[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types:
1. Market Order:
This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly.
More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals.
Live example
> A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction.
2. Limit Order:
A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better.
For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall.
Live Example
> A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50.
3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order):
A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction.
This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position.
Live Example
> A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips.
4. Stop-Limit Order:
A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices.
More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay.
Live Example:
A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower.
5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains.
For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses.
A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit.
Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Fxtrading
Learn to Take Losses. Trading Psychology Basics
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss a typical psychological mistake that a lot of traders frequently make, facing a losing streak.
🤑 Analyzing different charts, we may spot a decent trading setup. Being 100% sure in our predictions, we open a trading position.
After some time, we are stopped out.
Instead of admitting that we were wrong, we are looking for a reason why it is not our fault: market manipulation, stop hunting, news.
Instead of reevaluation of our analysis, we start forcing our previous predictions.
🧠 We open a position again, being sure that it is a perfect moment for us to recover the loss.
And we are wrong one more time. What the hell is going on? Who to blame? Of course, that is not us.
These ugly hedge fund managers again sunk our trade.
😢 But we stay strong, we have a big trading account, so we decide to show this schmo who is a real pro here.
Consistency! That is the secret of success in trading.
So we open the third position again.
And... we screwed.
🤬 Eureka! The market reversed! It's time to open the position in the opposite direction. The trend has changed, and it's time to get on board and recover this losing streak.
We open a trade, however, it's too late already: while we were forcing our previous predictions a new impulse has already gone exhausted.
We s*ck...
That is a typical situation every struggling trader faced.
The psychological barrier to take the loss and admit the mistake makes many people leave this game.
The only way to proceed is to learn to take losses. Take losses and reevaluate your analysis.
"It's ok to be wrong. It's unforgivable to stay wrong!"
Trading Sessions in Forex | Free Market Sessions Indicator
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss trading sessions in Forex .
Let's start with the definition:
Trading session is daytime trading hours in a certain location.
The opening and closing hours match with business hours.
For that reason, trading hours are varying in different countries because of contrasting timezones.
❗️Please, note that different markets may have different trading hours.
Also, some markets have pre-market and after-hours trading sessions.
In this post, we are discussing only forex trading hours.
The forex market opens on Sunday at 21:00 GMT
and closes on Friday at 21:00 pm GMT.
There are 4 main trading sessions in Forex:
🇦🇺 Australian (Sydney) Session Opens at 21:00 GMT and closes at 06:00 GMT
🇯🇵 Asian (Tokyo) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 9:00 GMT.
🇬🇧 UK (London) Session Opens at 7:00 GMT and closes at 16:00 GMT.
🇺🇸 US (New York) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 21:00 GMT.
Asian trading session is usually categorized by low trading volumes
while UK and US sessions are categorized by high trading volumes.
Personally, I trade the entire UK session and US opening and usually skip Australian and Asian sessions.
There is a free technical indicator on TradingView that allows to underline trading sessions on a price chart. It is called "Market Sessions".
Being added, it displays the market trading sessions.
What trading sessions do you trade?
Learn What is FOREX Market. Trading Volumes & Market Participant
Forex - foreign exchange market, is a location where international currencies are bought and sold by economic participants at various exchange rates.
Forex market is the biggest market in the world, reaching on average 6 trillion dollars trading volumes daily.
Forex market is a vital element for a global economy because it provides capital exchanges between the countries.
The main market participants of forex market are central banks, commercial banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and investors.
🕰In order to grasp how big is that market, take a look what is happening on that just in 60 seconds:
📎Total transactions value reaches 3.52 billion US dollars.
📎 1.15 billion dollars of spot transactions.
📎 1.65 billion dollar of exchange swaps.
📎 Total transactions value involving USD reaches 3 billion US dollars.
📎 Total transactions value involving EURO reaches 1.1 billion US dollars.
📎 Just one single EUR/USD pair accumulates 812 million US dollars transactions value.
It is hard to imagine how such big amounts are rolling with such a frequency and how insignificant are the orders of individual traders.
Reversal Chart Pattern: WedgeWhat this chart pattern shows us is a loss of trend strength and a deceleration in price movement.
The most achievable projection for setting our take profit will be the maximum width of the pattern, which occurs at the beginning of it. Alternatively, you can take the level that marks the start of the correction as a profit-taking point.
As for the stop-loss level, it will depend on the type of entry made in the trade, whether it's a high-risk entry or a reduced-risk entry.
(Like any other pattern or indicator, this one provides a signal of a possible market move. Therefore, the greater the number of confluences, the higher the probability that the observed scenario will occur). 💼💹 (🇬🇧)
Candlestick pattern: 1 Hour RetraceThe 1 Hour Retrace pattern is a candlestick formation with great potential for success and strength.
This pattern originates after a false breakout of the level in which the price is contained, for example, in a channel.
The beginning of this pattern occurs when one of the candles breaks outside the levels that contain the price and, subsequently, the next candle forcefully returns inside the pattern, closing within it. This indicates a false breakout and that the new price direction was incorrect.
The stronger the candle on the return, the higher the probability that the price will swing back to the previous levels before the false breakout.
Candlestick pattern: Bullish Triple FormationThe 'Bullish Triple Formation' is a pattern in which two large bullish candles appear, separated by three small bearish candles. These three bearish candles make new lows and are contained within the body of the first large bullish candle. This pattern occurs in an uptrend and is interpreted as a correction of the trend after an upward impulse, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish movement thereafter.
It's important to note that this pattern may have variations, as instead of three candles correcting the first large bullish candle, there can be two or more than three.
The reliability of this pattern is high; however, it is still a single signal that should be accompanied by others to increase the probability of success in our analysis.
Metrics: Expected Value (EV)Expected Value (EV) is a statistical concept that indicates whether our trading system or strategy will yield positive, negative, or neutral results in the medium or long term. It is based on previous results. As we know, past performance does not guarantee future results, but it helps us get an idea of how it might work and allows us to base our decisions on objective terms.
The formula for calculating Expected Value (EV) is as follows:
Expected Value (EV) = (Win Rate * Average Win) - (Loss Rate * Average Loss)
When interpreting the result, it indicates whether you will gain or lose in the medium or long term per unit of currency at risk.
An example:
A trader achieves an expected value of 0.5 with their trading operations. This means that every time they risk 1€ in the market, they gain 0.5€ in profit.
Candlestick pattern: Confirmed HammerA Hammer candlestick is a single-candle reversal pattern that indicates a potential change in the trend direction.
These candles are typically characterized by a high or low that is significantly distant from the closing price, with the shadow being at least twice the size of the body.
Like any candlestick pattern or analysis tool, its reliability increases with the presence of more confluences or signals. Therefore, in this case, we choose to trade this pattern when the confirmation criteria are met. However, in practice, there may be other factors to consider that could influence the decision to enter or not enter a trade.
Additionally, there is another type of confirmation for this pattern. The most secure confirmation (but with less projection) would be to wait for the candle following the Hammer to close above it (in the case of a reversal to the upside). This would indicate that the rejection of continuing the current trend is genuine and that a change in direction is more likely.
Who Moves the Forex Market | Forex Market Players
Forex is the largest market in the world, with the tremendous daily trading volumes and millions of market participants.
In this educational article, we will discuss who moves that market and who are its 6 the most significant players.
1. Governments
Governments tend to set economic goals and influence the markets with their political decision. They define the course of their nations, issuing policies and imposing regulations.
2. Central banks
Central banks implement the decisions of the governments, applying multiple instruments:
Central banks control the emission of the money, shifting the supply and demand.
They control interest rates and define the credit policies.
Central banks control the international trade and sustain the exchange rates of the national currencies by interventions and handling the foreign currencies and gold reserves.
3. Commercial banks
Commercial banks handle the international transactions.
Over 70% of total Forex Market transactions directly refers to the actives of commercial banks.
Commercial banks are also involved in speculation activities, benefiting from market fluctuations by relying on various strategies.
4. Corporations
Corporation is the business that operates in multiple countries.
With the constant capital flow between its branches and counterparts, corporations are permanently involved in a currency exchange.
Also, corporations usually hedge currency risks, storing their liquidity in particular currencies.
5. Investment funds
By investment funds, we imply the international or domestic professional money management companies. Dealing with hundreds of millions of investments, they quite often are operating on Forex market, buying foreign assets, speculating and hedging.
6. Retail traders
The main goal of retails traders and speculators is to make short terms profits from their transactions on the market.
Typically, the activities of traders constitute a relatively small portion of total trading volumes.
Knowing which forces move the forex market, you can better understand how it works. The spot prices that you see on the charts reflect the sentiment of all the above-mentioned participants.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Trading Sessions in Forex | Trading Basics 🕰🌎
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss trading sessions in Forex.
Let's start with the definition:
Trading session is daytime trading hours in a certain location.
The opening and closing hours match with business hours.
For that reason, trading hours are varying in different countries because of contrasting timezones.
❗️Please, note that different markets may have different trading hours.
Also, some markets have pre-market and after-hours trading sessions.
In this post, we are discussing only forex trading hours.
The forex market opens on Sunday at 21:00 GMT
and closes on Friday at 21:00 pm GMT.
There are 4 main trading sessions in Forex:
🇦🇺 Australian (Sydney) Session Opens at 21:00 GMT and closes at 06:00 GMT
🇯🇵 Asian (Tokyo) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 9:00 GMT.
🇬🇧 UK (London) Session Opens at 7:00 GMT and closes at 16:00 GMT.
🇺🇸 US (New York) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 21:00 GMT.
Asian trading session is usually categorized by low trading volumes
while UK and US sessions are categorized by high trading volumes.
Personally, I trade the entire UK session and US opening and usually skip Australian and Asian sessions.
What trading sessions do you trade?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
What is Forex and How Big It Is?💱
Forex - foreign exchange market, is a location where international currencies are bought and sold by economic participants at various exchange rates.
Forex market is the biggest market in the world, reaching on average 6 trillion dollars trading volumes daily.
Forex market is a vital element for a global economy because it provides capital exchanges between the countries.
The main market participants of forex market are central banks, commercial banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and investors.
🕰In order to grasp how big is that market, take a look what is happening on that just in 60 seconds:
📎Total transactions value reaches 3.52 billion US dollars.
📎 1.15 billion dollars of spot transactions.
📎 1.65 billion dollar of exchange swaps.
📎 Total transactions value involving USD reaches 3 billion US dollars.
📎 Total transactions value involving EURO reaches 1.1 billion US dollars.
📎 Just one single EUR/USD pair accumulates 812 million US dollars transactions value.
It is hard to imagine how such big amounts are rolling with such a frequency and how insignificant are the orders of individual traders.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WHAT IS MARGIN? Traders must know this📚
✅Significant investments are required to gain access to foreign exchange markets. Not everyone who wants to try their luck in the world of trading has such funds. However, thanks to brokers that act as intermediaries and provide loans to traders, trading has become available to everyone. Thus, the essence of margin trading is to conclude transactions in financial markets with the use of borrowed funds provided by a broker.
🟢The second name of margin trading is trading with leverage. Leverage is the ratio of your deposit to the amount of the working lot. To obtain this kind of credit, the trader's account must also have his funds. The minimum of the initial deposit is different and depends on the requirements of a particular broker.
🟢The margin on the stock and foreign exchange market is a pledge that is blocked by the broker on the trader's trading account during the opening of the transaction. In margin trading, the broker can issue a loan both in cash and in the form of securities. Margin is usually expressed as a percentage, showing what proportion of own funds must be deposited to open a position on a particular instrument. For example, a margin requirement of 20% means the possibility of opening a transaction with financial instruments if there is a fifth of their total value on the account. And the margin requirement of 50% allows you to open positions for a certain amount, having 50% of it on deposit.
❗️Margin trading allows a trader to sell the market, entering short positions in case of forecasting a decline in the price of a particular instrument. Let's consider the principle of opening a short position on the example of stocks.
❗️Expecting a decrease in the price of Vesta shares, a trader takes ten shares from a broker on credit and sells them on the stock exchange at the current price. After the predicted price drop, he buys ten shares at a lower cost. By returning them to the broker, the trader remains in profit. The lower the stock price falls, the more profit the trader will get.
⚠️The above transactions are actually carried out much easier. Technically, a trader does not need to sell securities and subsequently buy them again. To do this, you only need to instruct the broker to open a short position. If the trader's forecast turns out to be correct and the forecast price decreases, the trader will close the deal, fixing the profit. Otherwise, if the price increases, the trader will receive a loss.
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Trading on Financial Markets | Your Guide to Trade Planning 📝
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss 6 crucial things in your trade planning and the main elements of trade results assessment.
1 - Before you open a trading position, make sure that you analyzed the chart. You should identify a market trend and spot major key levels.
2 - Once the chart is analyzed, you should identify the safest trading areas for your strategy (preferably the zones of supply and demand).
You should patiently wait until one of these zones is tested.
3 - Once the zone is reached, you should look for a confirmation. You can either look for a reversal candlestick/price action pattern, some fundamental trigger, or some indicator. The point is that you should rely on a trigger that is backtested and that proved its accuracy.
4 - Getting your confirmation, you should have a precise entry strategy. Some traders prefer aggressive entries on spot while others are waiting for a retest of some major/minor level.
5 - You must set a stop loss. Remember that your stop-loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Be extremely careful on that step and give the market some space for fluctuations.
6- Know your exact target level(s). Know the point where you start protection of your position, where you start profit-taking. Be very strict and don't let your greed and fear intervene.
Only then a trading position is opened.
No matter what will be the end result of your trade, you should assess it:
1 - You should journal the trade outlining its end result, trading instrument, and your entry reason.
2 - Note any peculiar thing about this trade that you noticed.
3 - Record your gain/loss percentage.
4 - Identify whether any mistake was made and if so, learn from that.
Here is your minimum plan to follow. Of course, as you mature in trading your trade assessment plan will be more sophisticated.
Do not underestimate its importance and treat it as the main element of your trading routine.
Do you plan your trades like that?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
"Trade what you see, not what you think!"... and try to find multiple-100s of pips, even in over-manipulated junk such as the USDCHF.
Let's see if it's possible...
The title chart is the USDCHF Monthly, as it stands at the end of this quarter - 03/2021. What is the story here?...
It appears that this pair is rather predictable and has been obeying all the major support/resistance levels (PRZs), going as far back as one cares to look;
It is also clear that this pair continues to do so despite the relentless manipulation (money printing) of the SNB;
That massive 42.5% jump of the CHF vs. the USD, between 2009-2012 (which has not been recovered since), ...
... back when the whole world seemed to come apart ("The Great Financial Crisis" + European Sovereign Crisis), the Swiss Franc still remained one of only two, true Safe Haven currencies in the entire world! (beside the Japanese Yen and despite every imaginable liquidity constraint.)
Fast forward to the Covid Pandemic ...
... and the Franc did it's thing , once again, with an immediate +11.5% rise versus the USD, again, in what appeared to be the end of the (financial) world. However, several more things are noteworthy during this period;
- Had the SNB paid attention, they would have already known (or at least expect) that the support zone which formed back in 2014, at 0.8750, and which prompted a strait and virtually immediate -17.5% slump in the Franc vs. the Dollar, would stop and hold back the continued and "uncomfortable" advance of the Franc, this time around, as well; (The decision makers at the SNB are no different from the rest of clueless bureaucrats, typical for any other Central Bank lackey, anywhere else in the world. The only difference may be that they tend to have longer-term mandates and tenures.)
- Had they paid attention they also would have found it to be unnecessary to increase the printing of the Franc by a whopping +29% month-over-month (CHF60 Billion per), right into oblivion, or at least until they shot strait to the top of the pile and became one of the largest public investor in the Nasdaq100, scrapping 800+ years of Swiss tradition and thus tying Swiss fortunes to the likes of Apple and Netflix.
- Had they paid attention to their own history and tradition, they would have also realized a couple of fundamental truths;
1) No amount of printer ink will stop the worlds love affair - well in excess of Swiss GDP - with the Swiss Franc, any time when the the end of the world is nigh; (I.e. The reliance on Swiss resilience and frugal nature.)
2) With a Swiss ruling class (top 5%) having more wealth than any other nation on earth (in relative terms), reclusive, invisible and may be even boring as they may be, they will have their Central Bankers' heads on a pike (all the heads on one pike; The Swiss are frugal) way before any of them can do permanent or even lasting damage to the Swiss Franc and well before they can all shout "Mein Gott!" (or "Mon Dieu!", dependent on the particular central banker's regional origins).
Just in case should any of the above appear to be idle speculation, here is a gentle reminder; Does anyone recall Jan. 15, 2015? - When the SNB unceremoniously pulled the peg to the Euro, without any further (or previous) ado! Enough said.
The Franc has been in a heavy uptrend vs. the USD even before the Covid Pandemic;
Moving on...
As it currently stands (at the end of March, 2021) the top three FX Carry Trades are;
USDCHF
USDJPY
EURUSD
... in order of skew - lopsidedness. (check the C.O.T., FX positioning, etc.)
The Euro most likely being a transient phenomena , much like the ad-hoc, incompetent, protectionist, paradoxically conceived unionist nightmare of a Trans-national alliance which issues it... Not a factor. (The next, not-too-distant Euro-crisis will have to attest to that.) - And, as always, that leaves the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, once again, as the only remaining Safe Haven currencies of any gravitas.
Clearly, liquidity is a determining factor here and that leaves the Yen as the only Safe Haven currency with any substantial (i.e. Global) shock absorption potential, as this chart should underline the notion;
- As for the Swiss Franc... For one, this Monthly Chart illustrates several of the above catalogued fundamental thesis. Simply put, the USD was an obvious and helluva buy vs. the CHF, ever since following the Euro Zone's Sovereign Crisis where, in crisi-upon-crisis, end-of-the-world situations (such as a Pandemic), the obvious maximum pain-threshold of the Swiss National Bank lies in the 0.8750-0.8800 area vs. the USD.
Clearly, that is the area where they are likely to go all-in, given any prolonged future appreciation of the Franc vs. the USD.
The rest of the fluctuations in this pair are simply the product of the musical chairs methodology applied as (or rather: instead of) the"economic stability" mandate of the 18 or so Central Banks around the world which may be soon to be the proud parent/owners of 60% of the world's newly socialized, Soviet-style economies. - And, as has been established above, this pair presently being one of the premier Carry Trades.
So, what is the play here, if any?...
Having established somewhat of a fundamental picture, what are the technicals here?
The Weekly Chart;
... clearly shows that the CHF tends to move (or rather: be moved by the SNB) in strait, predictable drives, respecting Quarter Point targets along the way. (OK, so the Swiss are anal. What a shock!)
This whole technical picture stands the reason since all movement here, in this no-man's-land, is due to the whole civilized world continuously and relentlessly purchasing the Franc, day in, day out, from sun up to sun down, until the SNB wakes up and decides to push back by running the money printing press to the tune of CHF60-80 Billion at a pop - per month. E.g. There was that textbook ABCD pattern (World buying, SNB printing/selling; Rinse and repeat.), including it's "mandatory" 61.8% retracement. However, after which all potential ensuing suspense was interrupted by the outbreak of the Covid Pandemic, sending the Franc on an immediate 900 pip, +9% initial tear and well before any of the SNB peons could ever make it back into the office.
Of course that support zone between 0.875-0.9000 having been in place for the better part of 7 years, no great surprise that it caught that strait, end-of-the-world tear the Franc was on by forcing the SNB to go all-in at that point. (At which point you have also naturally unloaded, with both hands and eyes closed, on the Swiss Franc while front-running the SNB, even if you had to mortgage your unborn children to a local loan shark just so you could short more of the Franc and to load up endlessly on the Dollar, right?! - Good job!)
But what if, due to unforeseen circumstances, that initial 600+ pip free-ride was missed, all the way from 0.8750 to the present day 0.9400 level? Now what?
First of all, there is a perfectly formed Cypher working here - still on the weekly - with it's C-D leg consisting of an also a textbook 3-Drive, already having cleared the first two Fibonacci levels of it's three legs
... while heading strait for a major confluence(resistance) zone, naturally coinciding with the Cypher's PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
That confluence zone between 0.9500 -0.9650 consists, at a minimum, of;
2 year, descending Trend Line;
The (descending) Monthly 20 EMA;
The (descending) Weekly 50 EMA;
The 3rd (and final) Fibonacci extension of that weekly 3-Drive;
The (descending) Daily 200 EMA;
E.g. It is reasonable to assume that this pair will have difficulty to get above that 0.9600-0.9650 level, in no small part due to the already extended +8%, 34 (Daily) period strait rise which would take it up there.
Secondarily, it was established earlier that the USDCHF pair is currently in a Major Down Trend according to the Quarterly and Monthly charts, and in a strong Minor Up Trend due to the Weekly + Daily charts.
Put it all together and the first leg of this Counter-trend Trade points to a M.U.T. (maximum upside target) 0.9650 . That is the Exit for the First Leg .
As for the Entry for the First Leg ;
As it happens, this pair has just completed a Bearish Shark (harmonic) formation on the 4 hr. chart with the pair reacting to the PRZ, much as expected.
The expected retracement of this harmonic to it's First Price Target around 0.9340 , coinciding with the 4 hr. 20 EMA, is reasonably expected to provide a clean Entry for the first leg of this trade with a very favorable risk/reward ratio.
(There are reasonably reliable methods by which to enter trades, such as this up-leg, with constrained risk levels;
... but that's an entirely other conversation.)
Finally, put it all together;
... and this is what one is looking for here:
The up-leg of a counter-trend(!!) trade;
Entry: 0.9327-0.9317;
Target- Exit: 0.9560-0.9580;
Risk/Reward: 1:17.5;
Number of pips: 250;
Total expected trading period: 115 hours (4.8 days);
The End Game
Should chance favor the above plan/analysis/Trade Setup/outcome, that would bring a planned entry into the Primary (trend-wise; Down) Leg the forefront. (One has to cross bridges as they present themselves.)
In that case, one would expect a strong and immediate reaction in the PRZ of the (by then) valid Cypher on the weekly chart - which, if valid, is normally a very strong and reliable harmonic.
... and this is what one would be looking for, in that case:
The down-leg of a in-trend(!!) trade;
Entry: 0.9620-0.9640;
Target- Exit: 0.9200-0.9190;
Risk/Reward: 1:15;
Number of pips: 400-450;
Total expected trading period: 7 weeks (~70 days);
Note
The USDCHF currently being one of the primary carry trades , this pair's trajectory has far(ther) reaching implications for U.S. and Global equity index positioning - also referred to as: Risk On/Off.
Furthermore, due to the notable liquidity constrains of the CHF vs. it's peers, this pair is an instructive barometer on which to measure the ever-present state of the global game of musical chairs, staged by the various Central Banks of the world.