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Real Interest Rate: How It Affects the Economy and Forex MarketReal interest rate is the interest rate adjusted for inflation. Nominal interest rate is the reported rate, while real interest rate is the actual rate that the borrower receives after accounting for inflation. The formula for calculating real interest rate is as follows: Real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - Inflation rate For example, if the nominal interest rate is 5% and the inflation rate is 3%, then the real interest rate is 2%. Real interest rate plays an important role in the economy. High real interest rates can encourage investment and economic growth. Conversely, low real interest rates can dampen investment and economic growth. Real interest rate has a significant impact on the forex market. An increase in the real interest rate will make the domestic currency more attractive to foreign investors. This is because foreign investors can earn higher returns from their investments in countries with high real interest rates. An increase in the real interest rate will cause the domestic currency to appreciate against foreign currencies. This is because foreign investors will increase demand for the domestic currency to invest. A decrease in the real interest rate will cause the domestic currency to depreciate against foreign currencies. This is because foreign investors will reduce demand for the domestic currency to invest. Here are some examples of the impact of real interest rates on the forex market: In 2022, the US Federal Reserve (The Fed) raised the real interest rate. This caused the US dollar to appreciate against other currencies. DXY USDJPY USDDKK USDCNH In 2022, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered the real interest rate. This caused the euro to depreciate against other currencies. EURCAD EURCHF EURSEK Governments and central banks can use the real interest rate as one of the instruments of monetary policy to influence the exchange rate of the currency. For example, if the government wants to increase the exchange rate of the domestic currency, the government can raise the real interest rate. Real interest rate can be used to predict the movements of currency pairs. Currency pairs with higher real interest rates tend to appreciate against currency pairs with lower real interest rates. Here are the steps for using real interest rate to predict the movements of currency pairs: Collect data on real interest rates from the two countries whose currencies form the currency pair. Compare the real interest rates of the two countries. If the real interest rate of country A is higher than the real interest rate of country B, then the currency pair A/B will tend to appreciate. For example, the real interest rate of the United States is 1.8%, while the real interest rate of Japan is -3.1%. Therefore, the currency pair US dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) will tend to appreciate by 4.9%. Real interest rate is only one factor that affects the movements of currency pairs. Other factors that should also be considered include economic and political factors that can affect the demand and supply of the two currencies.
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by DNP-FX
CPI & Inflation Rate USHello everyone! Let's take a look on what happened yesterday on the US financial market and understand the impact of CPI and inflation rate. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and inflation news from the United States can have a significant impact on financial markets and the value of the U.S. dollar. The CPI measures the change in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households, and inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising. When the CPI and inflation numbers are higher than expected , it can indicate that the economy is growing, which can boost stock prices, lead to higher interest rates, and appreciate the dollar. This is because as the economy grows, companies will see increased demand for their products and services, which can lead to higher profits and stock prices. Higher interest rates can also attract more investors to bonds, which can lead to higher bond prices. Additionally, a strong economy can lead to increased demand for U.S. goods and services, and increased foreign investment in the U.S. economy. As a result, the demand for dollars increases, which can lead to an increase in the value of the dollar. On the other hand, if the CPI and inflation numbers are lower than expected , it can indicate that the economy is slowing down , which can lead to lower stock prices, lower interest rates and depreciation of the dollar. This is because as the economy slows down, companies will see decreased demand for their products and services, which can lead to lower profits and stock prices. Lower interest rates can also lead to less investors in bonds, which can lead to lower bond prices. Additionally, a weak economy can lead to decreased demand for U.S. goods and services, and decreased foreign investment in the U.S. economy. As a result, the demand for dollars decreases, which can lead to a decrease in the value of the dollar. It's important to note that the Federal Reserve uses inflation as an indicator to change the monetary policy, as they use interest rates as a tool to control inflation. Typically if inflation is too high, the Fed will increase interest rates to slow down the economy and curb inflation, and if inflation is too low, the Fed will decrease interest rates to stimulate the economy. These monetary policy decisions can also have an impact on the value of the dollar, as when the Fed raises interest rates, it can make the U.S. a more attractive place to invest, which can lead to an appreciation of the dollar. Conversely, when the Fed lowers interest rates, it can make the U.S. a less attractive place to invest, which can lead to a depreciation of the dollar.
ECONOMICS:USCPIEducation
by m_maia14
Global Market Reacts Positively Amid Reduced U.S Inflation RateGlobal Market Reacts Positively Amid Reduced U.S Inflation Rate Compared to June, the annual rate of inflation reduced marginally to 8.5%. Bitcoin is trading at $24,003 with a 4% increase in the last 24 hours. After a long period of stagnation, U.S inflation has fallen for the first time since April. Compared to June, the annual rate of inflation reduced marginally to 8.5%, according to the most recent statistics release. The July CPI was projected to be 8.7%. Well, it’s possible that a decline in inflation may be a beneficial thing since it would help dilute the Fed’s aggressive position and lead to lower interest rates. The main indexes, which had ended Tuesday’s session in the negative, responded favorably to this new information. The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s futures soared by 400 points, or 1.2%, on Monday morning. S&P 500 futures rose by 1.7%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose by 2.4% in tandem. Market Gains Momentum In reality, the crypto market, which had been in the red for the previous several hours, has now turned green. Recently, though, the link between Bitcoin and the larger market has declined. This suggests that the markets have not always moved in lockstep with one another. The tables may turn in the future, and we may see a collective infusion of liquidity, just as we have seen shock spread from one sector to another thus far. However, this may not happen right away since the crypto market has been ready for a drop for some time. Since Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies are gaining ground, Bitcoin is following suit. Bitcoin is trading at $24,003 with a 4% increase in the last 24 hours as per CMC. In addition, exchange inflows have been increasing during the previous several days. Merely 10.8k BTC were sent to exchanges on August 7th, according to statistics from CryptoQuant. The 36.7k BTC figure on Tuesday, on the other hand, reveals a shift in mood.
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by TheNewsCrypto
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