t.) And if you could, it would mean you should be able to distinguish between a 1.00 kg weight and a 1.05 kg weight, as that would also be 5%. The values in the Fibonacci sequence work well because they roughly correspond to Weber’s Law. After the two (which is 100% bigger than one), each number is about 60% larger than the preceding value. According to Weber’s Law, if we can distinguish a 60% difference in effort between two estimates, we can distinguish that same percentage difference between other estimates. So, the Fibonacci values work well because they increase by about the same proportion each time."
So, given that how we think is affected by how we perceive (2), if Weber's Law applies, the Fibonacci retracement tool works for some of us because it allows us to focus our *imagination by visualising discernible and distinct possibilities within a limited range*. This is why the common criticisms of TA, including Fibs, are valid: 1) it is an uncertain business; 2) one cannot consistently identify where levels should be placed and forecasts are prone to revision; 3) its narrative story-telling power may be stronger than its forecasting power; and 4) levels cannot be verified till they have been tested (ie passed). Let's be humble and accept the general validity of these criticisms; for if TA can be an exact science, let he produce an algorithm which could make anyone rich!
That being said, if Weber's Law apply thusly, it simply reaffirms what experience traders often exhort: that it is hard for algorithms to replace (3) the imagination and instincts of an experienced trader!
Having said that, if Weber's Law apply thusly, we ought to 1) pay attention to how other industries, eg Mike Cohn's, have adapted Fibonacci numbers to great success and ask ourselves if our approach to Fibs can be adapted accordingly; and 2) maybe more importantly, reconsider our values, assumptions, beliefs and expectations of those tools we use that are based on Fibs.
(1) www.mountaingoatsoftware.com
(2) www.frontiersin.org
(3) "Replace", not "aid".
How to use Fibo levels in trading?Hi guys, as I promised, this post is about Fibonacci Levels for YOU!🧡
Many newbies on the market, and I'm sure this post can be helpful, so must be repeated 💪
Leonardo Fibonacci is a great mathematician who lived in the XI century. The scientist deduced a number of natural numbers, which later began to bear his name.
Each number in the series was the sum of the two previous numbers: 1 + 1 = 2; 1 + 2 = 3; 2 + 3 = 5 etc.
The result is a series of numbers: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.
Fibonacci numbers have some properties:
📌Division of any number of the series into the subsequent tends to 0.618 (the golden ratio in ancient Greek and ancient Egyptian cultures);
📌dividing any number of the series by the next + 1 tends to 0.382;
📌dividing the subsequent number of the series by the previous one tends to 1.618;
📌division of the number of the series by the second number preceding it tends to 2.618.
Fibonacci numbers are often used not only in technical analysis , but also in physics, astronomy and other disciplines.💪🏻
Fibonacci levels are a tool that sets horizontal support and resistance levels on the price chart based on price movement.
It's important to understand, that Fibo levels work well when there is a trend in the market.
How to determine Fibonacci levels?
To determine Fibonacci levels, you need to find the recent significant high and low of the last price movement. When plotting levels for a downtrend, the first point should be at the maximum and the second at the minimum. For an uptrend, you need to do the opposite. Click on the low of the price swing and drag the cursor to the high. In this case, the construction of levels always occurs from left to right.
How to trade by Fibonacci levels?
The basic variant with an upward movement: we determined the minimum and maximum, set the levels, waited for a rollback, entered the market. The price continues to move - we drag the levels to a new maximum, wait for our rollback level, and enter the market.
In a downward movement, we do the same, entering a movement on a pullback.
The technical analysis usually uses the number 0.618 or 61.8%, 0.382 or 38.2%, as well as the psychological half (middle) of 50%.
✔ Very often, based on these coefficients in the technical analysis of the market, Fibonacci lines, Fibonacci levels and Fibonacci periods are built.
Fibonacci lines are built relative to significant highs / lows and represent support or resistance lines, from which they make a purchase or sale.
Fibonacci numbers - the magic of numbers that works in trading and in everyday life .
💥You can simply draw arbitrary horizontal lines on the chart, and ... oh that's mystic... they will also be worked out both in the past and in the future.💥
We can make some conclusions:
🔵Fibonacci tool draws support and resistance lines on the chart based on price movement;
🔵the Fibonacci tool is always applied on the price chart from left to right, both in the case of long positions in an uptrend, and in the case of short positions in a downtrend;
🔵the levels marked between the beginning and the end of the price movement are correction levels, they show which levels the price is likely to return to;
🔵the most common Fibonacci retracement levels are 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, they are often used to enter the market;
🔵there are two ways to use correction levels to enter the market: aggressive (entry at each of the levels) and passive (waiting for the price to correct in the originally observed direction);
🔵It's important to note that Fibonacci levels are not a trading system, they are an additional tool that only suggests possible correction levels; it should be used only in combination with a trading system or as part of a trading system.
I hope everything was clear for You, and You found this post as helpful🙏🏻
I really wanna be useful to you, guys!
I make every post with love and it brings me extraordinary pleasure!🙏🏻
Thank you for staying with me💋
Always sincere with You🧡
Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
Fibonacci Levels - Rocket Bomb's EDU post 🔥Hi guys, as I promised, this post is about Fibonacci Levels for YOU!🧡
Leonardo Fibonacci is a great mathematician who lived in the XI century. The scientist deduced a number of natural numbers, which later began to bear his name.
Each number in the series was the sum of the two previous numbers: 1 + 1 = 2; 1 + 2 = 3; 2 + 3 = 5 etc.
The result is a series of numbers: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.
Fibonacci numbers have some properties:
📌Division of any number of the series into the subsequent tends to 0.618 (the golden ratio in ancient Greek and ancient Egyptian cultures);
📌dividing any number of the series by the next + 1 tends to 0.382;
📌dividing the subsequent number of the series by the previous one tends to 1.618;
📌division of the number of the series by the second number preceding it tends to 2.618.
Fibonacci numbers are often used not only in technical analysis , but also in physics, astronomy and other disciplines.💪🏻
Fibonacci levels are a tool that sets horizontal support and resistance levels on the price chart based on price movement.
It's important to understand, that Fibo levels work well when there is a trend in the market.
How to determine Fibonacci levels?
To determine Fibonacci levels, you need to find the recent significant high and low of the last price movement. When plotting levels for a downtrend, the first point should be at the maximum and the second at the minimum. For an uptrend, you need to do the opposite. Click on the low of the price swing and drag the cursor to the high. In this case, the construction of levels always occurs from left to right.
How to trade by Fibonacci levels?
The basic variant with an upward movement: we determined the minimum and maximum, set the levels, waited for a rollback, entered the market. The price continues to move - we drag the levels to a new maximum, wait for our rollback level, and enter the market.
In a downward movement, we do the same, entering a movement on a pullback.
The technical analysis usually uses the number 0.618 or 61.8%, 0.382 or 38.2%, as well as the psychological half (middle) of 50%.
✔ Very often, based on these coefficients in the technical analysis of the market, Fibonacci lines, Fibonacci levels and Fibonacci periods are built.
Fibonacci lines are built relative to significant highs / lows and represent support or resistance lines, from which they make a purchase or sale.
Fibonacci numbers - the magic of numbers that works in trading and in everyday life .
💥You can simply draw arbitrary horizontal lines on the chart, and ... oh that's mystic... they will also be worked out both in the past and in the future.💥
We can make some conclusions:
🔵Fibonacci tool draws support and resistance lines on the chart based on price movement;
🔵the Fibonacci tool is always applied on the price chart from left to right, both in the case of long positions in an uptrend, and in the case of short positions in a downtrend;
🔵the levels marked between the beginning and the end of the price movement are correction levels, they show which levels the price is likely to return to;
🔵the most common Fibonacci retracement levels are 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, they are often used to enter the market;
🔵there are two ways to use correction levels to enter the market: aggressive (entry at each of the levels) and passive (waiting for the price to correct in the originally observed direction);
🔵It's important to note that Fibonacci levels are not a trading system, they are an additional tool that only suggests possible correction levels; it should be used only in combination with a trading system or as part of a trading system.
I hope everything was clear for You, and You found this post as helpful🙏🏻
I really wanna be useful to you, guys!
I make every post with love and it brings me extraordinary pleasure!🙏🏻
Thank you for staying with me💋
Always sincere with You🧡
Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
👨🏻🎓 The Fibonacci levels 👨🏻🎓 😊Guys, we are smoothly approaching the completion of the Technical Analysis section.👨🏻🎓🙌🏻
🧐Today I want to introduce you with Fibonacci levels.
💪🏻Let's start 💪🏻
👨🏻🎓 Leonardo Fibonacci is a great mathematician who lived in the XI century. ☝🏻
👉🏻The scientist deduced a number of natural numbers, which later began to bear his name.
Each number in the series was the sum of the two previous numbers: 1 + 1 = 2; 1 + 2 = 3; 2 + 3 = 5 etc.
The result is a series of numbers: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.
Fibonacci numbers have some properties:
📌Division of any number of the series into the subsequent tends to 0.618 (the golden ratio in ancient Greek and ancient Egyptian cultures);
📌dividing any number of the series by the next + 1 tends to 0.382;
📌dividing the subsequent number of the series by the previous one tends to 1.618;
📌division of the number of the series by the second number preceding it tends to 2.618.
Fibonacci numbers are often used not only in technical analysis, but also in physics, astronomy and other disciplines.💪🏻
☝🏻 The technical analysis usually uses the number 0.618 or 61.8%, 0.382 or 38.2%, as well as the psychological half (middle) of 50%.
✔ Very often, based on these coefficients in the technical analysis of the market, Fibonacci lines, Fibonacci levels and Fibonacci periods are built.
Fibonacci lines are built relative to significant highs / lows and represent support or resistance lines, from which they make a purchase or sale.
Fibonacci numbers - the magic of numbers that works in everyday life. But it works with varying success in trading.
⚡ Please note, that the number of Fibo level workouts is much less than the number of failures. The same applies to other types of levels and various methods for constructing them.
💥 You can simply draw arbitrary horizontal lines on the chart, and ... oh that's mystic... they will also be worked out both in the past and in the future. 💥
🌞🌞My dear, if you have questions about the topic or you want me to continue the topic of TA, write about this in the comments✍🏻✍🏻✍🏻
Stay with me💋
Your Rocket Bomb 🚀💣
Below are links to previous TA ideas👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: Golden Ratio of GrowthLTC in a perfect example of "Golden Ratio of Growth".
Each extension is 1.618 times the previous extension.
Most things in Nature which Grow, do so by this Ratio.
Impulse was from the Bottom of Despair.
Ripples were all grown with perfect Ratio.
Retraces will be of much similar proportions.
.
.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
Confluence of 2 is Dependable.
Congruence of 3 is Respectable.
Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
.
.
want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.