Mastering Range Trading for Higher ProfitsRange trading is a strategy focused on capturing price movements within a defined range, marked by consistent oscillation between two levels—support and resistance. In this approach, support is the level where buyers prevent further declines, while resistance is the level where sellers cap price increases. Range traders aim to profit from buying at support and selling at resistance, capitalizing on predictable price swings.
While range trading is effective during periods of sideways movement, it has its limitations, particularly when the market becomes volatile or when a trend emerges. By integrating range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies, traders can better adapt to changing market conditions. This blended approach allows traders to capture profits in both consolidating and trending markets, maximizing trading opportunities.
Understanding Range Trading
Range trading focuses on identifying a price range where an asset consistently fluctuates between established support and resistance levels. Traders use this predictable pattern to generate profits by entering long positions at support and selling at resistance. Technical indicators, such as oscillators and volume analysis, help confirm entry and exit points within the range. The primary goal is to capitalize on repetitive price movements, with no expectation of a breakout or major trend shift.
Example of Range pattern in S&P500
Key Advantages of Range Trading
-Consistent Trading Opportunities: Ideal for non-trending markets, offering regular chances to profit from predictable price movements.
-Lower Risk: Relies on established support and resistance levels, minimizing the risk of sudden price swings.
-Simplicity: Easy to understand and implement, making it suitable for traders of all levels.
Limitations of Range Trading
-Vulnerability to Breakouts: Prone to significant losses if a breakout occurs and the price moves beyond the defined range.
-Smaller Profit Margins: Focuses on short-term price moves, resulting in lower profits compared to trend-following strategies.
-Market Dependency: Effective only in non-trending conditions; becomes less reliable during strong trends.
Combining Range Trading with Trend-Following
Trend-following strategies focus on riding sustained price movements in one direction. By entering positions in the direction of the trend, traders aim to capture larger gains as the trend progresses. The integration of range trading and trend-following can create a more adaptive trading plan, allowing traders to capitalize on both sideways and trending markets.
Example Range Trading on EUR/USD Following the trend - SMA 50
How to Blend Range Trading and Trend-Following
-Transition Points: During consolidation phases, range trading can be used to capture smaller price movements. When a breakout occurs, traders can shift to trend-following to capture larger price swings.
Indicators for Blending Strategies:
Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold conditions within a range.
Practical Implementation:
For example, when a currency pair is range-bound, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance using range trading. If a breakout follows, they can switch to a trend-following strategy by placing trades in the direction of the breakout.
Integrating Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Breakout trading aims to capture significant price movements when the market breaks beyond support or resistance levels. When combined with range trading, it can maximize trading opportunities, especially during high volatility periods.
Breakout example Range Trading EUR/USD
How to Integrate Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Spotting Breakout Setups:
Use range analysis to identify potential breakout points, as repeated tests of support or resistance often signal an impending breakout.
Managing Risk:
Set Stop Loss orders just below/above the breakout level to protect against false breakouts.
Use position sizing to manage risk according to your risk tolerance.
Maximizing Profits:
Use trailing stops to lock in profits as the market continues to move in the breakout direction.
Key Technical Indicators for Blending Strategies
Moving Averages (MA):
Identify trends and confirm breakouts.
-Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Help identify momentum and reversals, suitable for both range trading and trend-following.
Example of RSI Use on Range Trading
Choosing the Right Trading Platform
To effectively blend range trading, trend-following, and breakout strategies, it’s essential to use the right trading platform.
TradingView: Known for its intuitive interface and wide range of indicators, ideal for technical analysis.
Backtesting Tools: Use backtesting features ( from Tradingview ) to evaluate the performance of your integrated strategy against historical data.
In Conclusion combining range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies can significantly enhance your trading performance. This comprehensive approach allows you to capitalize on consolidation phases, trend shifts, and breakout opportunities. By adapting to different market environments, traders can achieve more consistent and profitable results.
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Rectangle
How to trade Fake Breakouts in the range Range trading, characterized by price oscillations within defined support and resistance levels, offers traders a structured approach in sideways markets. However, even within these stable waves, deceptive price movements known as fake breakouts can occur. These false signals can lead traders astray if not properly recognized and managed. In this article, we'll delve into the world of fake breakouts within range trading, equipping you with strategies to identify and navigate these misleading market dynamics.
Understanding Fake Breakouts:
A fake breakout occurs when price seemingly breaches a support or resistance level but quickly reverses back into the established range. These deceptive moves often trigger stop-loss orders and entice traders into taking positions in the direction of the apparent breakout, only to experience a sudden reversal against their trades. Fake breakouts are fueled by market manipulation, emotional trading, or sudden news events.
Here are few examples of fake breakouts in big Time-frames :
Often, this is not enough for entering a position.
Combine this with divergences on RSI or other factors for entry.
Key Characteristics of Fake Breakouts:
Swift Reversal: A true breakout sustains its direction, while a fake breakout swiftly reverses back into the range.
High Volatility: Fake breakouts often coincide with spikes in volatility due to market confusion and emotional reactions.
Trapped Traders: Traders who entered positions based on the fake breakout are "trapped" when the market reverses, leading to potential losses.
Navigating Fake Breakouts:
Confirmation Through Candlesticks: Wait for candlestick confirmation beyond the breakout level. A close above resistance or below support lends greater credibility to the breakout.
Increased Volume: Look for a surge in trading volume accompanying the breakout, indicating genuine market participation.
Use of Indicators: Rely on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to validate breakout momentum.
Strategies for Trading Fake Breakouts:
False Breakout Reversal: Enter positions in the opposite direction of the fake breakout when price returns to the range, targeting a retracement towards the opposite boundary.
Wait-and-Watch Approach: Allow the breakout to develop and wait for confirmation before entering a trade, avoiding pre-mature positions.
Risk Management When Dealing with Fake Breakouts:
Tight Stop-Loss: Set a tight stop-loss order beyond the breakout point to limit potential losses if the breakout reverses.
Position Sizing: Allocate a smaller portion of your capital to trades involving potential fake breakouts due to the increased risk.
Pros and Cons of Trading Fake Breakouts:
👍 Pros:
Opportunities in Deception: Skilled traders can capitalize on market deception by trading against fake breakouts.
Enhanced Risk Management: Proper identification of fake breakouts allows traders to minimize losses through tight stop-loss orders.
👎 Cons:
Increased Complexity: Identifying fake breakouts requires additional analysis and indicators.
Risk of Mistakes: Mistaking a genuine breakout for a fake one or vice versa can lead to missed opportunities or losses.
Mastering the Bearish Flag Pattern in Forex and Gold Trading
The bearish flag pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential bearish trends in the foreign exchange (Forex) and gold markets. As a continuation pattern, it is typically formed after a strong downward move, indicating a short-term pause before the price continues its downward trend.
📚How Does the Bearish Flag Pattern Work?
The bearish flag pattern is formed when the price experiences a sharp decline (the flagpole) which is then followed by a short period of consolidation (the flag). During the consolidation phase, the price usually trades within a tight range, with lower volume, indicating a temporary balance between buying and selling pressures.
The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the support level of the flag. This indicates that the selling pressure has now become bullish, and traders can expect a continuation of the downward trend.
📉Trading the Bearish Flag Pattern
Traders can take advantage of the bearish flag pattern by entering a short position after the flag pattern has been confirmed. This means that the trader will be selling the asset in question, expecting it to continue its downward trend.
To increase the likelihood of success, traders can use other technical indicators, such as moving averages and oscillators, as well as fundamental analysis to identify potential price movements and market trends.
Here is the example of a bearish flag pattern that we spotted on Gold.
After a sharp bearish move, the market started to consolidate within a horizontal range - flag.
Its support breakout was the indicator that the market returns back to a bearish trend.
📈Bullish Flag Pattern
The bullish flag pattern is the exact opposite of the bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause in an upward trend. It is formed when the price experiences a sharp upward move followed by a short period of consolidation before continuing its upward trend.
Trading the bullish flag pattern is similar to trading the bearish flag pattern, with traders entering a long position after the confirmation of the pattern.
Here is the example of a bullish flag. The signal to buy was a bullish breakout of its upper boundary.
Behold how quickly the market started to grow then.
In conclusion, mastering the bearish flag pattern is a valuable skill in Forex and gold trading, allowing traders to enter short positions with greater confidence and accuracy. By combining technical and fundamental analysis, traders can identify potential trading opportunities and reduce their risks. It is important to note that a similar strategy can be applied for trading the bullish flag pattern, which is equally useful in identifying potential profitable trades in an upward trend.
What do you want to learn in the next post?
📈 How to: Bullish Rectangle PatternThe rectangle is a classical technical analysis pattern described by horizontal lines showing significant support and resistance. It can be successfully traded by buying at support and selling at resistance or by waiting for a breakout from the formation and using the measuring principle.
📍Understanding the Bullish Rectangle Candlestick Pattern
The bullish rectangle candlestick pattern is a chart formation that appears during an uptrend when prices temporarily pause before resuming their upward movement. It represents a period of temporary equilibrium as the price moves sideways. When the price breaks out above the upper resistance level, the pattern is considered valid, and it generates a buy signal. Bullish rectangle patterns are a type of classical chart pattern that indicate a period of indecision between buyers and sellers. They are common and powerful patterns used in breakout trading. On the other hand, the bearish rectangle pattern is the opposite version of the bullish rectangle pattern and follows the same formation and rules but occurs during a bearish market trend.
💥Key Takeaways:
🔹 The rectangle pattern signifies a lack of trend as the price fluctuates between horizontal support and resistance levels.
🔹 Traders have different approaches to trading rectangles:
🔹 Some choose to trade within the rectangle, buying near the bottom and selling or shorting near the top.
🔹 Others prefer to wait for breakouts, which occur when the price moves out of the rectangle.
🔹 The rectangle pattern concludes with a breakout, marking the end of the price's sideways movement between support and resistance levels.
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💲Catch Profits in Channels💲Hello dear traders🙋🏻; I'm Pejman & this is the "How to get fish from channels" class. I guess you've heard, "Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day🍣; teach a man to fish🎣, and you feed him for a lifetime."
Like every other educational post, today I will teach you how to fish and make money from the Market River🏞️.
As you know, fishing requires patience and practice, and you also have to take risks and throw bait into the water⛲. But today, together, we can use all kinds of price channels that are formed in this attractive river as a fishing net.🕸️
Our tool for fishing in the market river is technical analysis, which we discussed in previous posts. You can refer to this post and pick up your fishing rod.
You must have noticed that in the financial markets, the prices have their patterns and trends, which help us to catch the best fish🐠.
These patterns and specific price movements cause various trends in the market, which I explained in the market types post.
Another feature of specific price patterns and trends is the creation of price channels. Of course, don't get me wrong, I don't mean TV channels📺.
Although these channels are as attractive as sports channels and watching the Barcelona and Real Madrid games⚽🏟️, they have other features besides attractiveness✨.
They help you to predict the area of price movement even for the future. But please don't confuse channels with a magic 8-ball🎱. Based on past trends, they can give you a sense of where the price may be headed👀.
Trading without a price channel is like fishing without a net🕸️; you just guess.🤔 So, let's check the channels more closely and catch fish from them until the river is wavy.🌊
First, we need to know what the channel is.🤷🏻
Channels are like riverbanks that guide water flow, except, in this case, the channels guide the flow of candlesticks.🕯️
Price channels are made when the price is under the pressure of two ranges of supply and demand.
A channel is a trading range between two trend lines in which the price of an asset moves in almost predictable directions💁🏻. A price channel is like a trend line with a friend; two are always better than one, right?🧑🏻🤝🧑🏻
They also say: "The trend is your friend, but the price channel is your guide🙏🏻." By drawing the channels, you can find the possible price path🛣️, and at the right time, your hook will be stuck on sweet and big dollars💰.
Channels can be formed and used in any market with trending price changes, from stocks to forex and cryptocurrencies.
Channels, like many other tools in this market, have different types. Put down your fishing rods and put on your swimsuits🩲👙; we have to dive into the next topic.🏊🏻♀️
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Dear students welcome to the types of channels class.🧑🏻🏫
The first lesson is ascending channels.⬆️
The ascending channel for the price is like a staircase to heaven!
An ascending channel is the same as an upward trend line, with the difference that in addition to the aligned valleys🌄, the peaks⛰️ are also aligned and are formed parallel to the valleys. Both the peaks and valleys will be predictable.💁🏻
Of course, you cannot be sure what the next price move will be, but you can predict many possibilities.👀
Now that we climbed the stairs and got acquainted with the ascending channel, it is time to get acquainted with the descending channel⬇️ and do some skiing⛷️. They say: In the deepest water is the best fishing. So let's swim deeper and get to know the descending channel.🤿
The descending channel is like a waterfall, pulling down everything in its path. Candles are no exception, and when they are in a descending channel, they slide like fish🐠 in a waterfall and go lower and lower.
Look for a series of Lower Highs(LH) and Lower Lows(LL) to identify descending channels.
The difference between ascending and descending channels is similar to climbing🧗🏻 and skiing⛷️; Descending channels push the price down and cause lower peaks and valleys.
If you were trading in one-sided markets and encountered a descending channel, my friend, just sell and run🏃🏻. But if you were in two-sided markets, you can enjoy taking short positions🔻 and fishing in this drop.🎣
The noteworthy point✨ is that the longer a channel is and the more times⏳ the price has hit any side of this channel, the more essential and reliable this channel becomes.✅
But what if the price is too tired to climb the stairs🔺😩 and not in a good mood to play on the slide🔻😒?
In this case, it will be stuck between two✌🏻 horizontal trend lines and form a range or sideway channel.
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Range channels are just like ponds. There is no exceptional water flow🌊 in a pond, and fish and other creatures can only Move inside this pond. But range channels could be more attractive and eye-catching, like ponds.🌟
Range channels make traders tired.🙍🏻 Because trading in these channels will be more difficult than in other channels, it is challenging to recognize price movements or profit from small price movements in range channels.🤷🏻
The range channel is not similar to the ascending or descending channel. Because as its name suggests, it does not have a particular trend at all and is trendless.
When the price is in a channel range, the number of buyers🟢 and sellers🔴 is almost equal, and supply and demand are virtually identical.
🙅🏻Unlike ascending and descending channels, no peaks or valleys can be seen in a range channel higher or lower than its previous peaks or valleys.
Range channel is created by considering two trend lines from one peak to another peak and from one valley to another valley.
👌🏻Actually, the difference between a range channel and other channels is that these peaks and valleys are equal and basically in the same direction.
These channels may be permanent for river fishes🐟 and have become their home🏡, but there is no permanent channel or trend line for candles.😉
Remember that candles can leave their channel just like a bird🕊️ that jumps out of its cage or a prisoner escaping prison.🏃🏻
Do you remember in the previous posts when I talked about support and resistance lines, we said that candles could finally be released from their support or resistance prison? This case is the same.💁🏻✅
If you forget or don't know about support and resistance lines, take a breath and read this post before going to the next steps.👇🏻
The longer a channel is and the longer the price is locked in it🔒, the pressure of supply and demand on the price is more significant, and you will probably see a strong movement of the candles after the failure.💪🏻
But don't worry. You can still make money trading channels and even breakouts. In the following steps👣, I will teach you how to trade with all types of channels, as well as how to trade in breakouts.😉
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Now you must have questions about how to draw channels.🤷🏻
Well, obviously, with a very sharp pencil✏️ and a steady hand✍🏻. Just kidding😅, you must first recognize the trend and look for regular price movements to draw channels.
To catch a good fish, you must patiently monitor the price movements and look for peaks and valleys that move in the same direction.🕵🏻
You will find your channel by connecting these peaks and the valleys to each other. You need at least two✌🏻 parallel peaks and two valleys to draw a channel.
But how do you know that a channel has been drawn correctly?🤔 Channels have conditions, my friend. I wrote these conditions, so pay attention when drawing the channel.😊
When you draw your channel, make sure that the upper and lower lines of the channel must be parallel.
If the two channel lines are not parallel and are angled, this is a sign of your terrible drawing🤦🏻♀️. What kind of school🏫 did you go to where you can't draw two parallel lines?😐
I'm kidding😄, but if this happens, the pattern is no longer a trend channel but a triangle, which I discussed in previous posts.
Channels and trend lines create patterns by forming different shapes, which I explained in the above post.
I said the lines should be parallel but don't take a ruler📏 to measure each channel and trend line. There is nothing quite like books, my friend.😉
According to the definitions, don't expect to always find a channel 100%. In that case, you will lag behind the whole market.🙅🏻
But there is a tool with the help of which you can draw your channels correctly and lower your error percentage. ✅You can find this expression from the toolbar beside your TradingView charts. Who doesn't like to cheat sometimes?
Look to the left of your charts and click on the second one from the top. New options are displayed; the fifth option from the bottom is the Parallel Channel.
Select this tool and look at your chart. Use this tool wherever you can draw a channel.
To draw ascending channels, you have to find two valleys with a peak between them and you can look for the second peak by drawing the parallel channel. And vice versa, to draw descending channels, you must look for two peaks with a valley between them.
If you found two valleys and there were no peaks between them, something must be wrong & you should reconsider to find the right points.
Finally, the task of the range channels is also straightforward🙂 When you start drawing, from peak to peak or valley to valley, the range channel will show itself, and it will not be different.😊
By default, parallel channels are also a middle line.👀
The middle line is like a negotiator between the other two lines. When the price moves from the upper band of a channel to the bottom, the middle line can mediate and supports the price.🟢
Or when the price moves from the lower band of a channel to the top, the middle line can prevent the price from moving further.🚫
Dear students🧑🏻🏫, now you have acquired the necessary skills, and it is time to take your sticks🪝 and come with me to the river.
Before you trade and catch fish yourself, pay attention🙏🏻 to the positions I took with the help of channels to gain skills in this field because a poor worker blames his tools.
There are ✌🏻two strategies for trading using channels, both of which I will teach you.
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For example, in an ascending channel, such as trading with a support line, you can buy🟢 when the price is on the lower line of the channel and wait for it to reach the upper line of the channel and exit the positioning 🔚.
In previous articles, we talked about candlestick patterns. Using these patterns, you can get help to enter and exit your positions.
You can place your stop loss below the bottom line of the channel. You must indeed lose a fly to catch a trout.🎣 But always remember to be careful.😉
They say to invest what you can afford to lose. But remember to manage your Risk-Ratio and only trade after practicing and testing your strategies several times.✅
Indeed, even if the channel is downward🔻, you should only trade in the direction of the trend; as soon as the price reaches the upper line or resistance line, enter the position and take your profit💲 when you get the lower line of the channel.
Of course, if you are facing a range channel, your general strategy should be to buy at the bottom and sell at the top of the channel, and it's like eating a piece of cake.🍰👌🏻
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When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
You can even use both strategies to trade channels.👌🏻 For example, if the price is locked in this channel, trade in the direction of the channel trend.
Breaking channels is like breaking trend lines or support & resistance, and it comes with a breakout candle🚩 and a confirmation candle✅.
After the breakout, if you have an open position in the trend direction of the channel, you should close it.🙅🏻
After seeing the confirmation✅ of the breakout, enter the position according to your trading strategy and follow the risk management points.
For example, I would have ✌🏻two entry points. And I place my stop loss slightly above the breakout candle🔴.
My first point of entry is after seeing the confirmation candle. And if the price returns🔁 to its channel for the last kiss💋, I activate my second entry point. This will reduce my Risk-Ratio, and I will have a safer position.
To know that your channels are ending🔚, you should look for signs of weakness in price movements; for example, in an ascending channel, breaking below the low trend line or failing to reach higher peaks are signs of weakness.
It's like the price is taking a break before going higher again.
The last thing I'd like to tell you is don't try to force a price on a channel when it doesn't exist. Remember, patience is vital, and it is better to lose a trade than accept a losing trade. As said: "Sometimes the best catches are found in still waters." 🎣
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Conclusion :
Price channels are the rails that keep asset prices on track.🛤️ Just like fishing in a river, trading requires patience, skill, and an understanding of your environment. Check and avoid being affected by market fluctuations.🙅🏻
Now you can take your fishing rod🎣. Whether you are fishing in a bullish, bearish, or range market, the right approach and tools can help you make big profits.😉💲
Remember that profit and loss are together. Profits are never permanent and remember that a bad day at fishing is better than a good day at work. Am I right?😊
For you to have more good trading days than bad days, remember that it's okay to make mistakes when drawing🖌️ those price channels.
You can make up for all your mistakes by practicing and finding the right strategy. Warren Buffett says: The best investment you can make is your abilities.💪🏻
Feel free to experiment and try new strategies.✨ Don't be like a fish out of water; use the channels for swimming🏊🏻♀️ towards the market river.
Remember what Jesse Livermore said: "Price channels are like guardrails on the highway🚧 - they keep you from going off track and help you stay on track."
This post is over, but the road to the technical analysis journey is not over🧳✈️. In the following posts, I will accompany you step by step👣 and teach you other tools.
Be healthy🙏🏻, profitable💲, and successful!✌🏻
Ask your questions in the comments💬 and share your opinions with me😍.
Various phases of the market and identification of a trendThere is a famous saying in the world of trading: trend is your friend until it tends to bend. Following the mighty trend and riding its impulsive moves is one of the most satisfying feelings out there. There are several ways of identifying a trend and hoping on it. One group of people favours using indicators such as SMAs or EMAs for this case. Another group of traders prefers sticking with price action and technical analysis.
In this educational idea, we are gonna show two techniques that can be utilised for determining a trend looking at multiple timeframes and examining various factors.
First of all, for identifying a trend, we filter out all small timeframes and stick with the big ones like the Monthly, Weekly, Daily. STF graphs are filled with noise and indecision. Whereas, HTF charts show the bigger picture and make it easier for us to predict where the price is headed. Second, as we know, the market has three phases: uptrend (bull market), downtrend (bear market), range (kangaroo market).
As long as the price keeps printing Higher Low and Higher High points, the market is in a bullish phase. Vice versa, if Lower Lows and Lower Highs are being formed, it signifies that bears are in control. Another method that we could utilise to determine a trend is by using line charts instead of candlesticks. Due to the fact that a line chart filters out all the noise, we get a clear picture of the ongoing trend.
On the other hand, Differing from an actual trend, ranging markets are associated with indecision, choppiness, and imbalance. Such "kangaroo" markets are formed when bulls and bears fight each other over direction. This traps the price within borders of a sideways-moving rectangular range.
All in all, even though the process looks simple, it can get tricky and confusing from time to time. Therefore, always and always, stick to the plan, be risk tolerant, remain disciplined and patient.
80/20 P1The 80/20 Principle is an enormous time-saver. If you spend 10 minutes learning these skills now, it will have an endless return in the future. An example of a great reward: (lifetime saving of time) to risk (5-10 min of reading). The 80/20 Principle is a very effective concept in achieving efficiency. Instead of wasting resources on unimportant tasks, you can focus on core revenue making activities. This principle is one of the essential concepts in modern-day business.
This idea will discusses what the 80/20 Principle means, why it's effective, and how traders can benefit from it. Instead of scanning, I highly recommend reading this entire idea & P2. Information overload is rampant in our modern society. We are not used to focusing on any topic for longer than 30 seconds.
The main point is that the numbers are highly unbalanced. Humans tend to think that each unit of effort, or resource, has (almost) equal importance in achieving success. But the 80/20 Principle clearly explains the numbers are highly skewed. The probability theory explains that it is, “virtually impossible for the 80/20 Principle to occur randomly.”
80/20 PRINCIPLE IN TRADING
Traders can use the 80/20 Principle as well. In fact, there are many ways traders can apply the analysis from the 80/20 Principle. The 80-20 rule not only holds true for the analysis of our P & L account, but also for a wide range of topics.
Number 1: trading performance. Traders can analyze these relationships:
Are the majority of losing trades caused by the same mistake?
Are the majority of losses coming from a few trades?
Are the majority of losses coming from a small number of days?
The same questions can be asked for profits and winning trades as well.
Number 2: individual performance (personal effectiveness). Traders can analyze these relationships:
How much time is spent on each task and how much benefit does it bring?
What are the crucial tasks in my trading that lead to the most results?
What actions are the most beneficial for my results?
Number 3: the market. Traders can analyze these relationships:
80% of the time the market is in the middle of a move (not reversing), whereas 20% of the time the market is forming a top or bottom.
80% of the time the market is not trending, 20% of the time it is trending;
80% of the market moves are noise, 20% of the market moves are an actual signal;
80% of the time the market is in consolidation and 20% of the time it is in an impulse.
Number 4: strategy performance. Traders can analyze these relationships:
Do the majority of the trading opportunities occur at the same points during the strategy?
Are the majority of my wins generated by a minority of the same entry type?
Do the majority of my filters have a very small impact on the performance?
Does a minority of my tools and indicators have the most positive impact on the strategy?
The above questions and ideas are examples. Everyone is highly encouraged to analyze and find connections that benefit them as an individual trader. This is not limited to the above, and many more ideas can be created.
In Trading, it's a fact that most traders trade too much and try to force results by working too hard.
In terms of your trading strategy: Focusing on the above will make you more money - but you'll also reduce the effort you put in. Shift your emphasis to long term trading - and only trade the best signals. By doing this, your workload - and the amount of time you need to spend on your analysis will be reduced.
If you apply the 80 - 20 rule to your trading in the above way, you'll cut the effort you put in. You'll also increase the profits you make - and that's what all traders want! Many people think that the more effort you put in, the better the results you obtain. This is true in many areas of life - but not trading! Here you are paid for being right with your trading signals - that's all.
Also, don't fall for the myth that the more you trade, the better your chance is of having trading success. This is simply not true - because the big trades, with the best ratio of risk to reward don't come around that often.
Focus is the only way anybody can enjoy their tasks, be in the ‘flow’ of things, learn and retain information, and direct their attention to specific, valuable goals.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
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Naked Daily Charts (Key Swings, Price Action Levels & Patterns)Do you want to get better trading Forex? if yes, only way is to put in chart time and do your homework.
On naked daily charts (only price action):
1) Find one, two or three day candlestick patterns. both continuation and reversal. What are they? * Chart: in purple rectangles.
2) Find price action key levels ( only xx.000 noted on example chart)
3) Is current price action trending? up or down
4) Is current price action in momentum? up or down
5) Where is price action in relation to key levels? below or above
6) Where are demand and supply zone area? draw them in.
7) Look left on chart, any recent price action noted? Does price action have room to go higher or lower?
8) Forex charts with candlesticks have their own language- what is each individual candle saying to YOU? who is in charge? bears or bulls.
9) If you scalp trade or day trade- you can do this on either a 4 hour or daily and use this same information to trade with on lower time-frames.
10) Forex trading strategies or systems can be as simple or as complex as you want it to be? Depending on your personality. I like simple.
Note: When trading Forex remember four things: Pair, Price, Session and Time. Trade with the wind of liquidity and volume go with you.
Top 10 Patterns (Ranges or Rectangle) #4On 1 hour GbpChf example- sideways, rectangle, box or ranging price action- do not trade this. This is where a lot of money is lost by retail traders.
Now the rectangle is not a reversal pattern like the previous entries on this list. Instead, it is a continuation pattern, which means that it is generally used by traders to confirm whether or not a particular trend should go on.
You can either find a bullish rectangle or a bearish rectangle depending on the circumstances that create them. For example, you will find a bullish rectangle during an upward trend and a bearish rectangle during a downward trend.
It essentially depicts a trading area where the bulls and the bears compete with each other where they bulls push the price up when the price nears support. The bears move the price down when the price approaches resistance.
Look to trade either:
Breakouts or Breakouts and then pullbacks to enter any new trades.
Chart example showed a 1:2 or 1:3 risk reward setup. Be picky and be patience in the FX trading world.
Kyber Network (KNC USDT) - Breakdown of Recent Trades I recently took two discretionary positions on KNC/USDT. In this analysis I've documented my thought process and execution sequentially from left to right in the call outs.
In these trades I used several methods of analysis.
1. Chart Patterns
My first trade entry was predicated upon a Rectangle Top Pattern I identified KNC forming. Rectangle Tops occur during bullish up trends and when the overall market is bullish, as altcoins currently are, they have a high probability of breaking to the upside.
2. Trend Analysis
Fundamental to my trading strategy is trading in the direction of the overall trend. Trading against the dominant trend is like stepping over dollars to pick up pennies. Using the Daily and 4HR time frame, I identified that KNC was above my Base Line indicator, therefore confirming a bullish trend and that I should be trading to the long side.
3. Target Measurement
For my initial trade I used Bulkowski's measurement method for Rectangle Tops, measuring the difference from Resistance to Support and adding that to Resistance. This proved to be successful, however my first trade ended up running quite a bit beyond my target. For this reason I used my primary method of profit taking, 50/50. I take 50% of my profit at a pre-determined level and allow the rest of my position to run to take advantage of powerful trends.
4. Indicator Support
Utilizing my ICYSbot indicator and strategy to help supplement entry and exit conditions.
5. Patience and Risk Management
I used a position sizing strategy where a pre-determined percentage of my account is at risk should my trade hit the stop loss. In this case, I personally used 2% risk per trade. I also did not rush these trades, I let price evolve and the trend emerge as it did. I attached no personal bias or feelings toward the trade.
Overall, quite happy with these trades. I hope this post was helpful in providing insight into how I view the markets and trade execution. Thank you for your support.
Trade safely!
The NAS100 shark is surrounded by several indicatorsThis Idea is First Educational Idea
I am a novice Trader and not a Master. I hope that this Idea was Useful.
Nas100 Trend Formed Several Technical Subjects
1- Parallel channel
2- Rectangle pattern
3- Pullback and Breakout
4- Harmonic Pattern
5-supply/demand Zone
for this reason. I made this idea as Tutorial.
please leave a like and comment If it was useful
God Bless you and your Parents.
HOW TO recognize TRADING RANGE - TREND is your FRIEND!Hi traders,
I didn´t open a trade yesterday, so I decided to record an educational video for you.
My favorite topic (and very hard to implant for many traders) is TRADING RANGE.
The most most most crucial ability is to recognize if you are in a Trading Range or in a Trend. Every stage of the Market requires a different approach!
You can find a lot of complicated tools on the web that describes Ranges... Why make things complicated?
My tool is simple - Swing Highs and Lows. They tell us everything about the market.
I focus on the theory followed by examples on the SPY ( AMEX:SPY ) chart.
Happy trading!
Jakub
FINEIGHT
AEP, American Electric Power Co. Inc. - Rectangle PatternNYSE:AEP
People like to use indicators or oscillators many times to predict the next trend.
Actually they can help you, but they will always be late.
And above all, what do you do if they are in contrast with each other?
Most importantly, do you have a backtest that proves in the long run that their use is profitable and valid on multiple markets and assets?
We go ahead on our technical analysis, aware of what makes us through backtest statistics and confirmed in real operation for years now aware of the deviation that may have on the annual average.
In this case we are waiting for a long breakout of this rectangle if it happens, knowing what is the Risk/Reward, the %Profitability, the size of the position aware of the entry and exit point and risk management.
Stay Tuned!
finance.yahoo.com
FACEBOOK MANIPULATION OVER NEWS AND PUMPING EARNINGS IN Q1 2018Accumulation taken place in late 2018 until February 2019 when the mark-up phase began to develop.
Lesson: forget about the news, earnings , etc. This is a pure example of stock manipulation.
Check volume for selling climax, spring and earnings report like the one on the 30th January to break the range.
Well played by the composite operator.
@Mikephicc
GOLD - Weekly - Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1GOLD has a correlation to the strength of USD, as a risk-off asset investors seek haven in the event of Dollar weakness (USD falls > GOLD rises). I'm sure there's more to it than that, be sure to check it out online for yourself.
Comments
As anticipated during the breakdown of the Monthly timeframe, looking at the Weekly you can see how we respected the 20/50 EMA wave and bounced to the upside. Considering the amount of deceleration looking left when we previously approached the upper level of the zone, and comparing that current price conditions, I foresee more upwards pressure this week in the form of consolidation. Monthly swings take much longer to develop and turn around than that say on of the Daily time horizon.
If I am to get short on GOLD it will be after a push to the upside into the 1330 region, or below the 1280 level. The only problem with getting short below 1280 is we'd be trading directly into the 20/50 EMA wave (which is a big negative trade confluence). This is an unnecessary risk in my opinion.
Key Note
Taking a short at the top of the range has less risk than shorting closer to the median / Weekly mid-level of the range.
USDCAD (Education)Whats up traders -
Educational post - heard some chatter in the chat rooms about this trade
This was likely a bull trap IMO -
Trade (NAFTA) talks have put this currency pair on every novice traders radar
Long Running Bull Move
Consolidated Rectangular Patter
Breakout Above Rectangular Pattern
Longs then take their positions
Massive Price Dump
Risk Protection - Stop Loss Protection - So important in this business. Let this be an example..