THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENT - WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST Hey Everyone,
Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys with the odd sells for fun. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions.
Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use to achieve a 97% hit rate with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share targets/signals for both buys and sells but choose not to hedge out of choice. Our published results remain consistently profitable month in month out!!
In my experience, in the current market conditions, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort. I am more than capable of hedging effectively but the fact that I do not should tell you something.
Let us look at an example to further answer the question highlighted above. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 20 to 30 or 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down.
You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture.
Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we keep our psychology strong!!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
Gold-trading
BUYING DIPS/SELLING TOPS - KEEPING A CLEAN PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILEHey Everyone,
Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys with the odd sells for fun. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions.
Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use to achieve a 97% hit rate with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share targets/signals for both buys and sells but choose not to hedge out of choice. Our published results remain consistently profitable month in month out!!
In my experience, in the current market conditions, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort. I am more than capable of hedging effectively but the fact that I do not should tell you something.
Let us look at an example to further answer the question highlighted above. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 20 to 30 or 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down.
You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture.
Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we keep our psychology strong!!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
Using Stochastic RSI to trade Gold on shorter time framesFor the past 2 months I tested a scalping strategy using the Stoch RSI oscilator for OANDA:XAUUSD .
Basically, it consisted in entering a position, short or long, whenever the Stoch RSI crossed the signal above (shorting) or bellow (long) the overbought /oversold zones with very tight SL, waiting until the Stoch RSI gave me a clear trend change signal.
I tried several time frames for Gold and found that 15m and 30m worked the best.
Bear in mind I tried this for stocks, Bitcoin and it didn't fit at all. Only with gold. And only with the stoch RSI, the RSI was almost useless.
At first this strategy was providing me good results. I had a hit rate of up to 85% on shorts and and 50% on longs. I tried several explanations for this and best one I found is a combination of the following two:
1) gold was in a macro slight downtrend and even in very short time frames, the probability of being right shorting was higher.
2) gold (and everything?) tends to come down more decisively than up so the oscillators pick a more clear trend shift.
3) my psychology was stronger shorting, somehow I seem to be more "afraid" when longing, perhaps because of point number 2).
I eventually 1) gave up longing gold 2) used less leverage to have less tight SL and the strategy seemed too good to be true. No one was mentioning this on ideas or chats and sometimes I felt like I had found some sort of cheat code. Fellow traders would write "it's going up" or "it's going down" and they were almost always wrong if the Stoch RSI didn't match.
However, suddenly i stopped having clear signals, the market completely changed. Stubbornly and because I wanted to test it, I stuck to it, but it never worked again (so far).
My conclusion is that for it to work, the price action needs to be in "oscillator" mode with gold trading sideways on 15/30 minute time frame with a range of more than 3-4$ between tops and bottoms. It's also wiser to follow the main trend and opting out on entering short or long positions against a main trend.
Also, it is very important to check TVC:DXY and TVC:US10Y in real time. (right now those two indicators are much more relevant to me than stoch RSI).
I know for many more experienced traders the above idea might seem very obvious or naive, but I'm learning every day and I though I'd share my experience.
Feel free to comment and happy trading to all.
Trading can be lonely... What do you think...???Although not exactly education - I thought it would be different to ask rather than just post.
As a trader of 21 years, I have gone through various ups and downs. Emotions, stress, pain and success. I thought it would be interesting to ask the question, it doesn't matter if you have traded 40 years, started due to Covid or been learning.
The only competition in trading is with yourself! (and of course your emotions)
With global lockdowns, it's possible trading has been even more singular than usual. So I am asking if you want to share your stories, what you like & dislike about trading. Strategies, mentors, tips you might have learned. Even why and when you started!
Why do you trade? What do you want from trading? are you getting it? what's missing? what's working?
Hope you are all having a good weekend!
Post comments/stories below.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.