Why do most traders end up losing moneyThis question is quite scary, but if you are a novice and see this question, congratulations, you are on the right path of trading.
The most important lesson to learn before entering the financial markets is risk expectation.
You can ask yourself, how much money do you want to make from trading? Is your goal asset appreciation, or a small fortune?
If a trade loses money, will it affect your own life?
Is your own character able to stop losses in time, or do you have no self-control?
After asking these questions, we decide whether to enter the financial market.
So why do the vast majority of traders lose money?
1. Because of the particularity of the financial market.
I believe that many friends have heard of the 28 rule. For example, in the distribution of wealth in our society, 20% of people control 80% of social wealth; 20% of people will persist in encountering difficulties, and 80% of people will give up when encountering difficulties.
The rule of 28 is ubiquitous in life, and it also determines what kind of people will succeed and what kind of people will fail.
As for the financial market, it is crueler than real life, because there are no rules in this market, only human nature, so the financial market even surpasses the rule of 28, and less than 10% of people may make profits. In the face of money, most people want to make a big fortune with a small amount, and want to turn around by trading, so those who have stable personalities, strong self-control, low income expectations, and money in their hands are silently harvesting these people who are eager for quick success.
Some people may say that the world is inherently unfair, and those who hold funds can only survive because of the capital.
Actually no. We Xiaosan hold small funds, and we can achieve low return expectations, or we can do it slowly, but how many people are just anxious to make money? Just want to make a big difference with a small one? Just don’t regard money as money, and think it’s a big deal to take a gamble, and if it’s gone, it’s gone?
So it has nothing to do with the amount of capital, but has something to do with people. In financial markets, human nature is the rule.
2. Too many people are dominated by human nature.
As I said before, there are no rules in the financial market, and human nature is the rule.
Trading is a very anti-human thing. Human nature is greedy for comfort, averse to risk, afraid of losing, feeling that one's level is higher than others, hating giving and learning, impatient, etc., which will be infinitely magnified in trading.
There is a saying in the trading industry that trading can be profitable, mentality accounts for 70%, and technology accounts for 30%. In actual combat, it seems that it is not difficult for traders to see the market correctly, but it is very difficult to complete this wave of market and make profits. Why?
I give two examples.
For example, the problem of stop loss in trading.
Seeking advantages and avoiding disadvantages is a characteristic of human nature, unwillingness to lose, unwilling to accept losses, this is human self-protection awareness. Stopping losses in the wrong direction means losing our real money, who can bear it? So in actual combat, many people rationally know that the direction is wrong, but they just don't stop losses, and even increase their positions against the trend, floating orders, allowing the stop loss to become bigger and bigger, and finally lead to serious losses.
Another example is the profitable position in the transaction.
The market trend always fluctuates upwards, or fluctuates downwards, and profit taking in positions is often encountered. Once profits are withdrawn, we will have a sense of insecurity in our hearts, worrying about the reversal of the market and losing profits. This insecurity is also due to human nature.
Even if we rationally know that the profit target has not yet been reached, we should continue to hold positions, but the little emotion of longing for peace of mind has been tormenting us, and in the end we couldn't help but close the position, and made a lot of less money. We comfort ourselves that it is all right, at least there is no loss. But in fact, less earning = loss, because the amount you lose next time will be greater than the money you earn. In the long run, your overall loss will be.
There are many such examples, such as betting on the market, heavy trading, unwillingness to admit defeat, stop loss leading to liquidation, etc., are all caused by the aversion to loss in human nature and the fear of failure.
In fact, if we look at the trading market 100 years ago, it is basically the same as the current human nature problem. The weakness of human nature is very strong, and it is also the main reason why traders lose money.
So at the beginning, I asked everyone to ask themselves those questions, just to let everyone understand their own personality, their current situation, and their human nature, so as to help you win certain opportunities in the trading market.
Trading is like a free game. It seems that the threshold is low and no money is required, but in fact some hidden costs are contained in it, and the human nature is clearly played for you. Therefore, before making a transaction, you must have an existing risk expectation, and then think about making money.
Investmentidea
Ask yourself this questions before investing money in any coinHow to DYOR? Quick guide
90% of the time, the market is in a condition of uncertainty, which necessitates analysis. Before any investment, you need to ask yourself the question "is it worth it?" or "why can this project be profitable?". And, in order to fully comprehend the project, I've compiled a thesis list of questions that you should always ask yourself when conducting your own study.
We always begin at the project site.
There, you will be welcomed with a brief summary of the project, so be sure to read the Whitepaper/Docs to learn more.
At this point, you should ask the following questions:
What exactly is this project?
What is the point of it?
What possibilities does the project offer?
What are the project's RoadMap plans?
Next, you must determine who is the success guarantee:
What sources of funding aided the project?
What are some examples of these funds' success?
Will the funds be interested in the project's and the token's subsequent development?
It is also critical to assess the hype surrounding the project as well as the audience's involvement. Be cautious and double-check official sources. The more successful the initiative, the more scams will surround it, and you will be added to various groups where they will offer to send money. Don't fall for these ploys!
How active are the project's social networks? (Telegram, Twitter, Medium, GitHub, and so on.)
How involved is the team in social media support?
Is there a program for ambassadors?
Nodes (do they update and function properly)?
We assess other initiatives' trust and application.
How many other projects have already offered assistance?
How can they be of assistance to one another?
Check out the feedback from partners on our pages (after all, you can merely tag that Solana supports you, but they have no idea).
Check out the social subscription networks of notable people for this project. A nice technique to keep an eye out for such "friendships" on Twitter.
Avoid anonymous teams and projects that do not identify their developers or team at all. Admins or project members will never send you a personal email offering to acquire their tokens!
From a personal standpoint, would you trust these guys with your money?
What country does the team represent?
What projects have the team members previously worked on?
How interested are they in the project's progress, or do they prioritize obtaining funds and creating the token?
We assess the demand potential and the technological quality.
What competitors are there already?
How popular is the competitor's technology?
How much more advanced is our technology?
It is critical to understand which and how many tokens will be available for purchase on the listing, therefore we investigate the unlocking / vesting periods for each item. You can calculate the approximate capitalization at the latest sale price and assume the expected price pressure after receiving the number of tokens available at the time of listing.
Why is a token required?
How will the token be put to use?
To whom are tokens given?
How many tokens are there in total?
How much does the team own?
How many tickets were sold in the Seed and Private rounds?
What price did you enter these rounds at?
What are the terms (locks, vesting)?
How many tokens were given out to society?
How many tokens will be given out as rewards?
How many tokens will be sold during the Public Sale?
What networks is the token compatible with?
What kind of liquidity will be available as a result of the listing?
Following that, we went out to compare the data to the projects of competitors. We will be able to estimate the growth potential in this section.
And now that you've gone through all of the questions, you've decided to put money in this project:
We decide when and under what conditions it is best to deposit money.
We investigate the terms of selling.
We consider the format as well as the sales platform.
We research the platform from which we intend to make a purchase.
If the sale is not at a predetermined price but on Balancer or Mesa, we consider the token's fair price.
If the sale is in the form of a lottery, try opening multiple accounts to maximize your chances of winning.
Consider the averaging method on the listing depending on the condition and format of the transaction.
Examine the project's scheduling carefully; otherwise, the funds in the project may be frozen for an extended period of time.
At the outset of the voyage, you must determine a reasonable price and set profit goals.
In the event of failure, you must plan ahead of time to make up for the loss.
Divide your sale into various objectives, the first of which is the return on your initial investment.
Conclusion
Furthermore, you may always avoid conducting your own study by reading other people's pre-written project assessments. After all, they could simply pay for the review in order to attract money and then dump it on you. As a result, there is no place in the cryptosphere without DYOR.
You make all of the decisions.
You must also accept responsibility for the outcome.
Make sure to pay attention to money management and dangers.
Do not put more than 5% of your deposit into a single project.
Bulletproof Dollar Cost Averaging Investing Explained.Dollar cost averaging.
You probably heard about this strategy, but what does it mean in practice?
And which type of dollar cost averaging strategy is the best?
In practice it means buying Bitcoin, stocks, commodity and so on every week or month at the monday, sunday, at the start of the month or at the end, not caring about the price.
You can also choose one random day in a month , when you make your purchase, more about that maybe in another Idea.
An example of dollar cost averaging can be found below backtests.
In this test I've compared buying Bitcoin at
- weekly opens (Monday open) eg. 06 Jan 2020
Average buy price in 2020 - $9,255
- weekly closes (Sunday Close) eg. 12 Jan 2020
Average buy price in 2020 - $9,361
So buying at the weekly close or at weekly open are both a good idea, but buying at open each week has a bigger return of investment than buying on close by 2%.
- monthly opens (First day in the month) eg. 01 Jan 2020
Average buy price in 2020 - $9,245
- monthly closes (Last day in the month) eg. 31 Jan 2020
Average buy price in 2020 - $9,827
Here we can see a bigger difference , while buying Bitcoin at open would gave you average price per BTC of $9,245, Buying at close would make your average buy $600 more expensive, 8% smaller yield.
To see if this trend also occurs in the last year, I've calculated also a year 2019 with monthly values.
It turns out, buying on open is here cheaper again, while buying Open would give an average of $7,022.
Buying at close would make average buy of $7,287, small difference but very noticeable in long term.
Example I.
I am starting to buy Bitcoin for 15% of my gross monthly income (let's say 500$ ) from first january at weekly open starting from 01 January until today .
How much would I have today?
Average buying price - $9,255
Current Bitcoin price - $13,180
Yield - 13180/9255 = 1,424 = 42,4%
Deposits - 42 per $500 = $21,000 in past value
Value = 21000 x 1,424= $29,904 in current value
Buying this year at open would give a very slight 0,1% increase in yield, so both buying at weekly open or monthly open is a good idea, maybe another time I can cover some random days in a month!
This strategy also works for stocks, commodities and etc.
IF you like my explanation, let me know by hitting that agree button or support me by some nice comment!
Cheers,
Tibor.