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XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
XAUUSD 15M - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
The level defense patternI use the concept of a level being defended by either a buyer or a seller to find potential buying or selling opportunities. This is a specific pattern that can be identified on a chart. Let's consider one variant of this pattern. In this variant, the defense of a level by a buyer looks as follows: a buyer's candle closes above the level. Then, a seller's candle or candles interact with the level, followed by the appearance of a buyer's candle, which needs to be evaluated. If it meets the criteria, entry points can be identified. Let's look at a concrete example. The pattern developed over 10 hours. On the chart, blue-shaded areas represent 2-hour buyer's candles, and red-shaded areas represent 2-hour seller's candles. After the buyer pushed the price back above the 6.733 level, they attempted to resume from the 6.7571 level, the volume of the buyer's candle (632K) was less than that of the seller's candle (1.274M). Then, the seller attacked the 6.733 level with increased volume (709K) but could not push the price below this level. Note where POC of the volume profile for the 2-hour seller's attack candle is: below 6.7571. The high of the attack candle is at 6.8166. The next buyer's candle had increased volume (792K). Notice where the buyer's movement started in this candle: from the POC of the volume profile of the seller's attack candle. Now entry points can be identified. In this example, the entry points are visible on the 1-minute time frame. The chart shows two entry points. Note how volumes are distributed at these points and the resulting buyer's zones (blue rectangles on the chart). The first entry point is the defense of the breakout from the range by the buyer, which was formed in the previous 2-hour candle (RPL on the chart, 6.7784). The second entry point is the defense of the high of the attacking 2-hour seller's candle by the buyer (6.8166 level).
Education
by AlexeyWolf
How to use different timeframesHello traders and investors! Today I'll talk about choosing the right timeframe and how you can use different timeframes when looking for trades. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. When we look at something, we are usually limited by a certain viewpoint. From this point, we only see part of the whole picture. But if we move and look from a different perspective, we will discover new details and aspects that were previously unnoticed. The same applies to analyzing the chart of a financial instrument when using different types of charts or different timeframes. This post will focus on using different timeframes. On one timeframe, it may be difficult to understand the essence of what is happening, while on another, everything can become clearer and more understandable. I've already talked about using different timeframes when looking for trades in an educational article a few weeks ago (see the related post below). In that article, I highlighted 5 skills that help effectively trade in sideways markets. Discussing the first of them - how to combine higher and lower timeframes when looking for trades, I provided a practical example on the OPUSDT chart using the daily and hourly timeframes. In that practical example, I formulated target levels that are likely to be reached. You can see the results in the related post (see below). I'll provide another example of choosing the right timeframe and the correlation between timeframes, using the BTCUSDT chart. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. In the update of this idea I noted that on the hourly timeframe at the contextual point of the seller (the beginning of the last seller impulse, level 66867), I didn't see an active seller and wasn't ready to join the sales at that moment. As a potential target, I indicated 62776. So, I looked at the chart on different timeframes and searched for what remains unnoticed. On the 7-minute timeframe, I discovered a sideways movement at the contextual point of the seller (level 66867), as mentioned in the idea update with a recommendation to look for a trade after exiting the sideways movement and protecting this exit: Now, let's analyze what happened next (on the bars chart, as bars take up less space and additional marks are better visible). The seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 65626.87. The seller's impulse ended at 10:49 (New York time), when after breaking through the lower boundary of the sideways movement, the first buyer bar appeared. The key candle(bar) of the impulse (the largest volume in the impulse) is marked on the chart as "KC". Therefore, the seller's defense of this candle or the lower boundary of the sideways movement (65626) increases the probability of further price decrease. The price range of the key candle of the impulse is highlighted on the chart (from high to close). Now let's pick a lower timeframe to see more clearly what happened before and after 10:49. On the 1-minute timeframe by 10:49, a sideways movement formed, and at 10:49, the price attacked the upper boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 2). The key candle of the buyer's impulse ("KC" on the chart) is in the middle of the impulse. At 10:59, the buyer attacked a new boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 6 - 65249.01). Pay attention to the volume of the attacking candle. At 11:02, the seller pressed the attack candle, forming a seller zone (red background on the chart). On the buyer's candle at 11:04 (black downward arrow on the chart), you can sell because: On the hourly timeframe, the price is in the seller's impulse in the seller's area of interest, which defended the level 66867. On the 7-minute timeframe, the seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement. On the 1-minute timeframe, the seller defended the level (65249.01) from the buyer's attack on a significant volume, which is within the price range of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe impulse. And one more interesting point. Look where the seller's resumption on the minute timeframe came from - from the 50% of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe seller impulse. Could the price, without reaching the target of 62776, go up? Yes, the probability of this event is not zero. And we see how the price did not reach the target by 18 dollars (black upward arrow on the chart) and turned upward. Where did the seller stop it? It stopped right there inside the key candle of the sideways movement exit on the 7-minute timeframe (black downward arrow on the chart). After that, the target of 62776 was reached.
Education
by AlexeyWolf
What is FLAT in the markets, practical tips☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
Education
by Yelli_trades
Trade in a sideways marketMain price pattern of financial instruments So, when we talk about the price of financial stuff, like stocks or crypto, it often moves in specific ranges over different timeframes, right? Whether it's weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute charts, prices tend to hang out in these ranges for a while. Traders call this kind of price movement "consolidation," "range-bound," or simply a "sideways market." In this article, we'll just call it a sideways market or range. When prices are stuck in this sideways action, they can break out with a sudden burst of momentum, kickstarting a trend, or they might just keep bouncing around, forming a new sideways pattern. Let's check out the daily chart of BTCUSDT starting from October 2021. On the chart (see above), we've marked those periods where the price was moving sideways with blue markers. Since October 2021, we've spotted 7 of these sideways patterns. We label the first point of each sideways move as "1". Out of 884 trading days, the price was stuck in this sideways action for 758 days (884 - 72 - 39 - 15), which makes up about 85%. This means that throughout this whole period, you could've been looking at trades from one edge of the sideways range to the other. Based on my estimates, most financial instruments spend more than 75% of their time in this sideways market mode. So, knowing how to trade in sideways markets is a super important skill for traders. And for investors, understanding these sideways moves can really amp up the profitability of their investments by pinpointing better entry and exit points. For example, right now, considering buying BABA stocks might be a good idea because the price is chilling at the bottom of a sideways range on the weekly chart. Example1 Mastering the Skills for Successful Trading in Sideways Market Being able to effectively trade within trading ranges, between their boundaries, requires not only a certain amount of knowledge but also the development of specific skills. Initially, one must grasp the theoretical foundations and then apply them in practice, gradually honing their skills. Let's look at the necessary skills: Skill 1: Understanding and applying the Concept of Time Frame (TF) Interconnection: higher TF, lower TF. Grasping the context of the higher TF in relation to the sideways market TF. Skill 2: Identifying sideways market: determining the absolute and current boundaries of the range, as well as the current direction (vector) of price movement. Skill 3: Recognizing zones of interest for buyers and sellers. Skill 4: Determining the presence of buyers at the lower boundary (bottom protection by buyers) and sellers at the upper boundary (top protection by sellers). Skill 5: Adhering to risk management principles when entering trades (especially crucial for traders). Each of these skills is based on a vast amount of knowledge that needs to be absorbed first and then applied in practice. The journey can be long and sometimes tedious. Is there a way to hack this system and shorten the time it takes to acquire knowledge, develop skills, and start trading? Well, there are options. For example, you can use technical indicators (such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.) to make buying or selling decisions. Or you could completely bypass the process of acquiring knowledge and skills and rely on signals from Telegram channels or expert opinions. But what will you find there about trading in sideways market (ranges), where the market spends more than 75% of its time? This series of articles is written for those who are ready to take control of their financial destiny, who strive to understand how financial markets work, and who want to master the skills of independent trading and making more informed investment decisions. Here you will find the knowledge and tools to start understanding what is happening in the financial markets and how to profit from it. I don't promise any magic pills or "money" buttons:). So, let's get started. Skill 1: Applying the Concept of Time Frame Interconnection The higher time frame (TF) always takes precedence over the lower one. For instance, if we observe on the daily chart that the market is in a seller's zone (which is determined by Skill 3), then on the hourly chart, we need to analyze the seller's actions (Skill 4) and primarily look for selling opportunities. However, there might be a situation where the seller is inactive, and the price starts to rise due to buyer pressure (in this case, Skill 4 comes into play again). Example2 On the provided chart, areas of seller interest are marked in red, while buyer interest areas are marked in blue. Let's examine the period from March 25th to March 27th, highlighted in yellow on the chart. On the daily TF, we observe sideways movement since December 22, 2023, with the bearish vector (11-12) being relevant. The first target of the bearish vector, 3.119, was reached on March 19, 2024. The second target (2.822) and the third (2.611) remain valid. On March 25th, the price returned to the seller's zone on the daily chart (the red zone with the lower boundary at 3.680). On the hourly chart, on March 25th, the price trend reached the daily seller's zone and formed a range with 7 points. The breakout from this range occurred downwards on March 27th. Therefore, in this range, it was advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and riskily consider buying from the lower one. Similarly, you can make investment decisions by analyzing, for example, the weekly and daily TFs. To be continued... P.S. This is indeed an interesting point! Despite the fact that the market spends more than 75% of its time in sideways movement, indicators and strategies specifically designed for trading in this mode have not gained as much popularity as other trading approaches. Even on the internet, including TV and trading Telegram channels, signals or analyses based on identifying sideways movement are very rarely encountered. If you have experience or knowledge about trading methods in sideways markets (including indicators), please share them in the comments!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
How to trade Fake Breakouts in the range Range trading, characterized by price oscillations within defined support and resistance levels, offers traders a structured approach in sideways markets. However, even within these stable waves, deceptive price movements known as fake breakouts can occur. These false signals can lead traders astray if not properly recognized and managed. In this article, we'll delve into the world of fake breakouts within range trading, equipping you with strategies to identify and navigate these misleading market dynamics. Understanding Fake Breakouts: A fake breakout occurs when price seemingly breaches a support or resistance level but quickly reverses back into the established range. These deceptive moves often trigger stop-loss orders and entice traders into taking positions in the direction of the apparent breakout, only to experience a sudden reversal against their trades. Fake breakouts are fueled by market manipulation, emotional trading, or sudden news events. Here are few examples of fake breakouts in big Time-frames : Often, this is not enough for entering a position. Combine this with divergences on RSI or other factors for entry. Key Characteristics of Fake Breakouts: Swift Reversal: A true breakout sustains its direction, while a fake breakout swiftly reverses back into the range. High Volatility: Fake breakouts often coincide with spikes in volatility due to market confusion and emotional reactions. Trapped Traders: Traders who entered positions based on the fake breakout are "trapped" when the market reverses, leading to potential losses. Navigating Fake Breakouts: Confirmation Through Candlesticks: Wait for candlestick confirmation beyond the breakout level. A close above resistance or below support lends greater credibility to the breakout. Increased Volume: Look for a surge in trading volume accompanying the breakout, indicating genuine market participation. Use of Indicators: Rely on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to validate breakout momentum. Strategies for Trading Fake Breakouts: False Breakout Reversal: Enter positions in the opposite direction of the fake breakout when price returns to the range, targeting a retracement towards the opposite boundary. Wait-and-Watch Approach: Allow the breakout to develop and wait for confirmation before entering a trade, avoiding pre-mature positions. Risk Management When Dealing with Fake Breakouts: Tight Stop-Loss: Set a tight stop-loss order beyond the breakout point to limit potential losses if the breakout reverses. Position Sizing: Allocate a smaller portion of your capital to trades involving potential fake breakouts due to the increased risk. Pros and Cons of Trading Fake Breakouts: 👍 Pros: Opportunities in Deception: Skilled traders can capitalize on market deception by trading against fake breakouts. Enhanced Risk Management: Proper identification of fake breakouts allows traders to minimize losses through tight stop-loss orders. 👎 Cons: Increased Complexity: Identifying fake breakouts requires additional analysis and indicators. Risk of Mistakes: Mistaking a genuine breakout for a fake one or vice versa can lead to missed opportunities or losses.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Sideways Trend Example: ❗️Unleashing the Secrets of the Forex Market: Identifying Trends Made Easy❗️ 💲As traders, one of the most essential skills is the ability to identify trends. In this article, we will embark on a journey to unravel the mysteries of the forex market trends like never before. So, fasten your seatbelts, get ready for an adventure, and let's dive in! ↗️The Smooth Sailing - Uptrends: Picture yourself in a sailboat on a calm, sunny day, with the wind gently pushing you forward. This pleasant scenario beautifully represents an uptrend in the forex market. Uptrends occur when the price of a currency pair consistently increases over time. To identify an uptrend, keep an eye out for higher highs and higher lows on your price charts. Uptrend Example: ↘️Rough Waters - Downtrends: Now, let's transform our tranquil sailboat into a powerful vessel battling against fierce waves and gusty winds. Similar to this scenario, a downtrend indicates a series of declining prices in the forex market. To recognize a downtrend, look for lower lows and lower highs on your price charts. Downtrend Example: 🔄The Eye of the Storm - Sideways Trends: Imagine yourself caught in the eye of a storm, where the winds calm down, and the waves become gentle ripples. This serene moment perfectly mimics a sideways trend in the forex market. Sideways trends occur when the price moves within a relatively tight range, lacking a clear direction. To spot a sideways trend, locate horizontal support and resistance levels, and observe price movements bouncing between them. Sideways Trend Example: 📊Interpreting the Elements - Indicators: Just as sailors use compasses and maps to navigate the open seas, traders have powerful tools at their disposal to identify trends in the forex market. Technical indicators, such as Moving Averages, MACD, and RSI, provide valuable insights by analyzing past price data. These indicators can help confirm and strengthen your trend analysis. 📈The Art of Patience - Confirming Trends: Sometimes, identifying trends in the forex market can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack. Therefore, it is crucial to exercise patience before jumping into trades. Waiting for confirmation is vital to avoid false signals. Look for multiple indicators aligning with your identified trend before making any decisions. 💹Riding the Waves - Trend Trading Strategies: Once you've identified a trend in the forex market, it's time to ride the waves and potentially profit from it. Trend trading strategies involve jumping on board during an established trend and holding positions until signs of a reversal appear. By keeping emotions in check and adhering to risk management principles, you can increase your chances of success in trend trading. 🧠Conclusion: Navigating the vast and ever-changing forex market can seem like an exhilarating adventure. By mastering the art of trend identification, you hold the key to unlocking potential profits. Remember, whether you're sailing through uptrends, weathering downtrends, or calmly cruising sideways trends, a combination of technical indicators, confirmation, and patience should guide your decision-making. So embrace the wonder of the forex market, and may your trend-spotting skills be forever sharp! 😸Thank you for reading buddy, hope you learned something new today😸 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
11
The Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator (Range Trading technique)You're watching this video because you keep getting stop-hunted. You feel like every time you enter a trade to the market it immediately goes the other way and you get this little spike out the top or the bottom of a candle that knocks you out of your position and takes out your stop loss. This is most likely due to Market manipulation on your charts which is making you think that price is moving up or down and instead you have just entered a trade at the beginning of the consolidation or distribution phase. Don't worry you're not alone this happens to a lot of novice and intermediate Traders. I really wish there was an indicator that would tell you as soon as you have entered into a ranging Market but usually you can't tell that until you've looked at your charts for a couple of hours and realize that price hasn't moved above or below a certain number. Well you're in luck because I just finished coating an indicator that will tell you that you have entered into a consolidation or distribution phase at the beginning. In today's video I'm going to show you how to do range trading using the Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator available for free on Tradingview. Usually after price makes a big rally to the upside or to the downside you can expect that price is going to go into either consolidation or a distribution phase. On your charts this will look like where price runs flat for what could be an extended period of time. The rule of thumb is that after a very strong move to the upside or downside the consolidation period can be lengthy. If there is a short rally to the upside or downside then the consolidation or distribution phase would be a short period of time. So lets get into adding the indicator, and setting up your chart to trade in ranges using alerts from the Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator. Open up TradingView Go to your indicators tab and search for Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator and add it to your chart. In the settings make sure you've turned on the following: Range Range Break Long Range Break Short Support Levels Resistance Level There are a number of other alerts available in the Oscillator but we don't need them for this purpose. And as always, use the default settings. When you get a RANGE signal (Which looks like a line between two left and right arrows.) You want to grab your Parallel Channel Tool. You should have already set your support and resistance levels when you opened your chart for the day so look left of your candle. There should be a support or resistance alert right there. On my chart I have a Resistance level. So I'm going to use this line at the top of my parallel Channel Take your parallel channel tool And place it on that support resistance level just left of the candle . I'll drive it far to the right and make sure it's straight and click again. now drag it down to the closest support level and click again. You have just drawn your range. Also on my chart you can see here that I have 1 range indication and then just after it I have a second range indication. When you get a second one you disregard the first one because price has now entered into a new range. What you are looking at is the Centerline of your range. In this particular instance the first Range Line is lower than the second one so to correct this I have to take the top of my parallel Channel and drag it up until the dotted line is at the close of the candle with the new Range signal. do this by driving the top of the box and not changing the bottom of a box. In this case you can see how the bottom of the parallel channel is still sitting on my support and resistance level to the bottom but the top of the parallel Channel is above my support and resistance level And this is fine. The way you use this is by imagining your parallel channel has three levels. Level 1 = The top line Level 2 = The midline Level 3 = The bottom. Also you must respect any Support and Resistance levels traveling THROUGH the Parallel Channel What you are looking for is any candle that closes its majority size across one of these lines here are some examples: Please watch the video for a perfect visualization of how to do this. Directions of Trades in Range Trading. Follow the arrows. You ONLY trade to the INSIDE from the top or bottom of the channel. You also trade either up or down FROM the midline, depending on the majority close of the candle. Again also respect your support or resistance levels when a candle is crossing them.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
7
How To Trade Probability Ranges The Critical Rule of 1/3Using the Rule of Thirds to Master Probabilities in trading and investing ranges -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stocks typically remaining in consolidation ranges 70% of the time while trending the remainder. Using the rule of thirds, we can use statistics, prior price action and the probabilities of success to determine when to enter trades where the odds are stacked in our favor. 1) We start by finding a stock that is in a consolidation range, and identify the nearest important support and important resistance levels based on your targeted trading timeframe. 2 ) We take the range between the support and resistance levels and divide it into thirds, so we have three zones within the consolidation range. 3) When going long, you want to BUY the stock when it is within the bottom third or the zone from support to the 1st third level. Once you buy, your objectives are to hold during the middle third of the range, and sell during the top third. When you buy in the first third, this gives you a 66 percent chance of success. If you buy in the second third of the range, you only have a 50/50 chance of success. Going long in the top third of the range, gives you only a 33% chance of success because you are already close to the resistance level. When going short, the sequence and odds are reversed. You sell during the top third of the range, hold during the middle third and exit in the bottom third. This again gives you a 66% chance of success when you enter in the top third, 50/50 chance if you enter in the middle third, and a 33% chance of success if you enter in the bottom third as you are already close to the support zone. ****Using this simple trick, you can quickly evaluate trades based on probabilities and selectively enter trades where the odds of success are the highest and avoid likely losing trades. The rule of thirds also also gives you the confidence to continue to hold trades based on previous important ranges, and provides clear levels where the stock is likely to either reverse or start trending. Hope It Helps to your Trading & Investing Success Marc
FTX:MATICUSDEducation
by PowerIndicators
9
How to find THE BEST SHORT entry in a Range bounding market !!!!Welcome to this tutorial This is my personal take from multiple resources and +20 hours of research and my own experience with trading in a range-bound market. Range-bound trading or in this case shorting in a range-bound market contains 5 simple phases: phase A Range High + Range low forms which lead us to have a Range market. phase B Price tends to deviate above the Range High or simply sweep (upthrust) above it. Reasoning and psychology behind that= in order to catch the liquidity above the range high and trap breakout traders who just opened a long above the high before nuking to the Range Low. phase C BOS happens in ltf , triggering a trend reversal. Supply forms below the resistance, that's where we would like to build our short position later on. phase D ltf Range forms after the first sell-off, creating our base to revisit the supply that previously formed above it. (Ideally, you can enter a scalp long trade in this phase and close right at the supply) phase E Price finally revisit the supply in order to test it as resistance. Any bearish price action at the supply or ltf BOS triggers our entry, targetting the Range Low as our take profit point. There you can have a nice +4 R/R short setup, remember to place your invalidation above the newly made local high just to be safe from stop hunters ;) Make sure to leave a like and a comment if you find this small article useful I will share 2 more topics about range bound market and how to trade it in near future so follow me on Tradingview so you don't miss them xoxo
Education
by CryptoSep
9
What is a RANGE?Hello Traders, Here is the most simple & easy explanation about a Range. In this Lesson I will Show you how to Identify & Trade a RANGE! These patterns are seen daily in Stocks, Forex and different markets across the Globe. I hope you will find this information educational & informative. Your support is appreciated with a follow, like & Comment Lets dive Right Into it!! What Is a Range? Range refers to the difference between the low and high pricesover a specific time period. Range defines the difference between the highest and lowest prices traded for a defined period, such as 4H, day, Week & month. The range is marked on charts, for a single trading period, as the high and low points on a candlestick or bar. The top of the trading range often provides price resistance, while the bottom of the trading range typically offers price support. Understanding Trading Ranges When the Market breaks through or falls below its trading range, it usually means there is momentum (positive or negative) building. A breakout occurs when the price of the Market breaks above a trading range, while a breakdown happens when the price falls below a trading range. Typically, breakouts and breakdowns are more reliable when they are accompanied by a large volume, which suggests widespread participation by traders and investors. Many traders look at the duration of a trading range. Large trending moves often follow extended range-bound periods. Day traders frequently use the trading range of the first half-hour of the trading session as a reference point for their intraday strategies. For example, a trader might buy a stock if it breaks above its opening trading range. Ranges and Volatility Since price volatility is seen as equivalent to risk, a Markets trading range is a good indicator of relative riskiness. A conservative Trader prefers a Market with smaller price fluctuations compared to Market that are susceptible to significant gyrations. Such an trader may prefer to Trade in more stable Market rather than in more unstable Market. Trading Range Strategies Range-bound trading is a trading strategy that seeks to identify and capitalize on a Market trading within price channels. After finding major support and resistance levels and connecting them with horizontal trendlines, a trader can buy a at the lower trendline support (bottom of the channel) and sell it at the upper trendline resistance (top of the channel). Support and Resistance If the Market is in a well-established trading range, traders can buy when the price approaches its support and sell when it reaches the level of resistance. Technical indicators, such as the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, and the commodity channel index (CCI), can be used to confirm overbought and oversold conditions when price oscillates within a trading range. For example, a trader could enter a long position when the price is trading at support, and the RSI gives an oversold reading below 30. Alternatively, the trader may decide to open a short position when the RSI moves into overbought territory above 70. A stop-loss order should be placed just outside of the trading range to minimize risk. Breakouts and Breakdowns Traders can enter in the direction of a breakout or breakdown from a trading range. To confirm the move is valid, traders should use price action & Structure Break. For instance, there should be a significant increase in volume on the initial breakout or breakdown as well as several closes outside the trading range ( Structure Break). Instead of chasing the price, traders may want to wait for a retracement / Correction before entering a trade. For example, a buy limit order could be placed just above the top of the trading range, which now acts as a support level. Thanks for Reading this article, I hope that it was informative and educational As always, If you have any questions / Comment or Concern Please feel free to leave them below. Thanks to @TradingView for this lovely platform to educate and grow together :) Hope to see you in the next Educational Post! Global Fx Education
Education
by Global_Fx
2
How to read a Chart - Part IV: Perspectives on PoIPoints of Interest Introduction One of the most common mistakes in trading ist the trading somewhat somewhere in the nowhere, which in general results in a bad trade location, wide stops, being stopped out very often or being right while being wrong. Thus, in trading it is paramount to wait patiently for your setup to appear, and not every setup is of the same quality. Even though high quality setups are not appearing on a 1-minute-, 5-minute- or 60-minute-basis, waiting will actually not only save you money, but also result in higher profits, higher trading confidence and less stressful decision-making. Even if you’ve already heard of the basic principles, they are just right. A. Highs and lows As I’ve pointed out in my previous article “How to Read a Chart Pt. III”, the highs and lows on a daily chart are building the overall structure. Don’t get me wrong: the weekly has some nice perspectives too, but you should watch it if you are an investor going in for 10+ years. The highs and lows on a weekly chart still do have importance on lower time frames, but you shouldn’t make a decision on trading entries for a plus 5 years investment opportunity on a 1-minute- or even a 1-second chart. Why are highs and lows important? They are used as reference for past and thus future resistance. Does this always apply? No for sure, that's why structure is important. So before we’re diving deeper into this subject, let's have a quick comparison of weekly and daily highs and lows. I’ve marked the high and low of the weekly chart in thick red, just to show that everything you might see on a weekly basis you're also able to see on a daily basis. In orange is the range of the past week and in blue the range of the current week. So in general: if we’re trading above the previous week’s range, we are in general long biased, if we’re trading below the previous week’s range, we are short biased. Does this always apply? No! But when does this apply? When the big fishes, the “whales” are showing interest in selling or buying at those specific points. Something we can derive from the chart above is the following: the previous week’s low got rejected, but the value is shifting down; this means, that if we’re trading above the current week’s high there are two scenarios: either we’re going up fast, breaking the previous weeks high or we are being rejected and shifting down again - at least to the bottom of the range. If we're going below the low, it might go quick, fast and harsh. B. High and low of the previous day Applying this principle from chapter A to intra-day trading, it goes alike: in general, if we are trading above the previous day’s high, at large we are long and if we are trading below the low of the previous day, we are short. Let’s unfold this beauty of perspectivity: In the picture above I’ve used a random high/low indicator - displaying the highs and lows of the previous day's session - as there are hundreds and hundreds to be found on @TradingView and the reason why is quite obviuos and well justified. I’ve also added “setups” to show you what to expect if you would have traded blindly every single break above the high or below the low. Even if you would have no specific view on the market, no bias or any idea of the markets direction you still would have made 4X (40 times your risk ! ) at win ratio of 56% - which most people would say is "not good". C. Ranges So what are the zones between a day's high and low? It's nothing else than the day's range. You may find ranges on bigger and smaller scales, on a 1 minute to 1 year time frame. What are these ranges? They are zones of congestion, zones of consolidation and zones of value, but mainly they are battlefields. Let's have a look on a chart: I've just plotted some of these zones to point out one thing: if you're trading within the zone, you're lost and you will most likely lose money even if you're right about the direction. You need an edge in trading, and the easiest thing is to trade from one edge to the other edge until a breakout has been confirmed. D. Big Bars / Big Fat Candles Don't mistake me: this is not about day drinking, romantic candle light dinner or something like this; it is about big fat candles on a chart and what happened there and what is likely to happen. Some should note that a range on a lower time frame is nothing else than inside bars on a higher time frame. Usually a big fat candle appears if stops have been triggered and thus the sentiment has shifted. So, somewhere within this big fat candle there is support or resistance and it depends on volume and sentiment if we're about to move further in this direction or not, but mostly it is indicating momentum. If you want to trade pullbacks, you need to figure out where the breakout has happened; usually it has happened before the top or bottom of the corresponding range. Additionally, if a big fat candle got retraced to 100 percent, something is fishy, whilst a strong breakout should indicate only a partial retracement if the traders are committed to push prices further in their direction. E. Value areas and Points of No Interest As I'm using the free version of @TradingView , I would've attached an image from my order flow software, because there is no decent free volume profile indicator displaying value areas (if I'm wrong, post a link in the comments), but it seems that the image upload didn't work, but anyway. The point I'm trying to make ist this: value areas are showing zones where price is seen as fair and thus the most volume has been traded. If you're using a market profile (tpo or monkey bars), it is showing where price has been traded most of the time. Outside of this range, price is considered unfair, and this is - exactly as ranges overall - where your edge is. Zooming out and seeing the bigger picture is extremely helpful to not get caught in war zones of higher time frames and big players. On this chart above I'm using the 200 period volume profile of @LuxAlgo ,visually a beautiful piece of art. Furthermore, it is displaying somewhat similar to a value area and - even more interesting - the valleys in the profile, also called low volume nodes. To use these valleys as reference, you should not make the mistake and look where price has not been traded at all, but where supply and demand have diminished; this is blatantly simple: if there haven't been buyers or sellers at all, price will move on; so you need at least a certain threshold of trading activity. In grey I've plotted the borders of the range. As you can see, as soon as the price has reached these areas, a reaction has happened. On the upside, it was a head fake, false breakout, emerging head and shoulders pattern or simply: no more buying interest. When price broke down you could have easily entered at the rejection or at the pullback. Another zone of no interest is the light purple area, which has been established by big bars breaking through it and where one side has been swept. When price broke through and traded above, you could've used the pullback to go long (in the middle of the range though) or when it broke below to go short or to finally close your losing long position. Quick cheat number 1 on applying support and resistance: Switch to a line chart, check for the prominent highs and lows, switch back to candle or whatever your preference is and adjust (or don't ;) ). 3 different types of charts, all displaying the same. It is not perfect, it is not a pin point "you will always win and never lose" system, but markets consist of humans which aren't perfect either; and as long as machines are made by men, they aren't neither. And this is the reality of trading: nothing is a one-shot, a bullseye; nothing is perfect. At last, there is more to trading than placing a limit order into a chart and get rich quick. Quick cheat number 2 (that no one will tell you because it is too simple to sell it): Look to the left! Markets have memories, because - and I'm repeating - markets consist of humans, and the only reference points others may use are not any calculations, extensions or fantastic AI structures: at the end it is all derived from history. How did price react at the last reference point? What happened next? Let's quickly example this: Think of it yourself: do you want to re-evaluate every tick hunting for signals on a vast amount of indicators or are you just keeping it simple (stupid)? Key Takeaways Don’t trade somewhere in nowhere! Future price action depends on past action! Switch your perspective if a change has become evident! Trade less, earn more! ___ Note: As I’m writing a book about reading a chart, I am going to post a couple of short articles on this topic and others related to it, e.g. trend, volume , Dow theory, auction theory and behaviorism. If you are spotting some errors or if you like to add something, feel free to comment or pm. Cheers, Constantine - p.s.: This article is not intended as any kind of trading advice. If anything concerning this topic remains unclear, drop a message or a comment. I've also linked a previous analysis of a trade where you can see a walk-through of the principles as described above
Education
by constantine_trading
Wyckoff Anatomy of a Trading RangeRichard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was an early 20th-century pioneer in the technical approach to studying the stock market. He is considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis, along with Dow, Gann, Elliott and Merrill. Analyses of Trading Ranges One objective of the Wyckoff method is to improve market timing when establishing a position in anticipation of a coming move where a favorable reward/risk ratio exists. Trading ranges (TRs) are places where the previous trend (up or down) has been halted and there is relative equilibrium between supply and demand. Institutions and other large professional interests prepare for their next bull (or bear) campaign as they accumulate (or distribute) shares within the TR. In both accumulation and distribution TRs, the Composite Man is actively buying and selling - the difference being that, in accumulation, the shares purchased outnumber those sold while, in distribution, the opposite is true. The extent of accumulation or distribution determines the cause that unfolds in the subsequent move out of the TR. PS—preliminary support , where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC—selling climax , the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR—automatic rally , which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST—secondary test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC. Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the coin or stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements. Test —Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume. SOS—sign of strength , a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. LPS—last point of support , the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU—“back-up” . This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “ back up to the creek ” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TaherJalili
5
first test run: psychological effect range theory applied to fibMost things are written on the chart. I have hidden the reference fib itself as it is specifically edited for a certain purpose, but I base it on the psychological effect range theory (should be easy to figure out my methodology just knowing that) as well as the silver ratio for highs rather than the somewhat misused golden ratio (it's not really that prevalent in things, but... the silver ratio is). If it pans out I will show it perhaps If you are not familiar with the silver ratio it is 1+sqrt(2), or 2.4142~. It is an irrational number. It is an infinitely descending series of 2 + 1 over itself. i.imgur.com image so it makes more sense First we need to know why fib is naturally flawed (a fib haha!) as a tool. phi (yawn trdvw wont let me post the greek letter), phi = 1 + sqrt(5) / 2. Now, this seems to be too complex needlessly to me. Nature is simplistic in its foundation, but simple in its own way. It is highly irrational when it begins to contend with shapes that are not squares. A circle by definition is irrational, since it is made of an infinite number of angles, and this concept is best described as an o. But regardless of how people talk about it it's not proven in any measure to be truthful, BUT can be used it certain ways to frame one's set of planning, better than no planning and all. so what makes more sense for a deterministic chart 1+sqrt(5)/2 or 1+sqrt(2)? trick question, neither does. However, I am using it as my upper range in regards to the fib retracement tool. It is the 'end goal'- of the bull run. this happens to be 25k, if you don't zoom around the chart. the first target, however, is the sqrt(2), 1.4142. that's at 20,400, and completely reasonable to blow past should the psychological barrier of 20k (which is 2/3rd of the way from the line below sqrt(2) and the previous line, btw). There is the math behind the levels being picked, but really, the concept underlies effect range theory, in that most people tend to over or underreact to situations, and if in a median approach, tend to end up in another one before too long. The trend sections on my (not shown, but published privately yesterday for honesty's sake) chart show the channels of interest mostly lining up with profit/loss; if a range is being overused, it won't want to stay in that range, otherwise what's the point? you're trading the same amounts for the same amounts. I am rather new to financial markets but not new to analysis so I welcome anyone who can lead me to those that already decided/figured some of these out. I am still studying and trying to learn.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by foxymethoxy
2
Super set of oscillators by Thomas DeMark!Dear friends! I continue describing oscillators developed by Thomas DeMark. In my previous articles, I have already explained such tools as TD REI and TD POQ (look here ). In this post I’ll continue describing technical tools developed by Thomas DeMark. TD DeMarker I I’d like to start with the TD DeMarker I indicator. It is similar to TD REI and aims to distinguish between trend and non-trend movements in the market, and then, having determined the trend, it searches for reversal points depending on how the indicator reacts to oversold and overbought levels. Its calculation technique is very simple. TD DeMarker I compares the current and the previous trading day’s highs according to the following algorithm: 1. Calculate the TD DeMarker I numerator • If the current bar’s high is higher or equal to the previous bar’s high, the difference is calculated and added to the numerator. • If the current bar’s high is lower than the previous day’s high, then zero value is assigned to that bar. Next values of the difference between the highs for each bar are added to the numerator over a series of 13 consecutive bars. • If the current bar’s low is equal or less than the previous price bar’s low, then the difference between the previous day’s low and the current low are the numerator. • If the low of the current bar’s is greater, a zero value is assigned to the nominator at this bar. The next values of the difference between the lows for each bar are added to the numerator over 13 consecutive bars. 2. Calculate the denominator of TD DeMarker I equation • You add the value in the denominator to the sum of the differences between the lows in the same period. 3. Calculate TD DeMarker I = divide the numerator by the denominator. • As a result, we get a value that will move in the range from zero to 100 in the form of a fluctuating 13-period line. At the same time, the overbought zone will be above 60, and the oversold zone will be below 40. Now, let’s find out how this indicator’s signals are interpreted A buy signal should satisfy the following conditions: 1. DeMarker I must not be below 40 for more than 13 bars 2. The bar’s close at the signal level should be lower than the low of one or two bars ago 3. The bar’s close at the signal level must be lower than the previous bar’s open or close. 4. The open of the next bar following the assumed reversal bar must be less than or equal to the close of any of the two previous bars. 5. The asset must be trading higher than at least one of the two previous closes. As an example, I’ll take the BTCUSD market situation that has recently occurred. It is clear from the above chart that the BTCUSD was in the overbought zone (above 60) from the start till the end of May. Afterwards, the price rolled down below 40 and the indicator entered the oversold zone. Immediately after that, we look for a point where the bar features the low before price exits the oversold zone. Finally, when the price went beyond the oversold zone on June 13, we can easily identify the low in the period when the ticker had been below 40, according to TD DeMarker I. Now, we can analyze the continuation pattern based on the above conditions. 1. The DeMarker I indicator was below the level of 40 for not more than 13 bars - in our case it was only 5 days; 2. The bar’s close under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dots are above than the red dotted line). 3. The close of the bar below the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close (blue dots are far lower than the previous bar). 4. The next bar’s open following the reversal bar is equal to the previous bar’s close (there are no gaps). 5. The asset is trading higher than the previous bars’ close levels. Furthermore, when the indicator exited the overbought zone, the price had been already trading above all the previous bars’ close levels. Therefore, one could have safely entered a buy trade at the current level when the new bar of June 14 opened (I marked it with a red cross in the chart). As we already know, this signal reached the target and provided the opportunity to gain on the BTCUSD movement up to the high at 14 000 USD. I should note that when a buy signal is not confirmed, that is, the five conditions above are not met, there is still a signal, but it is a sell signal. Although such a sell signal cannot be as strong, it can be a confirmation for bearish signals of other indicators. There is a good example in the chart above. It displays bitcoin’s all-time high at 20 000 USD. After the DeMarker I had been in the overbought zone for quite a long time, it moved into the oversold zone, and so, we start counting and see how long the price will be in this zone. Finally, there is the following situation: 1. DeMarker I was not below the level of 40 for more than 13 bars, in this case it was 12. So, this condition is satisfied. 2. The close of the bar under the red arrow is lower than the previous bar’s low (blue dotetd line is below the red dotted line). This condition is also satisfied 3. The close of the bar under the arrow is lower than the previous bar’s open and close. This condition is also met. 4. The open of the bar following the reversal bar is equal the close of the previous bar (there are no gaps). This condition also confirms the bullish scenario. 5. The asset is trading above the previous close levels. This condition is not met. It is clear from the above chart the bar following the oversold zone (marked with a red arrow) went down lower than the close levels of the previous two bars, and, moreover, it was trading below the close level of the two bars preceding the reversal bar. Therefore, the last condition is not satisfied, and so, we have the reasons to assume that there is a real reversal of the bullish trend. Now, let us study the sell signals. The following conditions must be met: 1. A sell signal should meet the following conditions: 2. The indicator must be above level 60 for at least six bars. 3. The signal bar’s close must be above the previous bar’s open and close. 4. The open of the bar following the signal must be equal or higher than the close of any of the two previous bars. 5. The asset must be trading below one of the previous close levels. As soon as all these conditions are satisfied, it can be interpreted as a sell signal. TD DeMarker II The above chart presents an example of the Bitcoin bullish trend reversal in December 2017, after which there started a long-tern bearish trend. Let us analyze this situation as a bearish signal. When the bar marked with a red cross was forming, the DeMarker I indicator leaves the overbought zone and goes below level 60. Therefore, it is the case for looking for a sell signal within the zone, where the price was above level 60 (the zone is highlighted with green in the chart). The red arrow highlights the bar that closed higher than the highs of the previous two bars, and so, higher than the previous bar’s open and close (in the chart, it is marked by the purple dotted line on December 17 that is above the green line). The next bar, following the one with the red arrow, also meet the condition and opens above the close of the second-last bar. Finally, there is the trend reversal signal and the opportunity to take the profit on December 20 (it is the bar marked with the red cross in the chart). However, this indicator, like other technical tools, may send false signals. To filter the entry signal, it is recommended to apply TD DeMarker II as a supplementary tool. TD DeMarker II Unlike the TD REI and TD DeMarker I, which compare the price highs and lows with those of one bar ago, TD DeMarker II analyzes a number of price ratios to measure the pressure of buyers and sellers. Let us study the calculation formula of the TD DeMarker II. Calculate the numerator: 1. Calculate the difference between the current bar’s high and the previous bar’s close. 2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s close and its low. 3. Distract the previous value from the current bar’s high 4. Sum up all the values. If there is negative result, assign a zero value to it. Calculate the denominator: 1. Add the difference between the current bar’s low and the previous bar’s close to the numerator. 2. Add the result to the difference between the current bar’s high and its close (this value defines the selling pressure). The buy and sell signals of this indicator work under the same conditions as for the TD DeMarker I, so, I won’t enumerate them again. I have already many times mentioned that, if multiple buy or sell signals are at the same place, the signal becomes much stronger. As it is clear from the above chart, a buy signal sent by the TD DeMarker II (green cross) matches to the one sent by the TD DeMarker I (red cross), which in combination confirms the sell signal and enhances it. TD Pressure DeMark suggests that the price action is directly affected by the supply/demand ratio. As the price change is often preceded by a change in trading volume, DeMark suggests measuring the speed of changing in the trading volume along with the speed of price changes. In addition, according to DeMark, these parameters are more important for the current bar, rather than for the complete bars. In general, these values determine the buying pressure on the market, which is calculated by subtracting the current bar’s open from the its close and dividing the result by the price range of this bar. The result is multiplied by the trading volume of the current period and is added as a progressive total to the indicator value. Finally, we have an indicator that shows buying pressure. For example, if the bar’s open is equal to its low, and the bar’s close is equal to its high, then the trading volume will be on side of buyers, and the indicator will display a strong rise of buying pressure. And vice versa, if the bar’s open and close coincide, even a greater trading volume won’t affect the indicator, as the market will be balanced, and the bulls’ power will be roughly equal to that of bears. The indicator’s band moves from 0 to 100%, and the overbought and oversold zones, like for the indicators, described above, are the zones above 60 and below 40 respectively. The buy and sell signals sent by this indicator are interpreted in the same way as those sent by TD DeMarker I and II. Besides, this indicator is also a confirming one, and when it coincides with other signals, it confirms the indicated direction. You see in the above chart that the signal sent by the TD pressure (yellow cross) matches to the signals sent by the DeMarker I and the DeMarker II (red and green crosses respectively), which means that the sell signal is true. TD Rate of change (TD ROC) TD ROC is an integral component of TD Alignment but can also be used in isolation as an overbought/oversold indicator. It is thought to be quite simple and is determined by dividing the close of the current price bar by the close of twelve price bars earlier. Although it is pretty simple, this indicator is quite efficient. According to Thomas DeMark, the bears’ zone is below 97.5. Bulls zone is above 102.5. Therefore, when the indicator is in a narrow band between 97.5 and 102.5 the market is in balance. So, this indicator helps you identify the market sentiment at any moment. But this is not its primary advantage. You can employ this indicator in technical analysis and draw the common patterns and trend lines. The chart above shows how a triangle worked out. A strong momentum, marked with a red arrow, draws the indicator beyond the triangle, which means that the market lost balance and started moving in the bullish trend. Next, after the triangle was broken out and the bullish trend started, we build trend lines according to the common rules; in the bullish trend, the trend is outlined along the support line (red line), in the bearish trend -along the resistance lines (green line). It is clear from the chart above that the breakout of these lines and entering the bear zone send a sell signal (red cross) in early July. Afterwards, we build the trend line along the resistance levels sand expect until the price breaks it through and enter bullish zone. Finally, in the mid-July, there is such a buy signal, marked with green cross in the chart. Next, there is a strong growth in the bullish trend that is marked with the red trend line. The breakout of this line sends a signal to take profit, and entering bearish zone again signals the trend weakness. As you see from the chart above, the indicator broke through the green trendline in late July but it hasn’t entered the bullish zone, and so, there has been no buy signal so far. Another signal that really matters when using this indicator is the signal of convergence and divergence. These signals are rarely sent by this indicator, but they are usually quite accurate, especially in long-term timeframes. There is a clear divergence in the above chart. When the price is growing, the indicator is declining, which signals the trend exhaustion. In early July, the price couldn’t break through the previous high, thus confirming the direction of the indicator (marked with a circle). Finally, as I have already said, the indicator went down below the trend line, which sends a strong sell signal; however, as you know, the bearish correction didn’t work out, so, for an accurate forecast, it important to employ all the DeMark's tolls together. TD Alignment Just for this purpose, to combine all the tools together, the TD Alignment indicator was developed. TD Alignment is a composite indicator that combines the following five TD oscillators to measure buying and selling pressure: 1. TD DeMarker I 2. TD DeMarker II 3. TD Pressure 4. TD Rate of Change 5. TD Range expansion Index (this indicator is described here) Each of these indicators has its own distinct method of measuring overbought/oversold conditions. TD Alignment is based on the values of all the above indicators according to the principle, where the final result is determined of the number of indicators in an oversold condition, overbought and equilibrium. In addition, to calculate the TD Alignment, there were defined the following overbought/oversold zones: Overbought/Oversold 1. TD DeMarker I - 60/40 2. TD DeMarker II - 60/40 3. TD Pressure - 82/12 4. TD Rate of Change - 101/99 5. TD Range expansion Index - 40/-40 Therefore, when the TD DeMarker enters the oversold zone, 1 is added to the total result. If the indicator enters the equilibrium zone, between 60 -40, a zero value is assigned, if it is below 40, 1 is subtracted from the total value. Based on the same principle, all the indicators are calculated, and finally, there is the TD Alignment value that is moving between -5 and +5. -5 is reached when all the indicators are in the oversold zone, and +5 is associated with the case when all the indicators are in the overbought zone. Unfortunately, I failed to find the TD Alignment in free access, so I had to write everything on my own. I must admit there may be errors in calculations, nonetheless, it performs quite well during testing. As you see, the main benefit of this indicator is showing the cases when the market reaches the extremes of the overbought/oversold zones. In the above chart, I highlighted these levels from +4 to +5 and from -4 to -5. When the indicator reaches this zone, it is obvious that the price will start correction soon and so you should take a corresponding decision on either taking profit or entering a trade. In addition, the indicator shows the market sentiment currently dominating; if it is above zero, bullish sentiment is dominating, if it is below zero, the market is bearish. Buy or sell signal here must meet the same 5 conditions, described for TD DeMarker at the beginning of the article, the only difference is that you need to count the number if bars above or below zero. Based on my own experience, I would add one more condition, the sixth one, to be met for entering a buy or a sell trade. A buy/sell signal is confirmed when the TD Alignment indicator breaks through zero level (red dots) only provided that the indicator hit the overbought/oversold zone before. In the above chart, I tried to illustrate that, after the indicator hits green or red zone, i.e. overbought or oversold zone, the sixth condition is satisfied. So, when the indicator breaks through or rebounds from the zero level, there is a buy or a sell signal (according to the market sentiment, I marked the entry signals with green and red arrows). A red thumb down marks the levels where the market doesn’t reach the zones indicated above, and so, the condition is not met and the buy or sell signal is false; I marked false signal with the red crosses in the chart. However, not everything is that perfect, because this indicator is rather sensitive and so, it sends quite many false signals. That is why, I do not recommend employing this indicator alone, rather, it should be used together with other DeMark's tools so that it will be more efficient. I will describe other useful DeMark's indicators and explain how to apply them to BTCUSD trading in my next articles. Subscribe not to miss the continuation! I wish you good luck and good profits!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Hypov
3
gold dxy5.12.20 This video is the sequel to the previous video. In addition, I showed two ways to frame range boxes on the gold contract. I decided to give a closer look at the bear trap on the DXY and as I did this, I realized I had to look at a couple of time frames in order to add clarity. This was a bear trap on smaller time frame, but it is a retest of a breakout higher. It is what it is on different time frames, but it has value to do this in my opinion. As I was listening to the video before uploading, I took note of how bullish the whole pattern looks on the DXY on the daily chart... to the point that it looks likely that the price will move higher to an ABCD pattern... even though I am not a breakout buyer, and the market is still in arrange box which is the dominant behavior. If you don't understand this, I will come back and review it once we get a chance to see how the dollar plays out. The reason I bring this up is because of my conviction that higher time frames result in much more accurate assessment of the bullish or bearish nature of price action.
TVC:DXYEducation
by ScottBogatin